PUPIL PLACEMENT PLANNING - AREA 1 School capacity compared to projected admissions Capacity NOR Surplus/Deficit % Surplus/Deficit Planning Area 1 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Hungerford Primary School 449 449 449 449 449 392 410 403 393 396 57 39 46 56 53 13% 9% 10% 12% 12% Inkpen Primary School 102 102 102 102 102 73 75 71 72 74 29 27 31 30 28 28% 26% 30% 29% 27% Kintbury St Marys C.E. Primary School 210 210 210 210 210 163 154 149 146 154 47 56 61 64 56 22% 27% 29% 30% 27% Lambourn C.E. Primary VC 209 209 209 209 209 202 219 228 225 233 7 -10 -19 -16 -24 3% -5% -9% -8% -11% With With Housing Total Primaries 970 970 970 970 970 830 858 851 836 857 140 112 119 134 113 14% 12% 12% 14% 12% Total Primaries Inc Aided 970 970 970 970 970 830 858 851 836 857 140 112 119 134 113 14% 12% 12% 14% 12% Hungerford Primary School 449 449 449 449 449 391 409 401 390 394 58 40 48 59 55 13% 9% 11% 13% 12% Inkpen Primary School 102 102 102 102 102 73 75 71 72 74 29 27 31 30 28 28% 26% 30% 29% 27% Kintbury St Marys C.E. Primary School 210 210 210 210 210 163 154 149 146 154 47 56 61 64 56 22% 27% 29% 30% 27% Lambourn C.E. Primary VC 209 209 209 209 209 200 216 225 223 231 9 -7 -16 -14 -22 4% -3% -8% -7% -11% Total Primaries 970 970 970 970 970 827 854 846 831 853 143 116 124 139 117 15% 12% 13% 14% 12% Without Housing Total Primaries Inc Aided 970 970 970 970 970 827 854 846 831 853 143 116 124 139 117 15% 12% 13% 14% 12% Population data Versus intake (reception year) historic Summary: There is small but consistent rise and fall year-on-year across the planning area, resulting in a Actual Intake (Reception) year only - September stable NOR forecast across the 5-year period. There is sufficient capacity across the planning area and on a 2013 2014 2015 2016 school by school basis. There is predicted growth for Lambourn based on fluctuations in GP data and POP NOR POP NOR POP NOR POP NOR increasing popularity. It is anticipated that capacity will be sufficient. Hungerford shows high numbers at Hungerford Primary School 78 71 73 76 68 57 66 54 reception in 2018 and 2019, again capacity is expected to be sufficient. Inkpen Primary School 14 12 11 8 11 14 7 3 Kintbury St Marys C.E. Primary School 39 24 22 14 30 22 51 31 There is a significant amount of outward movement from the area and a small amount of inward Lambourn C.E. Primary VC 51 26 50 23 55 25 50 35 movement. Families make a choice between the bigger school and outlying village schools, which provide genuine choice. Generally these inward/outward movements remain consistent year on year. Population data Versus intake (reception year) Projection Intake (Reception) year only - September With Housing 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 PAN NOR PAN NOR PAN NOR PAN NOR PAN NOR Hungerford Primary School 56 61 56 75 56 67 56 58 56 74 Inkpen Primary School 12 4 12 12 12 6 12 14 12 8 Surplus 2017 57 Kintbury St Marys C.E. Primary School 30 34 30 19 30 19 30 23 30 26 60 Lambourn C.E. Primary VC 30 28 30 34 30 35 30 27 30 31 Total 128 127 128 140 128 127 128 122 128 139 50 47 Population data Versus intake (reception year) Projection 40 Intake (Reception) year only - September 29 Without Housing 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 30 PAN NOR PAN NOR PAN NOR PAN NOR PAN NOR Hungerford Primary School 56 61 56 75 56 67 56 58 56 74 20 Inkpen Primary School 12 4 12 12 12 6 12 14 12 8 Kintbury St Marys C.E. Primary School 30 34 30 19 30 19 30 23 30 26 10 7 Lambourn C.E. Primary VC 30 28 30 34 30 35 30 27 30 31 Total 128 127 128 140 128 127 128 122 128 139 0 145 Reception Forecast Totals (with housing) 140 139 140 135 130 128 127 128 128 127 128 128 125 122 120 115 110 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 PAN INTAKE West Berkshire - 28/02/2018.