SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC AND ECONOMIC SECTOR ANALYSIS FINAL REPORT AUGUST 15, 2008 SUBMITTED TO: NUNAVUT PLANNING COMMISSION SUBMITTED BY: SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC AND ECONOMIC SECTOR ANALYSIS NUNAVUT PLANNING COMMISSION August 15, 2008 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary.....................................................................................................................................................v Acronyms....................................................................................................................................................................xv Glossary of Terms................................................................................................................................................... xvii 1.0 Introduction ...........................................................................................................................................................1 1.1 Overview of the Study.................................................................................................................................1 1.1.1 The Nunavut Planning Commission .................................................................................................1 1.1.2 Purpose of the Report........................................................................................................................1 1.1.3 The Territory.....................................................................................................................................2 1.1.4 Structure of the Report......................................................................................................................3 2.0 Methodology ..................................................................................................................................................3 2.1 Data Collection / Information Sources.......................................................................................................4 2.1.1 Literature and Document Review .....................................................................................................4 2.1.2 Statistical Data Review .....................................................................................................................4 2.1.3 Interviews..........................................................................................................................................4 2.1.4 Spatial Database and Sources............................................................................................................5 2.2 Data Assumptions and Limitations.............................................................................................................5 2.2.1 Interview Data...................................................................................................................................5 2.2.2 Demographic Data............................................................................................................................6 2.2.3 Spatial Data.......................................................................................................................................6 2.3 Scope of the Analysis ..................................................................................................................................6 2.3.1 Scope of Socio-Demographic Analysis.............................................................................................6 2.3.2 Scope of Economic Analysis ............................................................................................................7 2.3.3 The Analysis .....................................................................................................................................7 3.0 Study Findings...............................................................................................................................................7 3.1 Population Trends in Nunavut....................................................................................................................7 3.1.1 Recent Population Trends 1996 – 2006 ............................................................................................8 3.1.2 Historic Population Growth 1961 -2006 .........................................................................................23 3.1.3 Population Projections 2006 to 2031 ..............................................................................................24 3.2 Current Socio-Economic Profile 2006 .....................................................................................................26 3.2.1 Labour Force Participation..............................................................................................................27 3.2.2 Educational Levels..........................................................................................................................28 3.2.3 Average Income Levels ..................................................................................................................35 3.2.4 Workforce by Industry Sector.........................................................................................................41 3.2.5 Workforce by Occupation...............................................................................................................41 3.2.6 Income Level by 1) Education Levels, 2) Occupation, and 3) Industry Sector...............................45 3.3 Existing Economic Conditions..................................................................................................................51 3.3.1 Overview of Existing Economic Conditions...................................................................................51 3.3.2 Transportation and Shipping Routes...............................................................................................57 3.3.3 Commercial Fisheries .....................................................................................................................61 3.3.4 Government.....................................................................................................................................66 3.3.5 Tourism...........................................................................................................................................72 3.3.6 Communication...............................................................................................................................82 3.3.7 Oil and Gas.....................................................................................................................................85 3.3.8 Energy Structure .............................................................................................................................87 3.3.9 Arts and Crafts ................................................................................................................................91 3.3.10 Wildlife ...........................................................................................................................................96 3.3.11 Mining...........................................................................................................................................100 3.4 Future Economic Development Opportunities .......................................................................................122 3.4.1 Overview of Future Economic Development Opportunities.........................................................122 3.4.2 Transportation and Shipping Routes.............................................................................................126 Terriplan Consultants i SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC AND ECONOMIC SECTOR ANALYSIS NUNAVUT PLANNING COMMISSION August 15, 2008 3.4.3 Commercial Fisheries ...................................................................................................................130 3.4.4 Government...................................................................................................................................131 3.4.5 Tourism.........................................................................................................................................132 3.4.6 Communications ...........................................................................................................................134 3.4.7 Oil and Gas Sector ........................................................................................................................136 3.4.8 Energy...........................................................................................................................................136 3.4.9 Arts and Crafts ..............................................................................................................................139 3.4.10 Wildlife .........................................................................................................................................141 3.4.11 Mining...........................................................................................................................................142 4.0 Conclusions ................................................................................................................................................144 List of Figures Figure 1: Map of Nunavut .............................................................................................................................................3 Figure 2: Map of Nunavut: Regions and Communities ...............................................................................................10