Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit - Somalia Monthly Rainfall and NDVI, November, 2010 Highlights Map 1:November 2010: Monthly Rain Gauge data (mm) Map 2: November 2010: Monthly Rainfall Estimates (mm) DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden Readings from monitored rain AWDAL BARI gauge stations across Somalia SANAG W. GALBEED indicate that most areas remained TOGDHEER dry during the month of November. SOOL Most stations recorded no rainfall NUGAL with the exception of Borama ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA (37mm), Marere (75mm), Bosssaso MUDUG (8mm) and Berdale (3mm). Satellite Indian Ocean derived Rainfall Estimates (RFE) GALGADUD also indicate that most parts of Somalia, with the exception of BAKOOL HIRAN Juba, parts of Bay and Gedo in the south and parts of Bari, Sanaag GEDO M.SHABELLE and Awdal in the north, received BAY no precipitation during the month. L.SHABELLE M. JUBA Satellite derived CNDVI data (SPOT L.JUBA VEGETATION-1Km resolution) shows below normal vegetation conditions during the month of Source: SWALIM November (peak deyr growing Source: NOAA season) in southern and central parts of Somalia apart from pockets November 2010: Dekadal Rainfall Estimates (RFE) in Badhadhe, Baidoa and Hudur (Map 10). Map 3: 1st Dekad (1-10) Map 4: 2nd Dekad (11-20) Map 5: 3rd Dekad (21-30) DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden Bari Awdal Awdal Sanag Bari Awdal Sanag Sanag As a result of the prolonged Deyr Bari W. Galbeed W. Galbeed W. Galbeed Nugal Togdheer dry season, pasture and water have Togdheer Sool Togdheer Sool Sool quickly been depleted in most Nugal Nugal Mudug ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA areas of Somalia, especially in Mudug Mudug the central regions of the country. Galgadud Galgadud Galgadud Indian Dry grass is only still available in Ocean Indian Indian Bakool Hiran Bakool Hiran Bakool Hiran distant areas from the permanent Ocean Ocean Gedo Gedo M. Shabelle water points and is out of reach M. Shabelle M. Shabelle Gedo Bay Bay Bay for the poor and most middle class L. Shabelle M. Juba L. Shabelle M. Juba L. Shabelle households who cannot afford M. Juba L. Juba trucked water. In the south, pasture L. Juba L. Juba and water sources have also been depleted earlier than normal. Therefore Deyr season livestock November 2010: Dekadal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and crop production is likely to be Map 6: 1st Dekad (1-10) Map 7: 2nd Dekad (11-20) Map 8: 3rd Dekad (21-30) significantly below normal. DJIBOUTI DJIBOUTI Bari DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden Gulf of Aden Gulf of Aden Awdal Awdal Bari Awdal Sanag Sanag Sanag W. Galbeed Bari W. Galbeed W. Galbeed Nugal Togdheer Togdheer Sool Sool Togdheer Sool Nugal Nugal ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA Mudug Mudug Mudug Indian Ocean This report is a compilation of Galgadud Galgadud climate data and field reports Galgadud Hiran Indian Ocean Bakool Hiran Indian Ocean Bakool Hiran on Somalia that FSNAU and Bakool Gedo M. Shabelle Gedo Gedo Bay FEWSNET regularly review for Bay M. Shabelle Bay M. Shabelle analysis. For more information L. Shabelle M. Juba M. Juba on data sources, please refer M. Juba L. Shabelle L. Shabelle L. Juba L. Juba to page 2. L. Juba Monthly rainfall and NDVI perfomance Map 9: November 2010: Rainfall as % of long term mean Map 10: November 2010: NDVI absolute difference from long term mean Gulf of Aden DJIBOUTI DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden Awdal Bari Awdal Sanag Sanag W. albeed Bari W. Galbeed Togdheer Sool Togdheer Sool Nugal Nugal Mudug ETHIOPIA Mudug ETHIOPIA Galgadud Galgadud Bakool Hiran Bakool Indian Ocean Hiran Indian Ocean Gedo Gedo Bay M. Shabelle Bay M. Shabelle M. Juba L. Shabelle M. Juba L. Shabelle L. Juba L. Juba Source: NOAA Source: SPOT Fig.1 November 2010: Observed rain gauge data compared to long term monthly averages Southern Somalia stations Nothern Somalia stations * Only Baidoa, Dinsor,Marere, Borama and Bossaso recieved rainfall in November Primary data sources are NOAA/USGS, MARS-JRC, FSNAU and Monthly rainfall and NDVI perfomance maps SWALIM. Maps and graphs on this bulletin are produced from four sources. The Mapped NDVI and RFE above represent the differences from Long Term Mean. SPOT-NDVI is presented as absolute difference from Long • Current Rainfall Estimates and NDVI data are derived from NOAA/ Term Mean for the same period (current - long term mean), while NOAA- CPC and DEVCOCAST (www.devcocast.eu) respectively, while the RFE is presented as the relative difference from Long Term Mean (Cur- rain gauge data is collected by FAO-SWALIM and FEWSNET. rent*100)/LTM. • The seasonal profiles on page 3 and 4 are produced in collaboration Seasonal trend graphs with JRC-MARS. For more information visit http://mars.jrc.europa.eu/ mars/About-us/FOODSEC The maps and graphs on the following pages (3 & 4) are produced in col- laboration with the FOODSEC Action of the Joint Research Centre of the For more information on NDVI, visit http://earlywarning.usgs.gov/adds European Commision. The graphs present seasonal trends of crop specific and http://fsausomali.org/fileadmin/uploads/1308.pdf NDVI (Normalised Difference Vegetation Index) as lines and rainfall val- ues (RFE) as bars for each of the delineated land cover and administrative units (regions and districts). For more information or request on available data, please send an email to [email protected]. For information on FOODSEC Action of JRC, please refer to http://mars.jrc.ec.europa.eu/mars/About-us/FOODSEC 2 Seasonal rainfall and NDVI trends by region Map 11: Agricultural Areas Map 12: Pastoral Areas Togdheer Pastoral (Savannah) DJIBOUTI AWDAL SANAG BARI W. GALBEED TOGDHEER SOOL NUGAL MUDUG GALGADUD BAKOOL HIIRAN Saanag Pastoral (Savannah) M. SHABELLE GEDO BAY "/ BANADIR MOGADISHU M. JUBA L. SHABELLE Hagar L. JUBA Source: SWALIM Source: FAO-AFRICOVER Gedo Pastoral (Open Shrubs) Galgadud Pastoral (Herbaceous) Nugal Pastoral (Savannah) Hiran Agropastoral (Rainfed) Middle Shabelle Agropastoral (Rainfed) Lower Shabelle Riverine (Irrigated) Lower Shabelle Agropastoral (Rainfed) Bay Agropastoral (Rainfed) Bakool Agropastoral (Rainfed) 3 Seasonal rainfall and NDVI trends for selected districts Map 13: Agricultural Areas Map 14: Pastoral Areas Hargeisa Agropastoral (Rainfed) Beletweyn (Irrigated) Source: SWALIM Source: FAO-Africover Jamame Agropastoral (Irrigated) Sakow Agropastoral (Rainfed) Adale Agropastoral (Rainfed) Eyl (Savannah) Afmadow Pastoral (Herbaceous) Abudwak Pastoral (Herbaceous) Galkayo Pastoral (Savannah) Alula Pastoral (Open Shrubs) Lasanod Pastoral (Herbaceous) Technical and Managerial Support Funding Agencies Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation SDC 4.