STEVE TSHWETE LOCAL MUNICIPALITY LONG TERM STRATEGY 2040 NOVEMBER 2019 The best community driven Local Municipality on provision of sustainable services and developmental programmes. Contents Introduction 01 2.4. Infrastructure Analysis ................................................................... 53 Preface ...................................................................................................... 4 2.4.1 High level synopsis of access to basic services in STLM ............ 56 Executive Summary ................................................................................. 5 2.4.2 Current Status ................................................................................ 56 1.1 Securing a Prosperous Future ......................................................... 10 2.4.3 Planning for universal access to basic services ......................... 70 1.2 Long-Term Planning ......................................................................... 11 2.5 Housing and Services Analysis ....................................................... 71 1.3 Theory of Change ............................................................................ 12 2.6 Governance Analysis ..................................................................... 77 1.4 STLM Theory of Change ................................................................... 13 1.5 Long-Term Planning Process and Document Outline .................. 16 Trend Analysis Rapid Diagnostic 03 02 Contextualizing Global Trends .............................................................. 80 2.1. Demographics- The People ....................................................... 22 Rapid Urbanization ......................................................................... 81 2.1.1. Population and Hoisehold Projection ........................................ 23 Inequality ......................................................................................... 81 4.3. Population Growth Projection .................................................... 26 Climate Change ............................................................................. 82 4.4. Household Growth Projection ................................................... 27 Technology ...................................................................................... 82 4.5. Population Age Profile ................................................................. 27 3.1 Demographic Trends ....................................................................... 83 4.5. Education and Skills ..................................................................... 28 3.2 Economic Trends .............................................................................. 84 4.5. Unemployment and Inequality .................................................. 29 3.2 Spatial Trends .................................................................................... 86 4.5. Income Levels in STLM ................................................................. 29 3.3 Infrastructure Trends ......................................................................... 87 2.2. Economy Analysis ........................................................................ 32 3.4 Housing and Services Trends........................................................... 88 2.2.1 Leading Sectors in STLM .............................................................. 33 3.5 Governance Trends ......................................................................... 89 2.2.2 High Level Synopsis of Economic Sectors .................................. 34 2.2.3 Transition to Green Economy ..................................................... 35 Desired Future & Visioning 2.2.4. The Township Economy ............................................................... 35 04 2.3. Spatial and Environmental Analysis ........................................... 36 4.1 Future Demographic Profile ............................................................ 91 4.5. Spatial Landscape of STLM ......................................................... 37 4.2 Desired Economy ............................................................................. 92 4.5. Informal Settlements in STLM ....................................................... 39 4.3 Desired Spatial Future ...................................................................... 94 2.3.3 High potential corridors ............................................................... 40 4.4 Infrastructure Future ......................................................................... 95 2.3.4 Agriculture..................................................................................... 41 4.5 Desired Services ............................................................................... 95 2.3.5 Manufacturing .............................................................................. 42 4.6 Desired Governance and capacity .............................................. 96 2.3.6 Economic Nodes .......................................................................... 42 2.3.7 Tourism ........................................................................................... 42 2.3.8 Mining ............................................................................................ 42 Long-Term Strategies and Actions 2.3.9 Mining Areas in STLM .................................................................... 43 05 2.3.10 Population Projections for specific areas ................................. 44 5.1 Economic Positioning .................................................................... 103 2.3.11 Developable land to meet future housing demands ............ 44 5.2 Spatial Restructuring ...................................................................... 107 2.3.12 Planning for the Future .............................................................. 47 5.3 Infrastructure Engineering ............................................................. 113 2.3.13 Analysis and spatial directives ................................................... 48 5.4 Housing and Services ..................................................................... 116 2.3.14 Income Range for Housing ........................................................ 49 5.5 Governance and Management ................................................. 119 2 3 Contents 06 Implementation Plan 6.1 Roles and Functions ....................................................................... 125 6.2 Implementation Approach ........................................................... 126 6.3 Implementation Mechanisms ....................................................... 126 6.4 Managing Implementation .......................................................... 127 6.5 Implementation Programme ........................................................ 128 6.6 STLM Long Term Plan Monitoring and Evaluation ....................... 130 Conclusion ............................................................................................ 131 07 References ............................................................................................ 132 Introduction Preface Executive Summary This Long-Term Strategy and Implementation This Long-Term Strategy is prepared by The STLM Long-Term Strategy is a pathway for jobs. Parallel to population growth, there is the Plan is a key milestone in shaping the future of Spatialize (Pty) Ltd under the GIZ Governance developing a globally competitive smart and mushrooming of informal settlements close to Steve Tshwete Local Municipality (STLM) into a Support Programme (GSP II) within which GIZ is green city by 2040. work opportunities due to a lack of service land. leading municipality. The decision to embark on providing technical support to STLM in respect of Therefore, the formulation of the STLM 2040 a Long-Term planning exercise was informed by Institutionalisation of Long-Term Planning. Long Term Planning is a powerful tool for Long Term Strategy and Implementation Plan is a bold ambition on the part of the leadership envisaging the future, designing outcomes and necessitated by the need to outline a concept and management of the Municipality to create formulating and implementing strategies to for a future municipality which is capable of a desired future in which STLM is a destination realise the outcomes. This Long-Term Strategy enhancing the quality of life for the entire STLM of choice and a successful place that fulfills the analyses the current realities and trends and population whilst simultaneously contributing dreams and aspirations if its people. outlines strategic objectives in 5 transformation towards sustainable development. The Long- areas that will contribute to achieving a desired Term Strategy pays much attention to managing In May 2018 the STLM Council adopted a future for STLM: urban growth, growing and diversifying the Strategic Intent positioning the municipality on a economy and addressing climate change. longer-term strategic path focusing on inclusive • Economic Positioning economic growth and spatial transformation. • Spatial Restructuring The following page presents a synopsis of the The Strategic Intent represented the starting point • Infrastructure Engineering current trends, desired futures and the strategies of a long-term planning and implementation • Housing and Services Provisioning that will be employed in the short, medium and journey. The Strategic Intent is being further • Governance and Management long term: developed into this overall Long-Term Strategy document for STLM with a