HOW AMERICA AND CHINA CAN AVOID WAR MARCH/APRIL 2021 !"#$% / "&#'( )*)+ • ,-(.!/ Decline and Fall +** Can America Ever Lead Again? • 0.!1/# ) • !"#$%&" '&! ('$$ FOREIGNAFFAIRS.COM FA_MA_2021_cover.indd All Pages 1/25/21 9:48 AM DOWNLOAD CSS Notes, Books, MCQs, Magazines www.thecsspoint.com Download CSS Notes Download CSS Books Download CSS Magazines Download CSS MCQs Download CSS Past Papers The CSS Point, Pakistan’s The Best Online FREE Web source for All CSS Aspirants. Email: [email protected] BUY CSS / PMS / NTS & GENERAL KNOWLEDGE BOOKS ONLINE CASH ON DELIVERY ALL OVER PAKISTAN Visit Now: WWW.CSSBOOKS.NET For Oder & Inquiry Call/SMS/WhatsApp 0333 6042057 – 0726 540141 ENGLISH PRECIS & COMPOSITION HAFIZ KARIM DAD CHUGTAI For Order Call/WhatsApp 03336042057 - 0726540141 FPSC Model Papers 50th Edition (Latest & Updated) By Imtiaz Shahid Advanced Publishers For Order Call/WhatsApp 03336042057 - 0726540141 PPSC Model Papers 79th Edition (Latest & Updated) By Imtiaz Shahid Advanced Publishers For Order Call/WhatsApp 03336042057 - 0726540141 Volume 100, Number 2 DECLINE AND FALL Present at the Re-creation? 10 U.S. Foreign Policy Must Be Remade, Not Restored Jessica T. Mathews Gone But Not Forgotten 18 Trump’s Long Shadow and the End o! American Credibility Jonathan Kirshner A Superpower, Like It or Not 28 Why Americans Must Accept Their Global Role Robert Kagan The Fractured Power 40 How to Overcome Tribalism COVER: Reuben E. Brigety II PABLO Foreign Policy for Pragmatists 48 DELCAN How Biden Can Learn From History in Real Time Gideon Rose March/April 2021 FA.indb 1 1/22/21 9:00 PM The World Is Changing And So Are We The current global pandemic illustrates that the world is changing quickly and it is essential for leaders to understand how economics, geopolitics, security, health and the environment are inextricably linked— exactly what you will learn as a student at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. Discover how our flexible graduate programs—including fully online courses and degrees—will help you to advance your career. sais.jhu.edu > Washington DC > Europe > China > Online ESSAYS Short of War 58 How to Keep U.S.-Chinese Confrontation From Ending in Calamity Kevin Rudd Accomplice to Carnage 73 How America Enables War in Yemen Robert Malley and Stephen Pomper How the WTO Changed China 90 The Mixed Legacy o! Economic Engagement Yeling Tan System Failure 103 America Needs a Global Health Policy for the Pandemic Age Ashish Jha A New Conservatism 116 Freeing the Right From Free-Market Orthodoxy Oren Cass A Palestinian Reckoning 129 Time for a New Beginning Hussein Agha and Ahmad Samih Khalidi The Innovation Wars 142 America’s Eroding Technological Advantage Christopher Darby and Sarah Sewall Opening Up the Order 154 A More Inclusive International System Anne-Marie Slaughter and Gordon LaForge ON FOREIGNAFFAIRS.COM Alexander Vindman Isabel Sawhill on Bobi Wine on on countering authori- rebuilding a divided Uganda’s violent tarianism. America. election. March/April 2021 02_TOC_Blues.indd 3 1/25/21 11:52 AM Inclusive Economic Growth Security Social Justice Sustainability Democracy Find your cause. At the Josef Korbel School of International Studies at the University of Denver, we are LEARN ABOUT OUR TOP-RANKED taking on the great challenges of our time and MA AND MPP PROGRAMS AND equipping our students with the knowledge APPLY AT KORBEL.DU.EDU and skills needed to make a meaningful di!erence. If you are looking to prepare yourself for leadership on the causes that move you, come join us. JOSEF KORBEL SCHOOL OF INTERNATIONAL STUDIES JKSIS_FA_FallFP_2.indd 1 7/15/20 9:25 AM Democracy on the Defense 163 Turning Back the Authoritarian Tide Yascha Mounk The Rate Debate 174 Rethinking Economics in the Age o! Cheap Money James H. Stock REVIEWS & RESPONSES The Arena 186 Southeast Asia in the Age o! Great-Power Rivalry Bilahari Kausikan The Stories China Tells 192 The New Historical Memory Reshaping Chinese Nationalism Jessica Chen Weiss Market Value 198 Can Capitalism Serve Democracy? Binyamin Appelbaum Recent Books 204 “Foreign A!airs . will tolerate wide di!erences of opinion. Its articles will not represent any consensus of beliefs. What is demanded of them is that they shall be competent and well informed, representing honest opinions seriously held and convincingly expressed. It does not accept responsibility for the views in any articles, signed or unsigned, which appear in its pages. What it does accept is the responsibility for giving them a chance to appear.” Archibald Cary Coolidge, Founding Editor Volume 1, Number 1 • September 1922 March/April 2021 FA.indb 5 1/22/21 9:00 PM March/April 2021 · Volume 100, Number 2 Published by the Council on Foreign Relations !"#$%& '%($ Editor, Peter G. Peterson Chair #)&"$* +,'-.-/0$*)& Executive Editor (-,)'- '$"#, 1,(-"& 2%!- Managing Editors *),') ($3%' Web Editor -4 533%'5"3+ Deputy Web Editor +)&"(0+ -0)'%%', +)-0$'"&$ .%$/6 Senior Editors *),'$* 1)'%57$+ Social Media and Audience Development Editor +$$'-0)&) )&&)5)&$&", '04( #,7"& Assistant Editors '"30)'# 7)+$' Art Director )&& -)//$'- Copy Chie! 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'4)&, 5)'!)'$- !. 8)'&$', &$)* (. 8%*"&, #)&"$* 0. 4$'!"& %&'%()*+,*-. %/)0*(/%: Foreign A! airs ForeignA1 airs.com/services 58 E. 68th Street, New York, NY 10065 ,/2/+3-./: 560/),*%*.7: Call Michael Pasuit at 212-434-9528 or visit 800-829-5539 U.S./Canada www.foreigna1 airs.com/advertising 845-267-2017 All other countries 8/'%*,/: ForeignA1 airs.com /45*2: foreigna1 [email protected] ./8%2/,,/)%: ForeignA1 airs.com/newsletters 45*2: P.O. Box 324, Congers, NY 10920 95(/'--:: Facebook.com/ForeignA1 airs )/+)-6&(,*-.: The contents o! Foreign A! airs are copyrighted. No part o! the magazine may be reproduced, hosted, or distributed in any form or by any means without prior written permission from Foreign A! airs. To obtain permission, visit ForeignA1 airs.com/permissions Foreign A! airs is a member o! the Alliance for Audited Media and the Association o" Magazine Media. GST Number 127686483RT Canada Post Customer #4015177 Publication #40035310 02_TOC_Blues.indd 6 1/25/21 1:41 PM CONTRIBUTORS KEVIN RUDD has served as Australia’s prime minister (twice), its foreign minister, and the leader o! its Labor Party. Pro"cient in Mandarin, Rudd began his career as a diplomat, "rst posted to Stockholm, then to Beijing. Now president o! the Asia Society, Rudd argues in “Short o! War” (page 58) that increased rivalry between the United States and China is inevitable but catastrophe is not; with smart diplomacy, the contest can be managed. YELING TAN studies how globalization changes the incentives o! authoritarian governments. Trained at Harvard, she is now a professor o! political science at the University o! Oregon and the author o! the forthcoming book Disaggre- gating China, Inc.: State Strategies in the Liberal Economic Order. In “How the WTO Changed China” (page 90), Tan reckons with the mixed legacy o! China’s accession to the World Trade Organization and the prospect o# future economic reforms. An expert on pandemic preparedness, dean o! the School o# Public Health at Brown University, and a practicing internist, ASHISH JHA has emerged as a leading advocate for a bold U.S. federal response to the COVID-19 crisis. He raised the alarm about the virus last March and has s$nce publ$shed research on masks, test$ng, and lockdowns. In “System Failure” (page 103), he makes the case for a new, less U.S.-centric approach to global health. A former adviser to such leading Republican "gures as Marco Rubio and Mitt Romney, OREN CASS is widely known as a conservative antipoverty crusader. After four years as a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, Cass now serves as the executive director o! American Compass, an organization he founded that aims to reorient conser- vative economic thinking. In “A New Conservatism” (page 116), he calls on the Republican Party to abandon its obsession with low taxes and free-market economics. 02_TOC_Blues.indd 7 1/25/21 1:56 PM DECLINE AND FALL ith the storm past, it is reasoned argument, with no room in time to assess the damage, its columns for polemic, for anger, clean up the mess, and mull for personal attack. A literary tone W that would be quiet and serious, but what to rebuild and how. Jessica Mathews and Jonathan Kirshner survey never pretentious. Importance, as the main criterion in the selection o" the broken, battered world the Biden material—whether the importance administration has inherited and how was to come from the signi#cance its players view Washington now. and originality o" the subject matter Robert Kagan traces the gul$ between or from the authority o" the author.
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