Dunfermline Strategic Land Allocation Transport Assessment Fife Council Final Report 73799 July 2011 73799 DUNFERMLINE STRATEGIC LAND ALLOCATION TRANSPORT ASSESSMENT Description: Final Report Date: 06 July 2011 Project Manager: Keith McGillivray Project Director: Malcolm Neil SIAS Limited 37 Manor Place Edinburgh EH3 7EB UK tel: 0131-225 7900 fax: 0131-225 9229 [email protected] www.sias.com \\pomfret\tpftcda3$\report\73799 dunfermline sla transport assessment.doc 73799 DUNFERMLINE STRATEGIC LAND ALLOCATION TRANSPORT ASSESSMENT CONTENTS : Page EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 Introduction 1 Existing and Potential Transport Infrastructure 2 Development Travel Characteristics 4 Traffic Modelling 5 Development Assumptions 5 Transport Impact 6 Other Interventions 8 Conclusion 8 1 INTRODUCTION 11 1.1 Background 11 1.2 Context 11 1.3 Purpose of Report 12 1.4 Consultation 12 1.5 Previous Studies 13 2 PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT & TRANSPORT PROVISION PRINCIPLES 15 2.1 Introduction 15 2.2 Draft Dunfermline & West Fife Local Plan 17 2.3 Transport Provision Principles 18 3 EXISTING SITUATION 21 3.1 Introduction 21 3.2 Existing and Potential Transport Infrastructure 21 3.3 Core Paths 22 3.4 Bus Based Park & Ride 26 4 DEVELOPMENT TRAVEL CHARACTERISTICS 29 4.1 Trip Generation 29 4.2 Trip Purpose 36 4.3 Trip Length 37 4.4 Trip Distribution 38 4.5 Mode Splits 38 5 TRAFFIC MODELLING 43 5.1 Dunfermline 2009 Base S-Paramics Model 43 5.2 Development Traffic Modelling 46 5.3 Matrix Totals 50 06 July 2011 73799 6 TRANSPORT IMPACT AND TRANSPORT INTERVENTIONS 51 6.1 Introduction 51 6.2 2015 Reference Case 51 6.3 2015 Development Scenarios 52 6.4 2015 Local Plan Development Phasing 52 6.5 2015 Alternative Development Phasing 54 6.6 Conclusion of 2015 Assessment 61 6.7 2021 Reference Case 62 6.8 2021 Development Scenarios 63 6.9 2021 Local Plan Development Phasing 64 6.10 2021 Alternative Development Phasing 66 6.11 Conclusion of 2021 Assessment 72 6.12 2029 Reference Case 74 6.13 2029 with Full SLA Development 74 6.14 Summary of 2029 SLA Assessment 81 6.15 Summary of Interventions 81 7 SCHEME SUMMARY 85 7.1 Introduction 85 7.2 Halbeath Road/Whitefield Road Junction 86 7.3 Bothwell Gardens Roundabout 87 7.4 Signalisation of Pitreavie Roundabout 88 7.5 Widening of north approach to Pitreavie roundabout 89 7.6 William Street/Rumblingwell Junction 90 7.7 William Street/Pittencrieff Street 91 7.8 King’s Road Signals 92 7.9 Northern Link Road 93 7.10 Grange Drive Link Road/Queensferry Road Roundabout Improvements 95 7.11 Grange Drive Link Road 96 7.12 Coal Road/Lovers Loan Junction 97 7.13 Carnegie Drive Bus Gate 98 7.14 Additional Considerations 98 8 PUBLIC TRANSPORT STRATEGY 101 8.1 Introduction 101 8.2 Bus Priority 101 8.3 LRT/BRT Study 105 8.4 Consultation 107 8.5 Operating Conditions 107 8.6 Service Delivery and Growth 108 8.7 Funding Mechanisms 109 8.8 Summary 109 9 SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT INTERVENTIONS 111 9.1 Introduction 111 9.2 Walking Interventions 113 9.3 Cycling Interventions 113 9.4 Public Transport Interventions 115 9.5 Summary of Sustainable Transport Interventions 116 9.6 Sustainable Transport Principles and Outline Intervention Guidelines 117 10 CONCLUSIONS 119 10.1 Introduction 119 06 July 2011 73799 10.2 Quantification of Person Trips 119 10.3 Model Development and Application 120 10.4 Impact and Mitigation Measures 120 10.5 Other Interventions 122 10.6 Conclusion 122 06 July 2011 73799 06 July 2011 73799 DUNFERMLINE STRATEGIC LAND ALLOCATION TRANSPORT ASSESSMENT FIGURES : Page Figure 1 : Dunfermline Western Expansion Development Areas 2 Figure 2.1 : Dunfermline Western Expansion Development Areas 15 Figure 3.1 : Existing and Potential Cycle Networks 23 Figure 3.2 : Existing Bus Network 26 Figure 6.1 : Journey Time Routes 57 Figure 6.2 : Inner and Outer Cordon Queue Analysis 59 Figure 6.3 : Average Queued Vehicles - Local Plan Phasing (AM Peak) 60 Figure 6.4 : Average Queued Vehicles - Local Plan Phasing (PM Peak) 60 Figure 6.5 : Average Queued vehicles - Local Plan Phasing (AM Peak) 71 Figure 6.6 : Average Queued vehicles - Local Plan Phasing (PM Peak) 71 Figure 6.7 : Average Queued Vehicles - Local Plan Phasing (AM Peak) 79 Figure 6.8 : Average Queued Vehicles - Local Plan Phasing (PM Peak) 80 Figure 6.9 : Scheme locations 84 Figure 7.1 : Halbeath Road/ Whitefield Road Junction Improvement 86 Figure 7.2 : Bothwell Gardens Roundabout 87 Figure 7.3 : Pitreavie Roundabout Signalisation 88 Figure 7.4 : Widening of north approach to Pitreavie roundabout 89 Figure 7.5 :William Street/ Rumblingwell Junction 90 Figure 7.6 : William Street/Pittencrieff Street 91 Figure 7.7 : Kings Road Signals 92 Figure 7.8 : Northern Link Road 93 Figure 7.9 : Grange Drive/ Queensferry Road roundabout improvement 95 Figure 7.10 : Grange Drive Link Road 96 Figure 7.11 :Coal Road/ Lovers Loan Junction 97 Figure 7.12 : Carnegie Drive Bus Gate 98 Figure 8.1 : A907 Halbeath Corridor Improvements 102 Figure 8.2 : A823 Queensferry Road Corridor Improvements 104 Figure 8.3 : Conflicts with LRT/BRT Network 106 Figure 9.1 : Initial Existing Accessibility Appraisal 112 Figure 9.2 : Indicative “Handshakes” 113 Figure 9.3 : Potential Dunfermline Bus Network 116 06 July 2011 73799 06 July 2011 73799 DUNFERMLINE STRATEGIC LAND ALLOCATION TRANSPORT ASSESSMENT TABLES : Page Table 1 : Agreed Mode Split Targets 5 Table 2 : Local Plan Development Scenario Summary 6 Table 3 : Alternative Development Scenario Summary 6 Table 4 : Summary of Interventions - Reference Case 7 Table 5 : Summary of Interventions – Local Plan Phasing 7 Table 6 : Summary of Interventions – Alternative Development Phasing 8 Table 2.1 : Schedule of Proposed Development by Land Use 17 Table 3.1 : Indication of Cycle Distances (km) 24 Table 3.2 : Indicative Cycle Travel Times (min) 25 Table 4.1 : Total Residential Person Trip Generation: AM (07:00 – 10:00) 30 Table 4.2 : Total Residential Person Trip Generation: PM (16:00 – 19:00) 30 Table 4.3 : Total Employment (Office) Based Person Trip Generation: AM (07:00 – 10:00) 32 Table 4.4 : Total Employment (Office) Based Person Trip Generation: PM (16:00 – 19:00) 32 Table 4.5 : Total Employment (Warehousing) Person Trip Generation: AM (07:00 – 10:00) 33 Table 4.6 : Total Employment (Warehousing) Person Trip Generation: PM (16:00 – 19:00) 33 Table 4.7 : Total Employment (Industrial Estate) Person Trip Generation: AM (07:00 – 10:00) 34 Table 4.8 : Total Employment (Industrial Estate) Person Trip Generation: PM (16:00 – 19:00) 34 Table 4.9 : Total Primary Education Person Trip Generation: AM (07:00 – 10:00) 35 Table 4.10 : Total Primary Education Person Trip Generation: PM (16:00 – 19:00) 35 Table 4.11 : Total Secondary Education Person Trip Generation: AM (07:00 – 10:00) 36 Table 4.12 : Total Secondary Education Person Trip Generation: PM (16:00 – 19:00) 36 Table 4.13 : Residential Trips: Breakdown of Trip Purpose (All Day) 37 Table 4.14 : Breakdown of Observed Journey Length Data 37 Table 4.15 : Agreed Mode Split Targets 39 Table 4.16 : Mode Split by Trip Purpose (all Fife) 40 Table 4.17 : Breakdown of Travel Modes by Trip Purpose (all Fife) 40 Table 4.18 : Proportion of all Home-Based Trips by Travel Mode and Purpose 41 Table 4.19 : Comparison of Observed Average Mode Split with FC Target 41 Table 5.1 : Expansion Factors 44 Table 5.2 : Local Plan Development Scenario Summary 46 Table 5.3 : Alternative Development Scenario Summary 46 06 July 2011 73799 Table 5.4 : Development Zone Numbers 47 Table 5.5 : Matrix Summary Totals (AM Period) 50 Table 6.1 : 2015 Local Plan Phasing Scheme Cost Summary 53 Table 6.2 : 2015 with External Infrastructure Peak Hour Flows (vehs/hr) 56 Table 6.3 : Passenger Transport Journey Times (AM Period) 58 Table 6.4 : Passenger Transport Journey Times (PM Period) 58 Table 6.5 : Network summary Statistics, External Infrastructure (AM Period) 61 Table 6.6 : Network summary Statistics, External Infrastructure (PM Period) 61 Table 6.7 : 2015 Local Plan Phasing Scheme Cost Summary 62 Table 6.8 : 2021 Local Plan Phasing Scheme Cost Summary 65 Table 6.9 : 2021 Alternative Phasing Scheme Cost Summary 67 Table 6.10 : 2021 External Infrastructure Peak Hour Flows (vehs/hr) 68 Table 6.11 : Passenger Transport Journey Time Routes (AM Period) 70 Table 6.12 : Passenger Transport Journey Time Routes (PM Period) 70 Table 6.13 : Network summary Statistics, 2021 External Infrastructure (AM Period) 72 Table 6.14 : Network summary Statistics, 2021 External Infrastructure (PM Period) 72 Table 6.15 : 2021 Local Plan Phasing Scheme Cost Summary 73 Table 6.16 : 2021 Alternative Phasing Scheme Cost Summary 73 Table 6.17 : 2029 External Infrastructure with Full SLA Development Peak Hour Flows (vehs/hr) 77 Table 6.18 : Passenger Transport Journey Time Routes (AM Period) 78 Table 6.19 : Passenger Transport Journey Time Routes (PM Period) 79 Table 6.20 : Network summary Statistics – AM Period 80 Table 6.21 : Network summary Statistics – PM Period 81 Table 6.22 : 2029 Local Plan Phasing Scheme Cost Summary 81 Table 6.23 : Summary of Interventions – Reference Case 82 Table 6.24 : Summary of Interventions – Local Plan Phasing 82 Table 6.25 : Summary of Interventions – Alternative Development Phasing 82 Table 6.26 : Summary of Interventions Cost Summary 83 Table 8.1 : Halbeath Corridor Costs* 103 Table 8.2 : Halbeath Corridor Costs* 105 Table 10.1 : Summary of Interventions - Reference Case 121 Table 10.2 : Summary of Interventions – Local Plan Phasing 121 Table 10.3 : Summary of Interventions – Alternative Development Phasing 121 06 July 2011 73799 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Introduction The Draft Dunfermline and West Fife Local Plan (2010) prepared by Fife Council (FC) sets out masterplan proposals to deliver a strategic expansion of Dunfermline over the period 2015 – 2030.