MINISTÈRE DES TRANSPORTS DU QUÉBEC MINISTRY OF TRANSPORTATION OF ONTARIO TRANSPORT CANADA Updated Feasibility Study of a High Speed Rail Service in the Quebec City – Windsor Corridor Deliverable No. 13 – Final Report: Final Report February 14, 2011 N/Ref.: P020563-1300-001-EN-01 Ministère des Transports du Québec Ministry of Transportation of Ontario File No. : 3301-08-AH01 – N/Ref.P020563-1300- : Ministère des Transports du Québec,Ministry OntarioTr of Transport Canada Updated Feasibility Study of a High Speed Rail Service in the Quebec City – Windsor Corridor Deliverable No. 13 – Final Report Project Manager: Bernard-André Genest, ing., P. Eng., Ph. D. (Start – September 2010) 001-EN-01 – Final Report2011 – Fabruary 14 , Stéphane Robert, Eng. (September 2010 – End) ansportation, and Transport – Updated Feasibility Canada Study of a Prepared by: Alain Drouin, CA, CBV, CF. KPMG: Partner Ecotrain: Group Leader – Policies Implimentation and Financial/ Economic Analysis Ottmar Grein DB International: High Speed Rail Senior Consultant High Speed Rail Service in the City Québec – Windsor Corridor Ecotrain: Group Leader – Systems and Operations Paul Nimigon, B.E.S. MMM Group Limited: Vice President – Rail Transportation (Partner) Ecotrain: Group Leader – Impacts Analyses Anne Reyner Wilbur Smith Associates: Senior Transport Analyst Ecotrain: Group Leader – Demand Forecasting Jean-Claude Therrien, Eng., M.S.E. Dessau: Vice-President Transportation Expertise and Innovations Ecotrain: Group Leader - Infrastructure Verified by: File No. : 3301-08-AH01 – N/Ref.P020563-1300- : Ministère des Transports du Québec,Ministry OntarioTr of Claude Archambault, P.Eng., M.Eng. Dessau: Manager - Transportation Major Projects Approved by: 001-EN-01 – Final Report2011 – Fabruary 14 , ansportation, and Transport – Updated Feasibility Canada Study of a Stéphane Robert, Eng. Dessau: Project Manager - Infrastructure Ecotrain: Contract Manager EcoTrain 1060 University St., Suite 600 Montreal (Quebec) Canada H3B 4V3 High Speed Rail Service in the City Québec – Windsor Corridor Telephone : 514.281.1010 Fax : 514.281.1060 E-Mail : [email protected] Web site: www.dessau.com i Ministère des Transports du Québec,Ministry OntarioTr of TABLE OF CONTENTS File No. : 3301-08-AH01 – N/Ref.P020563-1300- : LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ....................................................................................................................X DISCLAIMER ....................................................................................................................................XIV SUMMARY........................................................................................................................................ S-1 INTRODUCTION.................................................................................................................................. 1 1 JUSTIFICATION FOR AN UPDATE ............................................................................................ 5 001-EN-01 – Final Report2011 – Fabruary 14 , 1.1 Changes in HSR Systems and Technology ..............................................................................5 1.1.1 World-wide Development of HSR..............................................................................................5 ansportation, and Transport – Updated Feasibility Canada Study of a 1.1.2 Adaptability to Specific Conditions ............................................................................................6 1.2 Demographic, Economic and other Changes............................................................................7 2 REPRESENTATIVE TECHNOLOGIES ......................................................................................... 9 2.1 Strategic Guideline....................................................................................................................9 2.2 Recent Improvements in Technology Components...................................................................9 2.2.1 Rolling Stock ...........................................................................................................................10 2.2.2 Track .......................................................................................................................................11 2.2.3 Energy.....................................................................................................................................12 2.2.4 HSR Signals and Telecommunications...................................................................................15 2.2.5 Track Sharing and System Protection.....................................................................................16 High Speed Rail Service in the City Québec – Windsor Corridor 2.2.6 Geometric Requirements ........................................................................................................18 2.3 Corridor Constraints and Requirements..................................................................................19 2.3.1 Distances ................................................................................................................................19 2.3.2 Winter Operation.....................................................................................................................19 2.3.3 Existing Railway Infrastructure and Equipment.......................................................................23 2.4 Representative Technologies Retained for Analysis...............................................................24 2.5 Comparison with the QOHSRPS.............................................................................................25 3 REPRESENTATIVE ROUTES AND REPRESENTATIVE STATIONS.............................................. 27 3.1 Strategic Guideline..................................................................................................................27 3.2 Changes Potentially Requiring Route Updates.......................................................................28 3.2.1 Changes in Environmental Legislation....................................................................................28 3.2.2 Changes in Rail Transport Legislation ....................................................................................28 3.2.3 Changes in Land Use..............................................................................................................28 3.2.4 Changes in Rail Traffic............................................................................................................29 3.2.5 Changes in Airports and Airport Access..................................................................................29 3.3 Stations as Bases for Routes..................................................................................................30 ii Ministère des Transports du Québec,Ministry OntarioTr of 3.3.1 Cities with HSR Stations .........................................................................................................30 File No. : 3301-08-AH01 – N/Ref.P020563-1300- : 3.3.2 Guidelines for Station Location and Design ............................................................................31 3.4 Description of Updated Representative Routes ......................................................................33 3.5 Comparison with the QOHSRPS.............................................................................................35 4 REPRESENTATIVE SERVICE AND SYSTEM.............................................................................. 37 4.1 Representative Service ...........................................................................................................37 4.1.1 Operating Programs................................................................................................................37 4.1.2 Frequency and Capacity .........................................................................................................38 4.1.3 Travel Times ...........................................................................................................................38 001-EN-01 – Final Report2011 – Fabruary 14 , 4.1.4 Train Schedules ......................................................................................................................38 ansportation, and Transport – Updated Feasibility Canada Study of a 4.1.5 On-Board and Other Passenger Services...............................................................................38 4.2 Representative System ...........................................................................................................39 5 RIDERSHIP AND REVENUE ..................................................................................................... 41 5.1 Process ...................................................................................................................................41 5.2 Geographic Markets................................................................................................................42 5.3 Existing (2006) Travel .............................................................................................................42 5.3.1 Existing Travel by Public Transport Modes.............................................................................42 5.3.2 Existing (2006) Travel by Auto ................................................................................................44 5.3.3 Total 2006 Travel by Market Group.........................................................................................46