Ward profile 2021 Lymm North and Thelwall WARRINGTON Borough Council ProducedProduced byby BusinessBusiness IntelligenceIntelligence ServiceService Back to top Contents 1. Population of Warrington 2. Population of Lymm North and Thelwall 3. Deprivation 4. Education - Free School Meals 5. Education - Special Educational Needs 6. Education - Black Minority Ethnic 7. Education - First language 8. Education -E arly years aged 4/5 - Early Years Foundation Stage 9. Education - End of primary school aged 10/11 - Key Stage 2 10. Education - End of secondary school aged 14/15 - Key stage 4 (Progress 8) 11. Education - End of secondary school aged 14/15 - Key stage 4 (Attainment 8) 12. Health - Life expectancy 13. Health - Breastfeeding and smoking mothers 14. Health - Overweight and obese reception children 15. Health - Overweight and obese Year 6 children 16. Children’s social care - Children in need 17. Adult social care – Service users 18. Crime 19. Anti-social behaviour 20. House prices 21. Universal Credit – as at December 2020 22. Universal Credit – 24 month rolling period Note: some statistics provided in previous years have not been collected due to Covid-19. WARRINGTON Borough Council Produced by Business Intelligence Service Back to top Population by broad age group Population – Warrington 15 and Under 16 to 64 65 and over Estimated population: Ward population were estimated from ONS small area population statistics for Lower Super Output Areas for mid-2019. Wards range from approximately 6,300 residents in Westbrook to 12,725 in Poplars and Hulme. 18.9% 18.9% Population structure: The age structure of the population affects a range of service needs. Some wards have a much older population than the Warrington ' ' average, and some a much younger population. Overall Warrington is similar to national figures and the North West, in 2019, 19% were aged 0-15, 62% aged 16- 64, and 19% aged 65+. 39,639 130,730 39,645 Looking at specific younger age groups, in Warrington approximately 6% of the Warrington population – Percentage by 5 year age categories (2019) population were aged 0-4. By ward, the highest proportion of 0-4s can be found in Latchford East (8%), Poplars and Hulme (7%), Bewsey and Whitecross (7%) and 90t Fairfield and Howley (7%). 85 to 89 80 t o 84 In Warrington approximately 23% of the population were aged 0-19. The ward 75 to 79 estimates for this age group ranges from 19% (Latchford West) to 29% (Poplars 70 to 74 and Hulme). 6,5 to 6,9 60 to 64 The proportion of those aged 80 and older in Warrington is approximately 5%. 55 to 59 Wards with a higher proportion of these oldest populations include Penketh and 50 to 54 Cuerdley (10%), Burtonwood and Winwick (7%), Culcheth, Glazebury and Croft 45 to 49 (7%) and Grappenhall (7%). 40 to 44 35 to 39 Population projections show that Warrington's population is forecast to increase 30 to 34 25 to 29 to 214,000 by 2030. 20 to 24 15 to 19 Households: Warrington has approximately 97,815 residential properties as at lO to 14 October 2020, with the largest numbers in Bewsey and Whitecross (7,043) and 5 to 9 Fairfield and Howley (6,128) and the smallest numbers in Westbrook (2,715) and O to 4 Burtonwood and Winwick (2,753). 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 Percentlge Male / Female W arrington M ale % W arrington Fem ale % Source: Office for National Statistics. Figures based on mid-2019 population estimates. © Crown Copyright. Adapted from data from the Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government License v3.0. Some figures are rounded to the nearest 100 and therefore percentages may not sum to 100. WARRINGTON Borough Council Produced by Business Intelligence Service Back to top Population – Lymm North & Thelwall Population by broad age category (2019) Compared to Warrington's population structure there are: Lymm North & % Warrington % • Higher proportions of 5 to 19 year olds and most age groups 40 years and Thelwall older, with smaller proportions in age groups 20 to 39. Total population 2019 10,877 210,014 Children (0-15 years) 2,067 19.0% 39,639 18.9% Warrington's population: The latest population estimate (2019) for Warrington is 2 10,014. Projections show that Warrington's population is forecast to increase to Working age (16-64) 6,401 58.8% 130,730 62.2% 2 14,000 by 2030. Older people (65+) 2,409 22.1% 39,645 18.9% Younger age groups 0-4 566 5.2% 11,596 5.5% 0-19 2,541 23.4% 48,551 23.1% Ward population - 5 year age categories (2019) Oldest people (80+) 80+ 660 6.1% 10,214 4.9% 9o+ 85 t o 89 80 t o 8 4 75 t o 79 Age category proportions compared to Warrington (2019) 70 t o 74 65 t o 69 60 t o 64 62.2% 55 t o 59 5,8 .8% 50 t o 54 <I S t o 49 40 t o 44 35 t o 39 I I 30 t o 34 I I 25 t o 29 I I 20 t o 24 I I 15 t o 19 l O t o 14 22.1% 5 to 9 I 18.9% 18.9% O to 4 I 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 Percentage M al e/ Femal e W arrington M ale % W arrington Fem ale% Lymm No rth & The lwall M ale% Lymm Nort h & Thelwall Fem ale% Childre n (0-15 ye ars) Working Age (16~64!) Older People (65+ ) Lymm North and Thelwall W arrington Source: Office for National Statistics. Figures based on mid-2019 population estimates. © Crown Copyright. Adapted from data from the Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government License v3.0. Some figures are rounded to the nearest 100 and therefore percentages may not sum to 100. WARRINGTON Borough Council Produced by Business Intelligence Service Back to top i i Ai;,i,1'1ton 2 BtWH)' & 'WllitHroJ.11 Deprivation 3 Bltt.mtood 4 Bli!r!QIV!l!Wd & Wlmvl!ilk 5,Cl'.I ~r-ard&OIII IIBII Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) 2019 ll, Culchelh,. Gliiz,ol:!ufy & Croft 7 ~ rllatcU, Ho•~ 8~app,!1:11'.1!11 The map shows the spread of deprivation across Warrington along 9 ~ai S,, ~y N1;11rth ~ !Miiltl~ H•I 1:oliir. at81111t;ay Soulill with the ward boundaries. The most deprived areas are shaded '111...iil<:l'IP«d Ea -1 112 U~hr«d W.sl blue, tend to be in inner Warrington, and the least deprived shaded 1131.)'n,m North , 1he1Wall i!4 1..ymm s..u_,r, green, in outer Warrington. 1SQrfQ<ld tll l'fflilelh & •O\l,lrdl"')' '117 l'opl;,q ,9, H11lm Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) are small geographical units. 118 IPOUIIOII Nodtl 1.9 l"oulion So,IJ!Jj Deprivation is measured using the Index of Multiple Deprivation 20 Ahlo!>&, Woofslon 21 Stoclllon ltDW! (IMD) 2019. For each LSOA, a deprivation score is calculated 22W..i;lb:r<;><JI,; covering a broad range of issues: income, employment, health and disability, education and skills, housing and services, crime, and living environment. There are wide inequalities between people living in areas of high levels of deprivation and those living in areas of low deprivation; more deprived populations generally have poorer outcomes in terms of health, education etc. All 127 LSOAs in Warrington are ordered by IMD score and have been split into ten different categories (deciles). In Warrington borough, approximately 19% of residents live in the 20% most deprived areas. Approximately 31% live in the 20% least deprived. ndex of Mult iple De privation - Dec il es 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l!O Average deprivation score by ward (higher score = more deprived) ------ Appleton Bewsey and Birchwood Burtonwood Chapelford and Culcheth, Fairfield and Grappenhall Great Sankey Great Sankey Latchford East Whitecross and Winwick Old Hall Glazebury and Howley North and South Croft Whittle Hall 1-----7.6 W36.3 22.8 I 18.5 I 9.9 I 11.5 W32.8 -----+---------+--------4.8 8.2 15.3 W34.0 Latchford West Lymm North Lymm South Orford Penketh and Poplars and Poulton North Poulton South Rixton and Stockton Heath Westbrook and Thelwall Cuerdley Hulme Woolston -1-1-20.1 6.3 6.6 - 37.5 - 10.1 - 39.5 21.6 I 12.1 10.2 7.4 I 11.1 I Warrington total: 19.1 WARRINGTON Borough Council Produced by Business Intelligence Service Back to top Education – Free School Meals (FSM) Free School Meals The Department for Education considers the gap School census 2020 – FSM based on pupil postcodes between children who are known to be eligible for Pupils that were eligible between the census in October 2019 and the census in January 2020 Free School Meals (FSM), and other children. Eligibility for FSM is based on being in receipt of certain means- st % Pup,ils Eligible For FSM By Ward tested benefits. From 1 April 2018 changes have been made by central government, this means that any child OJ)0% 5.00% 10.00% 1 5.00% 20.00% 2 5.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% with an existing entitlement to free school meals will A pplet o n continue to be eligible until the rollout is st Bewsey & W hitec ross completed. The rollout is scheduled to end on 31 Bir chw ood March 2022. Once the rollout is completed the child Burtonw ood & W inw ick will keep their free school meal entitlement until the Chapelford & Old Hall end of their current phase of education (i.e.