ELBASAN REGIONAL ENERGY EFFICIENCY ACTION PLAN Prepared for the Climate Technology Centre and Network by: Kalterina Shulla Alma Fataj Rodon Miraj Edited by the UNEP-DTU Partnership / Copenhagen Centre on Energy Efficiency Exposure Draft November 2017 1 | P a g e Contents 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ....................................................................................................................................... 4 2. CONTEXT ........................................................................................................................................................... 5 2.1. THE ALBANIAN ENERGY SECTOR .............................................................................................................................. 5 2.2. CLIMATE DATA ..................................................................................................................................................... 6 2.3. ALBANIA NATIONAL ENERGY EFFICIENCY ACTION PLAN (NEEAP) .................................................................................. 7 2.4. SUSTAINABLE ENERGY ACTION PLAN (SEAP): TIRANA ................................................................................................. 8 2.5. RATIONALE FOR THE FOCUS ON THE ELBASAN REGION AND ITS APPLICABILITY TO OTHER REGIONS/CITIES ............................... 9 2.6. OVERVIEW OF THE ELBASAN REGION AND ITS ENERGY SECTOR ....................................................................................... 9 3. DATA AVAILABILITY, CAPTURE AND ANALYSIS – TARGET SECTORS AND METHODOLOGY ................................10 4. PUBLIC BUILDINGS ............................................................................................................................................11 4.1. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ................................................................................................................................... 11 4.2. BUILDING TYPOLOGY OF EXISTING PUBLIC BUILDINGS IN THE ELBASAN REGION ................................................................ 12 i. Dormitories .................................................................................................................................................... 13 ii. Hospitals ........................................................................................................................................................ 13 iii. Kindergartens ................................................................................................................................................ 13 iv. Public offices .................................................................................................................................................. 14 v. Schools ........................................................................................................................................................... 14 vi. Universities .................................................................................................................................................... 15 4.3. CALCULATION OF ENERGY DEMAND AND SAVINGS POTENTIALS ..................................................................................... 15 i. System efficiencies ......................................................................................................................................... 16 ii. Primary energy factors and CO2 emissions ................................................................................................... 16 4.4. DEFINITION OF RETROFITTING OPTIONS ................................................................................................................... 17 i. Insulation ....................................................................................................................................................... 18 4.5. MODEL RESULTS ................................................................................................................................................. 19 4.6. COSTS OF RETROFITTING OPTIONS .......................................................................................................................... 22 4.7. ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS ...................................................................................................................... 25 4.8. ASSUMPTIONS OF THE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS .............................................................................................................. 27 i. Costs of thermal efficiency retrofits ............................................................................................................... 27 ii. Benefits of thermal retrofits and assumptions to monetize them ................................................................. 28 iii. Thermal comfort ............................................................................................................................................ 28 iv. Saved energy costs ......................................................................................................................................... 28 v. Energy source prices ...................................................................................................................................... 29 vi. Reduction in air pollution and health............................................................................................................. 29 vii. Climate change mitigation............................................................................................................................. 30 viii. Employment creation ..................................................................................................................................... 30 ix. Economic growth ........................................................................................................................................... 30 4.9. INTERPRETATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS: COST AND BENEFITS BY RETROFIT PACKAGE: IMPROVEMENT 1 ................................. 31 5. PUBLIC LIGHTING IN ELBASAN ..........................................................................................................................33 5.1. EXISTING SITUATION ........................................................................................................................................... 33 6. COMMENTS AND DATA FOR OTHER HIGH IMPACT ENERGY USE SECTORS IN ELBASAN ....................................38 6.1. TRANSPORT ....................................................................................................................................................... 38 6.2. RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS ....................................................................................................................................... 39 2 | P a g e 6.3. INDUSTRY .......................................................................................................................................................... 40 7. RECOMMENDED MEASURES FOR THE REGIONAL ENERGY EFFICIENCY ACTION PLAN .......................................41 7.1. PUBLIC BUILDINGS .............................................................................................................................................. 41 7.2. PUBLIC LIGHTING ................................................................................................................................................ 42 7.3. TRANSPORT ....................................................................................................................................................... 42 7.4. RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS ....................................................................................................................................... 43 7.5. INDUSTRY .......................................................................................................................................................... 44 7.6. FUTURE PATHWAYS ............................................................................................................................................ 44 Table of figures TABLE 1: ESTIMATED CLIMATE DATA ............................................................................................................................................ 7 TABLE 2: ABSOLUTE SAVINGS PER SECTOR ..................................................................................................................................... 8 TABLE 3:ELECTRICITY EXPENDITURE FOR ELBASAN MUNICIPALITY FOR 2016 ..................................................................................... 10 TABLE 4: PRIMARY ENERGY FACTORS AND CO2 EMISSION FACTORS FOR ALBANIA (IPCC AND SZABO ET AL. 2015) .................................. 17 TABLE 5:ADDED INSULATION IN THE RETROFITTING OPTIONS .......................................................................................................... 18 2 TABLE 6:INVESTMENT COSTS PER MEASURE BY INSULATED/EXCHANGED UNIT AREA FOR STANDARD AND AMBITIOUS RETROFITTING, EUR/M 22 2 TABLE 7:INVESTMENT COSTS PER MEASURE BY NET FLOOR AREA FOR STANDARD AND AMBITIOUS RETROFITTING, EUR/M ......................... 22 TABLE 8:INVESTMENT COSTS OF BUILDING SERVICE SYSTEMS PER SYSTEM FLOOR AREA FOR BAU RETROFITTING, EUR/M2 FLOOR AREA ....... 23 TABLE 9:INVESTMENT COSTS OF BUILDING SERVICE SYSTEMS PER NET FLOOR AREA FOR STANDARD AND AMBITIOUS RETROFITTING ............... 24 TABLE 10:TOTAL INVESTMENT COSTS PER NET FLOOR AREA FOR ALL RENOVATION OPTIONS IN ALL ZONES ...............................................