STUDY REPORT Wyre Local Plan – A585(T) corridor evidence base Prepared for Highways England April 2016 Building 304 Bridgewater Place Birchwood Park Warrington WA3 6XG CH2M Contents Section Page Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Purpose of this report ................................................................................................... 1 1.3 Structure of this report ................................................................................................. 1 Study context .............................................................................................................................. 2 2.1 Local Plan context ......................................................................................................... 2 2.2 Study area and the SRN ................................................................................................ 2 Study methodology ..................................................................................................................... 4 3.1 Method overview .......................................................................................................... 4 3.2 Segmented approach .................................................................................................... 4 3.3 Model platforms (and base data) ................................................................................. 5 3.4 Development data ........................................................................................................ 6 Flow derivation ........................................................................................................................... 7 4.1 2014 base flows ............................................................................................................ 7 4.2 2031 future year flows .................................................................................................. 8 A585(T) link assessment ............................................................................................................ 17 5.1 Overview ..................................................................................................................... 17 5.2 Link assessment .......................................................................................................... 17 Junction assessments ................................................................................................................ 19 6.1 Overview ..................................................................................................................... 19 6.2 M55 junction 3 ............................................................................................................ 20 6.2.1 2014 ‘base’ and ‘do-minimum’ assessments ................................................. 20 6.2.2 2031 ‘do-something’ assessments ................................................................. 21 6.3 A585(T) Thistleton ...................................................................................................... 22 6.3.1 2014 ‘base’ and 2031 ‘do-minimum’ assessments ........................................ 22 6.4 A585(T) Windy Harbour – Skippool ............................................................................ 23 6.4.1 Major improvement scheme ......................................................................... 23 6.4.2 Study consideration ....................................................................................... 23 6.5 A585(T) / Norcross Lane / Fleetwood Road ................................................................ 24 6.5.1 2014 ‘base’ and 2031 ‘do-minimum’ assessments ........................................ 24 6.5.2 2031 ‘do-something’ assessments ................................................................. 25 6.6 A585(T) / Anchorsholme Lane .................................................................................... 26 6.6.1 2014 ‘base’ and 2031 ‘do-minimum’ assessments ........................................ 26 6.6.2 2031 ‘do-something’ assessments ................................................................. 27 6.7 A585(T) / Victoria Road ............................................................................................... 27 6.7.1 2014 ‘base’ and 2031 ‘do-minimum’ assessments ........................................ 27 6.7.2 2031 ‘do-something’ assessments ................................................................. 28 6.8 A585(T) / West Drive .................................................................................................. 29 6.8.1 2014 ‘base’ and 2031 ‘do-minimum’ assessments ........................................ 29 6.8.2 2031 ‘do-something’ assessments ................................................................. 30 6.9 A585(T) / Bourne Way ................................................................................................ 30 6.9.1 2014 ‘base’ and 2031 ‘do-minimum’ assessments ........................................ 30 6.9.2 2031 ‘do-something’ assessments ................................................................. 31 6.10 Junction assessments summary.................................................................................. 31 Fylde Local Plan Consideration .................................................................................................. 33 7.1 Background ................................................................................................................. 33 CH2M III CONTENTS Section Page 7.2 Methodology............................................................................................................... 33 7.3 Outputs summary ....................................................................................................... 34 Summary .................................................................................................................................. 37 8.1 Conclusions ................................................................................................................. 37 8.2 Study tool .................................................................................................................... 37 IV CH2M CONTENTS Section Page Figure 2.1: A585(T) Corridor from M55 to Fleetwood ............................................................................ 3 Figure 3.1: Segmented study approach – overview ............................................................................... 4 Figure 4.1: 2014 base flows (A585(T) southern segment) ...................................................................... 7 Figure 4.2: 2014 base flows (A585(T) northern segment) ...................................................................... 8 Figure 4.3: AM TEMPro traffic growth from 2014 to 2031 for the Wyre zone..................................... 10 Figure 4.4: PM TEMPro traffic growth from 2014 to 2031 for the Wyre zone ..................................... 10 Figure 4.5: 2014 – 2031 background traffic growth (A585(T) southern segment) ............................... 11 Figure 4.6: 2014 – 2031 background traffic growth (A585(T) northern segment) ............................... 12 Figure 4.7: Plan development trips (A585(T) southern segment) ........................................................ 13 Figure 4.8: Plan development trips (A585(T) northern segment) ........................................................ 14 Figure 4.9: 2031 future assessment year trips (southern segment) ..................................................... 15 Figure 4.10: 2031 future assessment year trips (northern segment) ................................................... 16 Figure 6.1: M55 junction 3 – 2014 ‘base’ and 2031 ‘do-minimum’ max queue lengths ...................... 20 Figure 6.2: A585(T) Thistleton – 2014 ‘base’ and 2031 ‘do-minimum’ max queue lengths ................. 22 Figure 6.3: A585(T) / Norcross Lane / Fleetwood Road – 2014 ‘base’, 2031 ‘do-minimum’ and 2031 ‘do-something’ max and average queue lengths.................................................................................. 25 Figure 6.4: A585(T) / Anchorsholme Lane – 2014 ‘base’, 2031 ‘do-minimum’ and 2031 ‘do- something’ max and average queue lengths ........................................................................................ 27 Figure 6.5: A585(T) / Victoria Road – 2014 ‘base’, 2031 ‘do-minimum’ and 2031 ‘do-something’ max and average queue lengths ................................................................................................................... 28 Figure 6.6: A585(T) / West Drive – 2014 ‘base’, 2031 ‘do-minimum’ and 2031 ‘do-something’ max and average queue lengths ................................................................................................................... 30 Figure 6.7: A585(T) / Bourne Way – 2014 ‘base’, 2031 ‘do-minimum’ and 2031 ‘do-something’ max and average queue lengths ................................................................................................................... 31 Figure 7.1: Committed Fylde Plan development trips at M55 junction 3 ............................................ 33 Figure 7.2: Full Fylde Plan development trips at M55 junction 3 ......................................................... 33 Figure 7.3: 2031 future assessment year