28th August 2018 FINAL RESULTS ReachTEL conducted a survey of 886 residents across the federal electorate of Wentworth during the night of 27th August 2018. Question 1: If a federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? Total Female Male 18 – 34 35 – 50 51 - 65 65+ Liberal 39.6% 38.7% 40.5% 35.1% 31.6% 40.9% 56.9% Labor 29.9% 31.1% 28.5% 22.1% 36.0% 32.4% 28.7% The Greens 15.2% 16.0% 14.3% 28.1% 11.6% 11.9% 6.0% One Nation 2.3% 1.2% 3.5% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 1.8% Other/Independent 6.8% 5.7% 8.0% 6.1% 9.6% 6.8% 3.6% Undecided 6.3% 7.3% 5.3% 5.2% 8.8% 6.8% 3.0% Two party preferred result based on respondent allocated preferences from Question 1b and undecided allocation from Question 1a Total Liberal 50% Labor 50% :: ReachTEL Pty Ltd :: ACN 133 677 933 :: ABN 40 133 677 933 :: :: Phone 1800 42 77 06 :: Fax 1800 60 13 20 :: PO Box 3162 South Brisbane 4101 :: Question 1a: Being Undecided to which of the following do you have even a slight leaning? Total Liberal 36.5% Labor 25.0% The Greens 5.8% One Nation 0.0% Other/Independent 32.7% Only those respondents who answered ‘Undecided’ to Question 1 were asked Question 1a :: ReachTEL Pty Ltd :: ACN 133 677 933 :: ABN 40 133 677 933 :: :: Phone 1800 42 77 06 :: Fax 1800 60 13 20 :: PO Box 3162 South Brisbane 4101 :: Question 1b: Which of the following parties would you preference higher? Total Liberal 24.0% Labor 76.0% Note: Respondents who answered ‘Labor’ or ‘Liberal’ in Question 1a were not asked Question 1b. :: ReachTEL Pty Ltd :: ACN 133 677 933 :: ABN 40 133 677 933 :: :: Phone 1800 42 77 06 :: Fax 1800 60 13 20 :: PO Box 3162 South Brisbane 4101 :: Question 2: Your local MP, former Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull is resigning from parliament meaning there will be a by-election in the seat of Wentworth. If the following were the candidates in the by-election who would you vote for? Total Female Male 18-34 35-50 51-65 65+ Liberal – David Sharma 34.6% 33.6% 35.6% 26.7% 30.0% 35.4% 50.9% Labor – Tim Murray 20.3% 18.8% 21.8% 16.4% 22.0% 22.3% 21.0% Independent – Alex Greenwich 11.2% 14.4% 7.8% 11.6% 8.4% 13.1% 13.2% Independent – Kerryn Phelps 11.8% 16.7% 6.5% 12.5% 14.4% 13.7% 4.8% Greens – Dominic Wy Kanak 8.9% 7.5% 10.3% 15.5% 8.4% 5.1% 3.6% Other / Independent 13.3% 8.9% 18.0% 17.2% 16.8% 10.3% 6.6% Total Liberal Labor Green ONP Oth Und Liberal – David Sharma 34.6% 78.8% 3.3% 3.2% 16.7% 12.5% 13.5% Labor – Tim Murray 20.3% 1.2% 58.1% 8.9% 0.0% 3.6% 11.5% Independent – Alex Greenwich 11.2% 2.2% 16.7% 19.4% 0.0% 23.2% 13.5% Independent – Kerryn Phelps 11.8% 5.8% 10.2% 24.2% 0.0% 30.4% 11.5% Greens – Dominic Wy Kanak 8.9% 0.0% 7.3% 41.9% 0.0% 0.0% 3.8% Other / Independent 13.3% 12.0% 4.5% 2.4% 83.3% 30.4% 46.2% :: ReachTEL Pty Ltd :: ACN 133 677 933 :: ABN 40 133 677 933 :: :: Phone 1800 42 77 06 :: Fax 1800 60 13 20 :: PO Box 3162 South Brisbane 4101 :: Question 3: Thinking about renewable energy how soon do you think Australia should move to 100% renewable energy? Total Female Male 18-34 35-50 51-65 65+ Within 5 years 35.4% 45.1% 25.0% 33.6% 37.6% 36.2% 33.5% Within 10 years 27.1% 27.5% 26.8% 25.4% 30.0% 28.8% 23.4% Within 20 years 13.9% 9.4% 18.8% 17.7% 9.6% 14.1% 14.4% Within 50 years 6.5% 2.6% 10.8% 6.5% 7.6% 3.4% 8.4% Not at all – we should not move to 100% 17.1% 15.5% 18.8% 16.8% 15.2% 17.5% 20.4% renewable energy Total Liberal Labor Green ONP Oth Und Within 5 years 35.4% 17.4% 46.1% 68.8% 5.0% 30.4% 34.6% Within 10 years 27.1% 23.2% 35.5% 28.8% 5.0% 21.4% 21.2% Within 20 years 13.9% 21.1% 12.2% 1.6% 15.0% 8.9% 9.6% Within 50 years 6.5% 9.5% 4.5% 0.8% 30.0% 3.6% 5.8% Not at all – we should not move to 17.1% 28.7% 1.6% 0.0% 45.0% 35.7% 28.8% 100% renewable energy :: ReachTEL Pty Ltd :: ACN 133 677 933 :: ABN 40 133 677 933 :: :: Phone 1800 42 77 06 :: Fax 1800 60 13 20 :: PO Box 3162 South Brisbane 4101 :: Question 4: The Federal Government has announced it will not proceed with any greenhouse gas emissions reduction target for its National Energy Guarantee policy. Do you think the National Energy Guarantee should include an emissions reduction target? Total Female Male 18-34 35-50 51-65 65+ Yes 66.6% 69.4% 63.7% 66.1% 68.8% 72.7% 58.1% No 23.5% 19.5% 27.8% 26.1% 20.8% 19.3% 28.1% Unsure / Don’t Know 9.8% 11.1% 8.5% 7.8% 10.4% 8.0% 13.8% Total Liberal Labor Green ONP Oth Und Yes 66.6% 41.6% 88.6% 99.2% 15.0% 64.3% 64.7% No 23.5% 43.1% 5.3% 0.0% 80.0% 26.8% 17.6% Unsure / Don’t Know 9.8% 15.3% 6.1% 0.8% 5.0% 8.9% 17.6% :: ReachTEL Pty Ltd :: ACN 133 677 933 :: ABN 40 133 677 933 :: :: Phone 1800 42 77 06 :: Fax 1800 60 13 20 :: PO Box 3162 South Brisbane 4101 :: Question 5: The new Prime Minister Scott Morrison famously brought a lump of coal into Question Time during a parliament house sitting. Does this make you more or less likely to vote Liberal at the next election? Total Female Male 18-34 35-50 51-65 65+ More likely 21.7% 18.8% 24.8% 13.9% 17.2% 23.3% 38.0% Less likely 50.9% 49.5% 52.4% 55.4% 55.6% 55.1% 33.7% No difference 27.4% 31.7% 22.8% 30.7% 27.2% 21.6% 28.3% Total Liberal Labor Green ONP Oth Und More likely 21.7% 43.3% 2.4% 0.0% 78.9% 21.8% 9.6% Less likely 50.9% 18.4% 75.6% 97.6% 5.3% 43.6% 51.9% No difference 27.4% 38.3% 22.0% 2.4% 15.8% 34.5% 38.5% :: ReachTEL Pty Ltd :: ACN 133 677 933 :: ABN 40 133 677 933 :: :: Phone 1800 42 77 06 :: Fax 1800 60 13 20 :: PO Box 3162 South Brisbane 4101 :: Question 6: Do you think that new Prime Minister Scott Morrison will do more or less to tackle climate change than Malcolm Turnbull? Total Female Male 18-34 35-50 51-65 65+ More 10.3% 8.9% 11.8% 10.8% 6.8% 9.1% 16.2% Less 68.6% 68.7% 68.4% 83.5% 67.6% 67.6% 49.7% Don’t know / Unsure 21.1% 22.4% 19.8% 5.6% 25.6% 23.3% 34.1% Total Liberal Labor Green ONP Oth Und More 10.3% 19.6% 4.9% 1.6% 15.0% 1.8% 7.8% Less 68.6% 49.5% 83.3% 92.9% 50.0% 75.0% 56.9% Don’t know / Unsure 21.1% 30.9% 11.8% 5.6% 35.0% 23.2% 35.3% :: ReachTEL Pty Ltd :: ACN 133 677 933 :: ABN 40 133 677 933 :: :: Phone 1800 42 77 06 :: Fax 1800 60 13 20 :: PO Box 3162 South Brisbane 4101 :: Question 7: The Federal Government has a greenhouse gas reduction target of 26-28% below 2005 levels by 2030. Labor’s proposed target is 45%. The Greens’ proposed target is 63-82%. Do you think the Government’s target of 26-28% should be increased so Australia reduces emissions faster, decreased so Australia does less, or kept the same? Total Female Male 18-34 35-50 51-65 65+ Increased 59.6% 63.3% 55.8% 65.8% 63.3% 59.7% 45.5% Stay the Same 18.4% 13.4% 23.8% 13.0% 17.5% 19.3% 26.9% Reduced 17.2% 16.2% 18.3% 18.2% 15.1% 15.9% 20.4% Don’t know / Unsure 4.7% 7.1% 2.3% 3.0% 4.0% 5.1% 7.2% Total Liberal Labor Green ONP Oth Und Increased 59.6% 30.1% 84.9% 96.8% 0.0% 57.1% 59.6% Stay the Same 18.4% 31.3% 9.0% 0.8% 31.6% 17.9% 19.2% Reduced 17.2% 31.9% 4.5% 0.8% 63.2% 21.4% 5.8% Don’t know / Unsure 4.7% 6.7% 1.6% 1.6% 5.3% 3.6% 15.4% This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 886voters.