A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Ahmed, Mirza Nomman (Ed.); Pawlowski, Ira (Ed.) Working Paper Proceedings of the International Conference and Young Researchers' Forum: 'Natural resource use in Central Asia: institutional challenges and the contribution of capacity building'. Held in Giessen, 1st October 2013 Discussion Paper, No. 64 Provided in Cooperation with: Justus Liebig University Giessen, Center for international Development and Environmental Research (ZEU) Suggested Citation: Ahmed, Mirza Nomman (Ed.); Pawlowski, Ira (Ed.) (2013) : Proceedings of the International Conference and Young Researchers' Forum: 'Natural resource use in Central Asia: institutional challenges and the contribution of capacity building'. Held in Giessen, 1st October 2013, Discussion Paper, No. 64, Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen, Zentrum für Internationale Entwicklungs- und Umweltforschung (ZEU), Giessen This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/88450 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu Zentrum für internationale Entwicklungs- und Umweltforschung der Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen Proceedings of the International Conference and Young Researchers’ Forum “Natural resource use in Central Asia: Institutional challenges and the contribution of capacity building” held in Giessen, 1st October 2013 MIRZA NOMMAN AHMED, IRA PAWLOWSKI (EDS.)* No. 64 Giessen, October 2013 Keywords: natural resources, water, agriculture, climate change, Central Asia * Dr. Mirza Nomman Ahmed and Dr. Ira Pawlowski are research assistants at the ZEU and coordinators of the postgraduate programmes “Climate Change Network for Central Asia (CliNCA)” and “Land use, ecosystem services and human welfare in Central Asia (LUCA)”. This conference has been organized in the framework of both these projects.In respect thereof, particular thanks goes to the German Department of Foreign Affairs and DAAD for facilitating CliNCA) and the VolkswagenStiftung for funding LUCA. Contact: [email protected] [email protected] Natural resource use in Central Asia: Institutional challenges and the contribution of capacity building LIST OF CONTENT Preface ................................................................................................................ VII SESSION 1 SH. KENJABAEV, I. FORKUTSA, M. BACH, H.G. FREDE : Performance evaluation of the BUDGET model in simulating cotton and wheat yield and soil moisture in Fergana valley .................................................................... 1 KANAYIM TESHEBAEVA, HENRIETTE SUDHAUS, H.-U. WETZEL, SIGRID ROESSNER, HELMUT ECHTLER AND ALEXANDER ZUBOVICH : Radar remote sensing for surveying and monitoring of earthquakes and mass movements in Southern Kyrgyzstan ........................................................................... 15 DAVRON ABSALYAMOV Efficiency of wheat and cotton producing farms in Uzbekistan: a Stochastic Frontier Approach .................................................................................................. 23 ILKHOMJON ASLANOV Dust storms, dust transfer and depositions in the southern Aral Sea region .......... 27 M. BEKCHANOV, A. BHADURI, C. RINGLER Is Rogun a Silver Bullet for Water Scarcity in Central Asia? ..................................... 33 : M. DUISHONAKUNOV, S. IMBERY, L. KING Assessing the recent Glacier retreat in Chon and Kichi Naryn Catchments, Kyrgyz Republic ................................................................................................................ 37 I. RADCHENKO, I. FORKUTSA, L. BREUER AND H.-G. FREDE : Hydrological modelling in arid catchments with data scarcity (Ferghana Valley, Central Asia) .......................................................................................................... 43 NATALYA TSYCHUYEVA, ANNETTE OTTE, LEV SPIVAK: The Analysis of Land Cover Changes in Mountain Region using Remote Sensing Data ...................................................................................................................... 45 G. UMIRZAKOV, F. BARTHOLD, K. SCHNEIDER, I. FORKUTSA., L. BREUER, G. STULINA, V. DUKHOVNY, H.-G. FREDE Estimation of phreatic evaporation in irrigation agriculture using stable isotopes ........ 51 Center for international Development and Environmental Research (ZEU) III Proceedings of the International Conference and Young Researchers’ Forum, 1st October 2013 SESSION 2 FREDERIKE GEHRIGK, THOMAS HERZFELD, INSA THEESFELD Farmers' perceptions of land and water property rights: Discrepancies between de jure and de facto rights in Tajikistan ......................................................................... 63 AHMAD HAMIDOV, MUKHAMADKHAN KHAMIDOV, ANDREAS THIEL Institutional analysis of irrigation management in Uzbekistan using Qualitative Comparative Analysis: Case studies of water consumers associations in Bukhara region .................................................................................................................... 67 GULMIRA GAFAROVA, OLEKSANDR PEREKHOZHUK, THOMAS GLAUBEN Pricing Behaviour of Kazakh, Russian and Ukrainian Exporters in the International Wheat Market ..................................................................................... 89 PARVIZ KHAKIMOV The impact of WTO accession growth on agricultural sector of Tajikistan ................... 95 ZUURA MAMADALIEVA .......................................................................................................................... State of water and land use in south-western Kyrgyzstan ........................................ 107 LYAZZAT NUGUMANOVA ........................................................................................................................ Analysis of Fossil Fuel Subsidies in Kazakhstan ..................................................... 109 SALTANAT SABITOVA ............................................................................................................................. Kazakh emissions trading scheme: legal implications for land use ........................... 117 DONIYOR SATTAROV, PURAN MAL Impacts of Liberalization on Agriculture and Trade: A Case Study of Uzbekistan .... 121 ELIZA ZHUNUSOVA Policy-induced Distortions to Farmer Incentives and Their Impact on Agricultural Land Use in the Kyrgyz Republic ............................................................................ 129 IV Center for international Development and Environmental Research (ZEU) SESSION 3 UTKUR DJANIBEKOV, ASIA KHAMZINA, GRACE B. VILLAMOR, JOHN P.A. LAMERS Economic analysis of afforestation of marginal croplands in Uzbekistan ................................ 137 ANDREI DÖRRE ....................................................................................................................................... Legal Arrangements and Pasture–related Socio–ecological Challenges in Kyrgyzstan........................................................................................................... 149 SHAKHZOD AVAZOV Socio-economic Features of the Agro-pastoralists in the Zarafshan Valley, NW Tajikistan ............................................................................................................ 155 ALISHER ERGASHEV How Fruit Consumption Might Be Fruitful for the Economy: Analyzing Effects of Improvements in Fruit and Vegetable Availability and Accessibility in Uzbekistan .. 171 B.GOJENKO, I-U. LEONHAEUSER, G. STULINA Land use, food and nutrition security – case study in rural Uzbekistan........................ 185 SHAVKAT HASANOV AND FARHOD AHROROV Uzbekistan’s Agriculture- Status Quo, Challenges and Policy Suggestions .............. 189 ISMAILOVA BASHORAT The Aral Sea desiccation: Socio-economic effects in case of the Republic of Karakalpakstan, Uzbekistan .................................................................................. 205 ZHAMILIA SYDYGALIEVA Causes and Impact of Migration on Economic Development of Kyrgyzstan .............. 217 ALIYA TONKOBAYEVA Environmentally induced migration and displacement in Kazakhstan ....................... 227 Center for international Development and Environmental Research (ZEU) V Proceedings of the International Conference and Young Researchers’ Forum, 1st October 2013 VI Center for international Development and Environmental Research (ZEU) PREFACE Natural resources, especially water and arable land, are essential means of livelihood in Central Asia where the