2013 Environmental Scan San Bernardino Community College District Environmental Scan for San Bernardino Valley College and Crafton Hills College Prepared by Madrid Consulting Group, LLC 10/24/2013 Table of Contents Table of Contents .................................................................................................................................................................... 2 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................................ 8 I Study Areas ....................................................................................................................................................................11 A. Study Areas Definition ................................................................................................................................................... 11 B. Study Area Community Colleges .................................................................................................................................... 11 C. Study Area Statistical Analysis ....................................................................................................................................... 12 D. Crafton Hills College Study Area .................................................................................................................................... 12 Map I-1 CHC - Students – Density by Zip Code - 2011-12 – (100% Study Area Zip Codes) ..........................................13 Map I-2 - CHC College Legal District Boundaries (100% Study Area Zip Codes) .........................................................14 Map I-3 - CHC & SBVC 30-Mile Radius –and Overlap Areas ......................................................................................15 Map I-4 - CHC Student Capture by Zip Code (100% Study Area Zip Codes) ...............................................................16 Table I-1 – CHC Core Study Area Zip Codes List – Capture of Common Zips ................................................................17 Map I-5 CHC Core Zip Code Study Area (90% Core Study Area Zip Codes) ..................................................................18 Map I-6 CHC Students by - (100% and 90% Study Area Zip Codes) .............................................................................19 E. San Bernardino Valley College Study Areas ................................................................................................................... 20 Map I-7 - SBVC Students – Density by Zip Code - 2011-12 (100% Study Area Zip Codes) ...........................................20 Map I-8 - College Legal District Boundaries (100% Study Area Zip Codes) ................................................................21 MapI-9 - SBVC Student Capture by Zip Code (100% Study Area Zip Codes) .................................................................22 Table I-2 – SBVC Core Study Area Zip Codes List – Capture of Common Zips...............................................................22 Map I-10 SBVC Core Zip Code Study Area (90% Core Study Area Zip Codes) ...............................................................24 II Demographics .................................................................................................................................................................25 A. Population Trends and Projections – SBVC Study Area and Counties .......................................................................... 25 Table II-1 Population – Core Study Area Zip Codes ....................................................................................................25 B. SBVC Population Projections ......................................................................................................................................... 25 Map II-1 – SBVC Study Area Population Projections 2017 (100% Study Area Zip Codes)..............................................26 Map II-2 SBVC Study Area Population Projections 2012-2017 (90% Core Study Area Zip Codes) .................................27 C. CHC Population Projections ........................................................................................................................................... 27 Map II-3 – CHC Study Area Population Projections 2017 (100% Study Area Zip Codes) ...............................................28 Map II-4 – CHC Study Area Population Projections 2017 (90% Core Study Area Zip Codes) .........................................29 D. Race & Ethnicity- SBVC Study Area and Counties .......................................................................................................... 29 Table II-2 - 2012 Population by Race & Ethnicity - Core Study Areas and Counties ......................................................30 E. Hispanic Population SBVC Study Area ........................................................................................................................... 31 Map II-5 – SBVC Study Area Hispanic Population by Zip Code (100% Study Area Zip Codes) ........................................31 Map II-6 SBVC - Hispanic Population (90% Core Study Area Zip Codes) ......................................................................32 F. Hispanic Population CHC Study Area ............................................................................................................................. 33 Map II-7 CHC - Hispanic Population by Zip Code (100% Study Area Zip Codes) ...........................................................33 Map II-8 CHC - Hispanic Population (90% Core Study Area Zip Codes) ........................................................................34 G. Population by Age - Current 2012 – Colleges and Counties .......................................................................................... 34 Table II-5 2012 Population by Age Ranges – Core Study Areas ...................................................................................35 San Bernardino College District Community Colleges- Environmental Scan and Planning Data Page 2 H. SBVC Students and Persons 22-24 Years of Age ............................................................................................................ 36 Map II-9 – SBVC - Students and Population by Age (100% Study Area Zip Codes) .......................................................36 Map II-10 – SBVC - Students and Population by Age (90% Core Study Area Zip Codes) ...............................................37 I. CHC Students and Persons 22-24 Years of Age (100% Study Area Zip Codes) .............................................................. 38 Map II-11 CHC Students and Population by Age (100% Study Area Zip Codes) ............................................................38 Map II-12 CHC Students and Population by Age (90% Core Study Area Zip Codes) ......................................................39 J. Population by Age – Projected to 2017 - SBVC Study Area and Counties ..................................................................... 40 Table II-6 Population by Age – Projected from 2012- 2017 – Core Study Areas and Counties ......................................40 K. Neighborhood Psychographics – College Study Area and Counties .............................................................................. 41 Table II-7 Neighborhood Segments – College Core Study Areas and Counties .......................................................42 L. Projected High School Graduates – Core College Study Area and Counties ................................................................. 43 Table II-8 – Projected High School Graduates –Core College Study Areas ...................................................................43 M. Housing Tenure – College Core Study Areas .................................................................................................................. 43 Table II- 9 - Housing Tenure – College Core Study Area..............................................................................................43 N. Household Incomes ........................................................................................................................................................ 44 Table II-10 – Household Income- Core Study Areas and Counties...............................................................................44 Table II-11 – Household Income by Race & Ethnicity - Core Study Areas and Counties ...............................................45 III Educational Characteristics .............................................................................................................................................46 A. Educational Attainment ................................................................................................................................................. 46 Table III-1 – Educational Attainment – Core College Study Areas and Counties ..........................................................46 Map III-1 Female Educational Attainment – SBVC Study Area (100% Study Area Zip Codes) .......................................47 Map III-2 Male Educational Attainment – SBVC Study Area -(100% Study Area Zip Codes) ..........................................48 Map III- 3 Educational Attainment– SBVC (90% Core Study Area Zip Codes) ...............................................................49 Map III- 4 Educational Attainment – CHC (90% Core Study Area Zip Codes)................................................................50