New England North West Housing and Land Monitor 2016 Figures for: 2010–2013 New England North West Housing and Land Monitor 2016 Figures for 2010–2013 © State of New South Wales through Department of Planning and Environment www.planning.nsw.gov.au May 2016 ISBN no. 978-0-7313-3681-4 Disclaimer: While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure that this document is correct at the time of printing, the State of New South Wales, its agents and employees, disclaim any and all liability to any person in respect of anything or the consequences of anything done or omitted to be done in reliance upon the whole or any part of this document. 2 Contents List of Figures 4 Summary 7 Introduction 9 Regional data 11 2.1 Population projections 11 2.2 Dwelling projections 11 2.3 Dwelling projections and actual dwelling approvals 12 2.4 Residential dwelling approvals and commencements 12 2.5 Rural Residential dwelling approvals 13 2.6 Residential dwelling approvals – single detached and multi-unit housing 13 2.7 Employment lands 14 Local Government Data 15 3.1 Armidale Dumaresq Shire Council 15 3.2 Glen Innes Severn Shire Council 16 3.3 Gunnedah Shire Council 17 3.4 Guyra Shire Council 18 3.5 Gwydir Shire Council 19 3.6 Inverell Shire Council 20 3.7 Liverpool Plains Shire Council 21 3.8 Moree Plains Shire Council 22 3.9 Narrabri Shire Council 23 3.10 Tamworth Regional Council 24 3.11 Tenterfield Shire Council 25 3.12 Uralla Shire Council 26 3.13 Walcha Shire Council 27 Glossary 28 New England North West Housing and Land Monitor 2016 Figures for 2010–2013 3 List of Figures Figure 1. Population Projections for the New England North West Region 2011–2031 11 Figure 2. Projected number of dwellings required within the New England North West Region 2011–2031 11 Figure 3. Projected number of new dwellings required per 5-year period in the New England North West Region 2011–2031 12 Figure 4. Residential Approvals and Commencements in the New England North West Region 2010–2013 12 Figure 5. Rural Residential Approvals and Commencements in the New England North West Region 2010–2013 13 Figure 6. Percentage of residential dwellings that were single detached dwellings or multi-unit housing in the New England North West Region 2010–2013 13 Figure 7. Employment Land Availability in the New England North West Region 2010–11 14 Figure 8. Employment Land Availability in the New England North West Region 2011–12 14 Figure 9. Employment Land Availability in the New England North West Region 2012–13 14 Figure 10. Armidale Dumaresq Annual Dwelling Approvals 15 Figure 11. Armidale Dumaresq Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 15 Figure 12. Armidale Dumaresq Employment Land Availability 15 Figure 13. Glen Innes Severn Cumulative Dwelling Approvals 16 Figure 14. Glen Innes Severn Annual Dwelling Approvals 16 Figure 15. Glen Innes Severn Employment Land Availability 16 Figure 16. Gunnedah Annual Dwelling Approvals 17 Figure 17. Gunnedah Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 17 Figure 18. Gunnedah Employment Land Availability 17 Figure 19. Guyra Annual Dwelling Approvals 18 Figure 20. Guyra Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 18 Figure 21. Guyra Employment Land Availability 18 Figure 22. Gwydir Annual Dwelling Approvals 19 Figure 23. Gwydir Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 19 Figure 24. Gwydir Employment Land Availability 19 4 Figure 25. Inverell Annual Dwelling Approvals 20 Figure 26. Inverell Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 20 Figure 27. Inverell Employment Land Availability 20 Figure 28. Liverpool Plains Annual Dwelling Approvals 21 Figure 29. Liverpool Plains Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 21 Figure 30. Liverpool Plains Employment Land Availability 21 Figure 31. Moree Plains Annual Dwelling Approvals 22 Figure 32. Moree Plains Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 22 Figure 33. Moree Plains Employment Land Availability 22 Figure 34. Narrabri Annual Dwelling Approvals 23 Figure 35. Narrabri Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 23 Figure 36. Narrabri Employment Land Availability 23 Figure 37. Tamworth Regional Annual Dwelling Approvals 24 Figure 38. Tamworth Regional Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 24 Figure 39. Tamworth Regional Employment Land Availability 24 Figure 40. Tenterfield Annual Dwelling Approvals 25 Figure 41. Tenterfield Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 25 Figure 42. Tenterfield Employment Land Availability 25 Figure 43. Uralla Annual Dwelling Approvals 26 Figure 44. Uralla Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 26 Figure 45. Uralla Employment Land Availability 26 Figure 46. Walcha Annual Dwelling Approvals 27 Figure 47. Walcha Cumulative Dwelling Commencements 27 Figure 48. Walcha Employment Land Availability 27 New England North West Housing and Land Monitor 2016 Figures for 2010–2013 5 6 Summary The Department of Planning and The number of dwellings that Environment, in partnership with Local commenced construction within Government, has established a New the region between 2010–2011 to England North West Housing and Land 2012–2013 totalled 1,403. In this Monitor to provide an annual review of period, Councils approved 2,144 housing and employment land data. dwellings within their urban and rural residential areas in the form of This is the first edition of the Monitor and detached or multi-unit dwellings. uses three years of data to the end of the financial year 30 June 2013. Of those dwelling approvals, 49.9 per cent have been for single dwellings, The New England North West Housing 24.5 per cent have been for multi- and Land Monitor encompasses unit housing and 25.6 per cent for the 13 Local Government Areas of dwellings in rural residential areas. Armidale Dumaresq, Glen Innes Severn, Gunnedah, Guyra, Gwydir, The total number of new lots created Inverell, Liverpool Plains, Moree for residential purposes for the Plains, Narrabri, Tamworth Regional, three-year period was 1,157. These Tenterfield, Uralla and Walcha. lots were subdivided from 175.5 hectares of land. For rural residential Population and dwelling projections purposes, 368 new lots were created within this Monitor have been identified from 2,379.8 hectares of land. for the New England North West based on NSW Government Population, As of 30 June 2013, there was a total Household and Dwelling Projections. area of 3,846 hectares of zoned industrial land in the region. Of this, 1,327.6 hectares were already developed and the remaining 2,518.4 hectares were undeveloped and available to accommodate future employment growth. New England North West Housing and Land Monitor 2016 Figures for 2010–2013 7 8 Introduction 1 The Department of Planning and Information will be collected annually 1 Councils have made every effort to ensure the data they provided for this report is accurate, however, Environment has established, in from the New England North West internal collection and reporting methods differ partnership with Local Government, a Councils of Armidale Dumaresq, Glen within each council. It is possible some inaccuracies occurred in transferring Councils’ data to that used New England North West Housing and Innes Severn, Gunnedah, Guyra, by the Department for monitoring. Councils’ lot and hectare release forecasts are estimates, based on the Land Monitor, to review housing and Gwydir, Inverell, Liverpool Plains, Moree information available at the time. employment land data. The Monitor will Plains, Narrabri, Tamworth Regional, help guide Local Government and State Tenterfield, Uralla and Walcha.1 agencies’ priorities for future service provision and infrastructure investment This first report provides information for the New England North West. on housing and employment land supply for the financial years The Monitor will be used to analyse 2010–11 to 2012–13. All years cited trends in residential dwelling in this report refer to financial years, approvals, commencements, housing unless otherwise specified. mix (detached and multi-unit) and employment land development. New England North West Housing and Land Monitor 2016 Figures for 2010–2013 9 10 Regional data 2 This section of the report contains information on regional growth, including projections for future population and dwelling requirements, and trends in housing supply and employment land availability. 2.1 Figure 1 – Population Projections for the New England North West Region 2011–2031 Population 200,000 Projections 195,000 197,200 194,750 The NSW Government Population, 190,000 191,450 Household and Dwelling Projections (2014) provide a 185,000 187,300 detailed assessment about how the Population 182,600 State’s population is expected to 180,000 change over the next 20 years. 175,000 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Figures for the New England North Year West region have been distilled from the database and show that the regional population will grow to 197,200, with an additional 14,600 people calling the region home by 2031, a growth of 8 per cent. (See Figure 1) 2.2 Figure 2 – Projected number of dwellings required within the New England North West Region (2011–2031) Dwelling Projections 100,000 The NSW Government Population, 94,900 Household and Dwelling Projections 95,000 93,050 (2014) include figures regarding the 90,750 10,550 90,000 8,700 number of additional dwellings that 87,950 6,400 3,600 will be required to accommodate 85,000 the growing population. By 2031, 80,000 84,350 84,350 84,350 84,350 84,350 an additional 10,500 new dwellings will be needed within the New 75,000 England North West region. 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 Projected new dwellings required Baseline Data - No of dwellings 2011 (See Figure 2) New England North West Housing and Land Monitor 2016 Figures for 2010–2013 11 The additional 10,500 new dwellings Figure 3 – Projected number of New Dwellings required per 5-year period in the New will be required over the period to England North West Region 2011–2031 2031, with 3,600 required in the first 4,000 five-year period, slightly decreasing 3,500 3,600 each five-year period thereafter.