Community Risk Analysis Table of Contents 1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 4 2 Community Profile .......................................................................................................... 5 2.1 Bedfordshire Overview ............................................................................................ 5 2.2 Bedfordshire Population by Unitary Authority .......................................................... 5 2.3 Bedfordshire Population Age Profile ....................................................................... 5 2.4 Population Growth .................................................................................................. 7 2.5 Bedfordshire Population Diversity ........................................................................... 9 2.6 Population Headlines ............................................................................................ 11 2.7 Language .............................................................................................................. 11 2.8 Religion ................................................................................................................. 12 2.9 Housing ................................................................................................................ 12 2.10 Business ............................................................................................................... 14 2.11 Employment and Unemployment .......................................................................... 14 3 BFRS Response Profile ............................................................................................... 15 3.1 All Incident Profile ................................................................................................. 15 3.2 Types of incident responded to ............................................................................. 15 3.3 Temporal and Seasonal Analysis of Incident Response ........................................ 16 3.4 Primary and Secondary Fires ................................................................................ 18 3.5 Average Hourly Demand ....................................................................................... 20 3.6 Large and Major Incidents ..................................................................................... 21 3.7 Mutual Aid Arrangements...................................................................................... 23 4 National Risks .............................................................................................................. 24 4.1 National Security Risk Assessment 2015 .............................................................. 24 4.2 National Risk Register of Civil Emergencies 2017 Edition ..................................... 25 5 Bedfordshire Local Resilience Forum Risk Register ..................................................... 27 6 Community Safety Partnerships ................................................................................... 28 6.1 What is a Community Safety Partnership? ............................................................ 28 6.2 Bedfordshire CSP Current Priorities ...................................................................... 29 6.3 BFRS Contribution to CSP Priorities ..................................................................... 30 7 Bedfordshire Police and Crime Plan ............................................................................. 30 8 Wider Community Risks ............................................................................................... 31 8.1 Climate Change .................................................................................................... 31 8.2 Deprivation ........................................................................................................... 32 8.3 Dementia .............................................................................................................. 35 8.4 Excess Winter Deaths ........................................................................................... 35 8.5 Fuel Poverty.......................................................................................................... 37 8.6 Falls in the Home .................................................................................................. 38 8.7 Joint Intervention Strategies .................................................................................. 39 9 Dwelling Fire Risks ...................................................................................................... 40 9.1 English Housing Survey - Fire and fire safety 2016-17 .......................................... 40 9.2 Human Factors Associated with Fatal Dwelling Fires ............................................ 41 9.3 Bedfordshire Fatal Dwelling Fire Human Factors .................................................. 42 9.4 Bedfordshire Accidental Dwelling Fire Profile ........................................................ 43 9.5 Accidental Dwelling Fire Risks .............................................................................. 46 9.7 Houses in Multiple Occupation .............................................................................. 50 2 14/02/2019 9.8 High Rise Residential Building Fires ..................................................................... 52 10 Non-domestic Building Fire Risks ............................................................................. 54 10.1 Non-domestic building risk profile ......................................................................... 54 10.2 Risk Based Inspection Programme ....................................................................... 57 10.3 Premises Risk Information .................................................................................... 59 11 Other Fire Related Risks .......................................................................................... 60 11.1 Heritage Risk ........................................................................................................ 60 11.2 Road Vehicle Fires ................................................................................................ 62 11.3 Outdoor Fires ........................................................................................................ 64 11.4 Chimney Fires ....................................................................................................... 67 12 Deliberate Fire Risks ................................................................................................ 69 13 Non-Fire Related Risks ............................................................................................ 72 13.1 Special Services ................................................................................................... 72 13.2 Missing Persons ................................................................................................... 72 13.3 Making Entry in cases of suspected Medical Emergency ...................................... 73 13.4 Responding to Medical Emergencies .................................................................... 74 13.5 Technical Rescues ................................................................................................ 75 13.6 Persons stuck in Lifts ............................................................................................ 76 13.7 Persons Locked In/Out ......................................................................................... 77 13.8 Large Animal Rescues. ......................................................................................... 79 13.9 Hazardous Material Incidents ................................................................................ 80 13.10 Terrorism .............................................................................................................. 81 13.11 Flood Risk ............................................................................................................. 83 14 Water Safety Risk ..................................................................................................... 87 14.1 National Context ................................................................................................... 87 14.2 Bedfordshire Water Safety .................................................................................... 88 14.3 Water Safety Initiatives ......................................................................................... 92 15 Road Traffic Risk ...................................................................................................... 93 15.1 National Longer Term Trend ................................................................................. 93 15.2 Vulnerable Road Users ......................................................................................... 93 15.3 Factors that affect road casualty numbers ............................................................ 95 15.4 Police Contributory Factors System ...................................................................... 96 15.5 Drink-drive accidents and casualties ..................................................................... 97 15.6 Bedfordshire Road Network and Traffic Volume ................................................... 97 15.7 Bedfordshire Road Traffic Collision Data Analysis ................................................ 98 15.8 Bedfordshire Local Authority Road