No. TRANSPORT PLANNING AUTHORITY MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT THE ARAB REPUBLIC OF EGYPT MiNTS – MISR NATIONAL TRANSPORT STUDY THE COMPREHENSIVE STUDY ON THE MASTER PLAN FOR NATIONWIDE TRANSPORT SYSTEM IN THE ARAB REPUBLIC OF EGYPT FINAL REPORT SUMMARY March 2012 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY ORIENTAL CONSULTANTS CO., LTD. ALMEC CORPORATION EID KATAHIRA & ENGINEERS INTERNATIONAL JR - 12 065 No. TRANSPORT PLANNING AUTHORITY MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT THE ARAB REPUBLIC OF EGYPT MiNTS – MISR NATIONAL TRANSPORT STUDY THE COMPREHENSIVE STUDY ON THE MASTER PLAN FOR NATIONWIDE TRANSPORT SYSTEM IN THE ARAB REPUBLIC OF EGYPT FINAL REPORT SUMMARY March 2012 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY ORIENTAL CONSULTANTS CO., LTD. ALMEC CORPORATION EID KATAHIRA & ENGINEERS INTERNATIONAL JR - 12 065 USD1.00 = EGP5.96 USD1.00 = JPY77.91 (Exchange rate of January 2012) MiNTS: Misr National Transport Study Summary: The Master Plan TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES LIST OF FIGURES LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS Item Page S.1 ROLE OF THIS REPORT .................................................................................................................. 1 S.2 THE PLANNING PILLARS................................................................................................................ 3 S.3 SOCIO-ECONOMIC EVOLUTION..................................................................................................... 5 S.4 SECTOR PERFORMANCE ............................................................................................................... 7 S.4.1 The Hardware Element ...................................................................................................................... 7 S.4.2 The Software Element........................................................................................................................ 8 S.4.3 The Humanware Element................................................................................................................... 9 S.5 TESTING FUTURE SCENARIOS.................................................................................................... 10 S.6 CORRIDOR FORMATION ............................................................................................................... 12 S.7 HARDWARE INITIATIVES............................................................................................................... 15 S.8 HUMANWARE INITIATIVES............................................................................................................ 16 S.9 SOFTWARE INITIATIVES ............................................................................................................... 17 S.10 PROJECT PRIORITIZATION........................................................................................................... 19 S.10.1 Methodology..................................................................................................................................... 19 S.10.2 Attribution of Weights ....................................................................................................................... 20 S.10.3 Highest Priority Initiatives................................................................................................................. 21 S.10.4 The Ranked Structure ...................................................................................................................... 23 S.10.5 Implementation Logic ....................................................................................................................... 25 S.11 FISCAL CONSIDERATIONS ........................................................................................................... 28 S.12 STAGING THE PLAN ...................................................................................................................... 32 S.13 RECOMMENDED FEASIBILITY AND FOLLOW-ON STUDIES ..................................................... 37 S.13.1 Egypt Transport Center .................................................................................................................... 37 S.13.2 Intermodal Transport Corridor .......................................................................................................... 37 S.13.3 Road Maintenance and Road Safety Initiatives................................................................................ 38 S.13.4 Mediterranean Corridor .................................................................................................................... 39 Annex 1 Project Listing (Intermodal Transport Corridor) .................................................................................. 41 Annex 2 Project Listing (Cairo - Damietta/ Port Said Corridor)......................................................................... 43 Annex 3 Project Listing (Cairo - Alexandria Corridor and Cairo - Suez Corridor)............................................. 44 Annex 4 Project Listing (Inland Delta and Suez Canal Development Corridor)................................................ 45 Annex 5 Project Listing (Mediterranean Corridor and Sinai Corridor) .............................................................. 47 Annex 6 Project Listing (Red Sea Corridor) ..................................................................................................... 48 Annex 7 Project Listing (Upper Egypt Corridor)................................................................................................ 49 Annex 8 Project Listing (East - West Corridor)................................................................................................. 51 i MiNTS: Misr National Transport Study Summary: The Master Plan LIST OF TABLES Item Page Table S. 3.1 National Population Growth ........................................................................................................... 5 Table S. 3.2 MiNTS Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Forecasts ........................................................................ 6 Table S. 3.3 Total Volume of Major Commodities............................................................................................... 6 Table S. 3.4 National Employment Growth ........................................................................................................ 6 Table S. 4.1 Annual Modal Share for Egyptian Freight Movement..................................................................... 7 Table S. 4.2 Year 2010 Passenger Modal Split.................................................................................................. 7 Table S. 5.1 Overview of Transport Scenarios................................................................................................. 10 Table S. 5.2 Scenario Comparison....................................................................................................................11 Table S. 7.1 MiNTS Hardware Initiatives.......................................................................................................... 15 Table S. 8.1 MiNTS Humanware Initiatives...................................................................................................... 16 Table S. 9.1 MiNTS Software Initiatives........................................................................................................... 17 Table S.10.1 The MiNTS Indicators .................................................................................................................. 19 Table S.10.2 Final Multi-criteria Analysis Weighting System............................................................................. 21 Table S. 10.3 Implementation Logic for the Short and Medium Term Planning Horizon...................................... 25 Table S. 11.1 Historic National Transport Investment.......................................................................................... 30 Table S. 11.2 Government Investment on Transport Infrastructure: Sixth 5-Year Plan ....................................... 31 Table S. 12.1 Initiative Staging – Short Term Planning Period (Present to Year 2017) ....................................... 32 Table S. 12.2 Initiative Staging – Mid-Term Planning Period (Year 2018 through Year 2022)............................. 32 Table S. 12.3 Initiative Staging – Long Term Planning Period (Year 2023 through Year 2027)........................... 32 ii MiNTS: Misr National Transport Study Summary: The Master Plan LIST OF FIGURES Item Page Figure S.1.1 The National Transport Network.....................................................................................................2 Figure S.2.1 Context of the Planning Pillars........................................................................................................3 Figure S.2.2 Transport Strategy Building Blocks.................................................................................................4 Figure S.5.1 Scenario Performance Indicators ................................................................................................. 10 Figure S.6.1 Defining the Transport Corridors................................................................................................... 12 Figure S.6.2 Year 2027 MiNTS Transport Corridors.......................................................................................... 13 Figure S.6.3 Concept of Intermodal Transport Corridor .................................................................................... 14 Figure S.10.1 Consolidated Implementation Logic.............................................................................................