APPENDIX 3.1.6-1 Public Facilities Financing Plan and Fiscal Impact Analysis Otay Ranch Village 14 & Planning Areas 16/19 Public Facilities Finance Plan Executive Summary Otay Ranch Village 14 & Planning Areas 16/19 Specific Plan, Appendix 4 OTAY RANCH VILLAGE 14 & PLANNING AREAS 16/19; GPA 16-008, SP 16-002, REZ 16-006, TM 5616 ER # 16-19-006 FEBRUARY 2018 II TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................................ 1 A. Overview ....................................................................................................................................... 1 B. Information Provided in this PFFP ............................................................................................... 2 C. General Conditions of this PFFP .................................................................................................. 2 D. Proposed Public Facility Improvements ........................................................................................ 3 1.0 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................... 7 1.1 Overview ....................................................................................................................................... 7 1.2 Otay Ranch GDP/SRP Thresholds ............................................................................................... 8 1.3 Facility Analysis ............................................................................................................................ 8 2.0 LAND USE ASSUMPTIONS ......................................................................................................... 11 2.1 Purpose ........................................................................................................................................ 11 2.2 Existing Development ................................................................................................................. 11 2.3 Otay Ranch Village 14 & Planning Areas 16/19 Development Summary ................................ 11 2.4 Conceptual Project Phasing ........................................................................................................ 16 2.5 Population-based Analysis .......................................................................................................... 18 3.0 DRAINAGE FACILITIES ................................................................................................................ 19 3.1 Otay Ranch GDP/SRP Threshold .............................................................................................. 19 3.2 Service Analysis .......................................................................................................................... 19 3.3 Project Processing Requirements ................................................................................................ 20 3.4 Existing Conditions ..................................................................................................................... 20 3.5 Project Demand and Proposed Facilities ..................................................................................... 21 3.6 Adequacy Analysis ...................................................................................................................... 26 3.7 Inventory of Future Required Drainage Facilities ...................................................................... 28 3.8 Threshold Compliance ................................................................................................................. 28 3.9 Drainage Facilities Phasing ........................................................................................................ 29 3.10 Drainage Facilities Financing ..................................................................................................... 30 4.0 SEWERAGE FACILITIES ................................................................................................................ 32 4.1 Otay Ranch GDP/SRP Threshold .............................................................................................. 32 4.2 Service Analysis .......................................................................................................................... 32 4.3 Project Processing Requirements ................................................................................................ 33 4.4 Existing Conditions ..................................................................................................................... 33 4.5 Project Demand and Proposed Facilities ..................................................................................... 35 4.6 Adequacy Analysis ...................................................................................................................... 37 4.7 Inventory of Future Required Facilities ...................................................................................... 38 4.8 Threshold Compliance ................................................................................................................. 38 4.9 Sewerage Facilities Improvement Phasing .................................................................................. 38 4.10 Financing Sewerage Facilities..................................................................................................... 40 5.0 TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS FACILITIES .......................................................................... 42 5.1 Otay Ranch GDP/SRP Threshold .............................................................................................. 42 5.2 Service Analysis .......................................................................................................................... 42 5.3 Project Processing Requirements ................................................................................................ 43 5.4 Existing Conditions ..................................................................................................................... 44 5.5 Project Demand and Proposed Facilities ..................................................................................... 45 5.6 Cumulative Conditions Plus Hypothetical Development of State Preserve Property ............... 46 5.7 Inventory of Required Traffic Improvements .............................................................................. 49 5.8 Adequacy Analysis Future Year 2030 Cumulative Conditions with Full GDP/SRP Buildout 50 5.9 Inventory of Required Traffic Improvements ............................................................................. 53 5.10 Threshold Compliance ................................................................................................................. 55 5.11 Phasing Transportation Facilities ............................................................................................... 55 5.12 Financing Transportation Facilities ............................................................................................ 57 6.0 URBAN RUNOFF FACILITIES ..................................................................................................... 58 6.1 Otay Ranch GDP/SRP Threshold .............................................................................................. 58 6.2 Service Analysis .......................................................................................................................... 58 6.3 Project Processing Requirements ................................................................................................ 59 6.4 Existing Conditions ..................................................................................................................... 59 6.5 Project Demand and Proposed Facilities (Developed Condition) ............................................... 60 6.6 Adequacy Analysis ...................................................................................................................... 66 6.7 Inventory of Future Required Urban Runoff Facilities .............................................................. 68 6.8 Threshold Compliance ................................................................................................................. 68 6.9 Urban Runoff Facilities Phasing ................................................................................................. 69 6.10 Financing Urban Runoff Facilities ............................................................................................ 69 7.0 WATER FACILITIES ........................................................................................................................ 71 7.1 Otay Ranch GDP/SRP Threshold .............................................................................................. 71 7.2 Service Analysis .......................................................................................................................... 71 7.3 Project Processing Requirements ................................................................................................ 72 7.4 Existing Conditions ..................................................................................................................... 72 7.5 Project Demand and Proposed Facilities ..................................................................................... 74 7.6 Adequacy Analysis .....................................................................................................................