A VISION FOR SALMON AND STEELHEAD Goals to Restore Thriving Salmon and Steelhead to the Columbia River Basin Phase 1 Report of the Columbia Basin Partnership Task Force to the NOAA Fisheries Marine Fisheries Advisory Committee FINAL DOCUMENT Table of Contents List of Tables ................................................................................................................................. 3 List of Figures ................................................................................................................................ 4 Columbia Basin Partnership Task Force Members .................................................................. 5 Executive Summary ...................................................................................................................... 1 1. The Context for Shared Goals for Columbia Basin Salmon and Steelhead ........................ 5 1.1 Concept of a Regional Partnership .................................................................................................. 8 1.2 Recommendations to the Marine Fisheries Advisory Committee ................................................... 9 1.3 Moving Forward with a Sense of Urgency ..................................................................................... 9 2. Building a Regional Partnership ........................................................................................... 12 3. Creating a Common Foundation ........................................................................................... 14 3.1 Recognizing the Many Values of Salmon and Steelhead and the Columbia River ...................... 14 3.2 Understanding the Challenges of Salmon and Steelhead Recovery .............................................. 21 3.3 Developing Shared Interests ......................................................................................................... 21 4. The First People of the Columbia Basin: A Tribal Perspective on Developing Shared Goals ............................................................................................................................................. 24 4.1 More Than a Tradition .................................................................................................................. 24 4.2 No False Equivalencies in Achieving Recovery ........................................................................... 24 4.3 Moving Baselines and the Future .................................................................................................. 25 4.4 Moving Forward............................................................................................................................ 26 5. Building a Collaborative Approach ...................................................................................... 27 5.1 Task Force Organization ............................................................................................................... 27 5.2 Major Work Products .................................................................................................................... 27 6. Guiding Principles .................................................................................................................. 30 7. Vision ........................................................................................................................................ 31 8. Qualitative Goals ..................................................................................................................... 32 8.1 Overview ....................................................................................................................................... 32 8.2 Goal 1: Natural Production ........................................................................................................... 34 SubGoal 1A: Prevent Declines .................................................................................. 35 SubGoal 1B: Achieve ESA Delisting ......................................................................... 35 SubGoal 1C: Achieve Broad Sense Recovery ............................................................ 35 SubGoal 1D: Expand Spatial and Temporal Range .................................................. 36 SubGoal 1E: Expand Diversity and Resiliency ......................................................... 37 8.3 Goal 2: Harvest and Fishing Opportunity ..................................................................................... 38 SubGoal 2A: Ensure Sustainability ........................................................................... 39 SubGoal 2B: Optimize Harvest and Fishing Opportunity ......................................... 39 SubGoal 2C: Share Benefits ...................................................................................... 39 Version 4.1 MAFAC CBP Task Force Recommendations Report 3-28-19 Clean Page 1 of 112 FINAL DOCUMENT 8.4 Goal 3: Hatchery/Mitigation ......................................................................................................... 40 SubGoal 3A: Support Natural Production ................................................................ 41 SubGoal 3B: Mitigate for Lost Production and Support Fisheries ........................... 41 SubGoal 3C: Fish Protection .................................................................................... 41 8.5 Goal 4: Social, Cultural, Economic, and Ecosystem ..................................................................... 42 SubGoal 4A: Consider Social Values ........................................................................ 43 SubGoal 4B: Consider Cultural Values .................................................................... 43 SubGoal 4C: Consider Economic Values .................................................................. 43 SubGoal 4D: Consider Ecosystem Values ................................................................. 44 9. Provisional Quantitative Goals .............................................................................................. 45 9.1 Overview ....................................................................................................................................... 45 9.2 Approach ....................................................................................................................................... 48 9.2.1 Basis of Quantitative Goals: Existing Plans .................................................... 48 9.2.2 Regional Technical Teams ................................................................................ 52 9.2.3 Scale of Goals: Defining Stocks ....................................................................... 54 9.2.4 Quantitative Goal Categories ........................................................................... 57 9.2.5 Quantitative Goal Metrics ................................................................................ 59 9.2.6 Quantitative Goal Ranges ................................................................................. 59 9.2.7 Quantitative Goal Templates ............................................................................ 60 9.3 Methods for Developing Quantitative Goals ................................................................................ 60 9.3.1 Quantitative Goals for Natural Production ...................................................... 60 9.3.2 Potential Harvest & Fishery Opportunity ........................................................ 66 9.3.3 Current and Anticipated Hatchery Production ................................................ 68 9.3.4 Columbia River Run Sizes ................................................................................ 70 9.4 Quantitative Goal Summaries ....................................................................................................... 71 9.4.1 Provisional Quantitative Goals for Natural Production .................................. 71 9.4.2 Potential Harvest and Fishery Opportunity ..................................................... 74 9.4.3 Current and Anticipated Hatchery Production ................................................ 78 9.4.4 Columbia River Run Sizes ................................................................................ 80 10. Continuing the Work of the Task Force ............................................................................. 85 11. References .............................................................................................................................. 86 Appendix A. Provisional Quantitative Goal Summaries by Stock ......................................... 90 Appendix B. Glossary ................................................................................................................. 91 Appendix C. Terms of Reference .............................................................................................. 98 Appendix D. Operating Principles .......................................................................................... 101 Version 4.1 MAFAC CBP Task Force Recommendations Report 3-28-19 Clean Page 2 of 112 FINAL DOCUMENT List of Tables Table 1. Natural production goal and subgoals for Columbia Basin salmon and steelhead. ........ 34 Table 2. Harvest and fishing opportunity goal and subgoals for Columbia Basin salmon and steelhead. ........................................................................................................................... 38 Table 3. Hatchery/mitigation goal and subgoals for Columbia Basin salmon and steelhead.