Local climate change adaptation action plan of Roztochchya (Ivano-Frankove, Lviv region) - territory with high protection status Ivano-Frankove, Lviv. 2016 Authors and consultants: Gorban Igor – executive director of NGO "Public Institute of Environmental Protection"; Bilskyi Ivan – GIS expert, NGO Yavoriv Etnographic Society "Hostynec"; Bilska Lesya – researcher in Natural Reserve “Roztochchya”; Stryamets Galyna - researcher in Natural Reserve “Roztochchya”; Bashynsky Julia - NGO "Public Institute of Environmental Protection"; Skobalo Oksana - researcher in Natural Reserve “Roztochchya”; Gorban Ostap - "Public Institute of Environmental Protection"; Gorban Lyubov - researcher in Natural Reserve “Roztochchya”; Khomyn Igor - NGO "Nature of Roztochchya"; Lyesnik Volodymyr - Assistant in Department of Zoology of Lviv National University; Zabytivskyy Yurij - PhD, deputy director of the Lviv Research Station of Fisheries Institute; Lyubynets Irina, Deputy Director of Yavoriv National Park; Nazaruk Kateryne, Department of Zoology of Lviv National University; Tymkiv Irina, a graduate student of Lviv National University. Partners: local community of Ivano-Frankove, Yavoriv rayon, Lvivska oblast; administration of Natural Reserve “Roztochchya”. Copyright and distribution of materials This document has been developed by NGO "Public Institute of Environmental Protection" of the project "Climate change adaptation for sustainable development of local communities in terms of territory with high protection status", with the financial support of the National Ecological Centre of Ukraine (NECU) under the program „Climate Forum East“ (CFE II). This program is financed by the European Union, Austrian Development Cooperation and the Austrian Red Cross. Copies of all or part of this study may be made for non-commercial use, providing the source is acknowledged. NECU and CFE II would appreciate receiving details of this use. Requests for commercial reproduction should be directed to [email protected], [email protected] and [email protected] INTRODUCTION In September 2015 UNESCO (Paris) approval documentation held on the creation of transboundary biosphere reserve by UNESCO "Roztochchya" This area will bring together three nature ptotected objects of Ukraine and Polish National Park Roztochchy. Ukrainian part of biosphere reserve by UNESCO " Roztochchya " already approved by UNESCO, but there is no any experience in management and implementation of action plans for such large territory where local governments, educational institutions and community organizations have to develop their cooperation and dialogue. Such cooperation should help to strengthen the involvement of local communities in the process make more informed decisions, increasing responsibility of local residants in shaping environmental policy for sustainable community development. The main problem for the region, in addition to already mentioned above, there are issues of sustainable environmental management in high natural reserve areas, which is associated with the possibilities of adapting communities to existing climate change. 1. General description and overview of the target community Research within the project has captured two administrative districts (Yavoriv and Zhovkva) north- west of Lviv, where the physical and geographical area of eastern Roztochchya that fits with the Polish part of Western Roztochchya. This is mainly forested area and there was formed a number of protected areas, including those with the highest national status - Nature Reserve "Roztochchya" Yavoriv National Park, and others. Therefore, various organizations and local communities in both regions held preliminary discussions on the already significant problems associated with climate change. The main European watershed Roztochchya - a hill that stretches from the Lviv city in the northwest direction at 60 kilometers and continues in Poland on 120 km. The project "Climate change adaptation for sustainable development of local communities in terms of territory with high protection status" defined purpose to form Local Climate Change Adaptation Action Plan of Roztochchya. A preliminary analysis of the communities that are formed in the two administrative districts (Yavoriv and Zhovkva) of Lviv oblast, and located on the north and north- west, where neighboring state border with Poland. The main focus of the project is Ivano-Frankove village, located in the Yavoriv administrative district. Location of the village is very special - it is located approximately in the middle of branching highway between cities Yavoriv, Lviv and Zhovkva. Integrated green zone formed outside the village characterized by large forests and river and lake spaces. Ivano-Frankove village council consists of the village Ivano-Frankove and small villages Vereshchytsia and Lelehivka. The community, can be described as compact, quite populated. Local government in the Ivano-Frankove village represented the village council. The population - about 7,000 people, including Ivano Frankove about 6000 people, Vereshchytsia village - about 570 people, Lelehivka village - about 365 people. Area of communities within the settlements - 597.28 hectares, the total area with areas outside the village 13,739.43. Basic Land - forest lands, water resources, arable land. There are no shares in the Ivano-Frankove village council. Arable land is 267.37 hectares, gardens - 40.12 hectares, hayfields - 83,5 ha, pastures - 160.96 hectares, forests - 9804.12 hectares, wetlands - 333.0 hectares, open without vegetation covering grounds - 1973.37 hectares, water surface - 826 ha. It is clear that the village council has less of land resources available for agriculture. The economy is not very diversified. Main profile - agriculture (grain and industrial crops). In animal over the last few years have seen a gradual increase in the number of pigs. An important area of local economic development are forestry and woodworking industry. Development of natural protected areas around the Ivano-Frankove village helps to developing tourist potential, particularly thanks to the Yavoriv National Park. Social security and infrastructure. There are 1 817 private households in Ivano Frankove village council. The villages have gas supply since 1984. The social infrastructure of the village consists of district hospitals, community centers, schools, two kindergartens, two stadiums, sports center and children's creativity. Social infrastructure of Vereshchytsia consists of a local school, library and stadium. Social infrastructure of Lelehivka consists of a school and a health post. In recent years, for local communities of Ivano-Frankove and Lelehivka were developed General plans. For the Vereshchytsia village General plan is in process. Totaly, the Ukrainian side of Roztochchya there are 45 objects of natural reserve fund. Territory of Ivano-Frankove village council. 2. Regional trends of climate change Analysis of meteorological data from meteorological stations in the Roztochchya (Yavoriv, Rava - Ruska, Bryukhovychi, weather station of Natural Reserve "Roztochchya", Lviv International Airport weather station) during the last 50 years, shows significant changes in the local climate trends. Indicators and trends of climate change in the reference period from 1985 analyzes based on available data and long-term observations of local weather stations. Changes are the following: By 2050 the average annual temperature will increase by 1-1,7°C (summer - 1,9°C and in winter - 1,5°C). This will reduce the period with temperatures below 0°C, the extension of the warm dry season, increasing the intensity of evaporation, increasing the number of hot days and decrease the period of permanent snow cover. Assumed a rapid change of seasons. Long-term forecasts of precipitation characterized by considerable uncertainty. Projected reduction in average precipitation for 5-18%, but is also possible slight (5%) increase in precipitation due to heavy rains in the warm season. Extreme and dangerous weather events such as storms, tornadoes, hurricanes, heavy rains and snowfall, thunderstorms and hail will occur more frequently and will have more destructive power. Local small rivers in consequence reducing runoff (by 5-20%) and its redistribution for seasons, experiencing severe water stress. Table 1. Indicators and trends of climate change (base period 1985) Period (years) Options / features Comments 2011-2030 2031-2050 The average annual The average temperature in the surface will temperature +0.7°С ↑ 1.0-1.5°С↑ increase Maximum annual temperature +0.8°С ↑ +1.5°С ↑ Increasing of absolute maximum temperature Minimal annual Assumed that the minimum temperature will fall temperature +0.6°С ↓ +1.5°С ↓ or become more fluctuate Temperature in summer months +0.5°С ↑ +1.0°С ↑ Increase, mainly in July - August Temperature in winter +0.5°С ↑ +1.2°С ↑ Increase, mainly in January-February months Number of days with frost ↓ ↓ Decreases Assumed acceleration changes in the seasons Duration of warm period ↑ ↑ timing, it is possible sharp transitions from one phenological phase to the another Duration of a swow cover ↓ ↓ Extremly decreases period without thaws Days with overall snow ↓ ↓ Decreases cover Projected increase in annual precipitation and Total annual precipitation +2%↑ +4%↑ significant redistribution of precipitation between seasons Assumed increase in temperature, accompanied by an increase in moisture content in the lower Extreme precipitation, troposphere. This will increase the variability
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