Document of The World Bank Public Disclosure Authorized Report No: ICR0000529 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (IBRD-43290) ON A Public Disclosure Authorized LOAN IN THE AMOUNT OF US$ 200 MILLION TO THE PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA FOR A GUANGZHOU CITY TRANSPORT PROJECT Public Disclosure Authorized June 26, 2008 China Sustainable Development Unit East Asia and Pacific Region Public Disclosure Authorized CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective December 2007) Currency Unit = Renminbi (RMB) RMB 1.00 = US$ 0.135 US$ 1.00 = RMB 7.4 FISCAL YEAR January 1 – December 31 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS CAS Country Assistance Strategy CD Country Director of the World Bank ERR Economic Rate of Return GCCTP Guangzhou City Center Transport Project GEPB Guangzhou Environment Protection Bureau GIRR Guangzhou Inner Ring Road GMG Guangzhou Municipal Government GREEO Guangzhou Road Expansion and Engineering Office GCCTCC Guangzhou City Center Transport Construction Company GPAO Guangdong Province Audit Office GURCC Guangzhou Urban and Rural Construction Commission GUTS Guangzhou Urban Transport Strategy IRR Internal Rate of Return MoF Chinese Ministry of Finance MVEC Motor Vehicle Emissions Control PAD Project Appraisal Document PAP Project affected People PDO Project Development Objective PLG Project Leading Group PO Project Office PIP Project Implementation Plan RAP Resettlement Action Plan RR Ring Road (i.e., Guangzhou Inner Ring Road) RSMS Road Surface Management System SAB State Audit Bureau SCATS Sydney-Coordinated Adaptive Traffic System VP Vice President of the World Bank TA Technical Assistance TOR Terms of Reference Vice President: James Adams Country Director: David Dollar Sector Manager: Ede Jorge Ijjasz-Vasquez Project Team Leader: Shomik Mehndiratta ICR Main Authors: Georges Darido/Graham Smith PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA Guangzhou City Transport Project CONTENTS Data Sheet A. Basic Information B. Key Dates C. Ratings Summary D. Sector and Theme Codes E. Bank Staff F. Results Framework Analysis G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs H. Restructuring I. Disbursement Graph 1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design............................................... 1 2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes .............................................. 5 3. Assessment of Outcomes.......................................................................................... 12 4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome......................................................... 17 5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance ..................................................... 17 6. Lessons Learned ....................................................................................................... 20 7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners .......... 21 Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing.......................................................................... 23 Annex 2. Outputs by Component ................................................................................. 24 Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis................................................................. 28 Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes ............ 31 Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results........................................................................... 33 Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results................................................... 34 Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR..................... 35 Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders....................... 50 Annex 9. List of Supporting Documents ...................................................................... 51 MAP – IBRD 29423 A. Basic Information CN-Guangzhou City Country: China Project Name: Transport Project ID: P003614 L/C/TF Number(s): IBRD-43290 ICR Date: 06/26/2008 ICR Type: Core ICR PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC Lending Instrument: SIL Borrower: OF CHINA Original Total USD 200.0M Disbursed Amount: USD 152.4M Commitment: Environmental Category: A Implementing Agencies: Guangzhou City Center Transport Project Cofinanciers and Other External Partners: B. Key Dates Revised / Actual Process Date Process Original Date Date(s) Concept Review: 09/28/1994 Effectiveness: 09/23/1998 09/23/1998 Appraisal: 01/14/1998 Restructuring(s): 04/21/2003 Approval: 05/29/1998 Mid-term Review: 06/15/2001 Closing: 12/31/2003 12/31/2007 C. Ratings Summary C.1 Performance Rating by ICR Outcomes: Satisfactory Risk to Development Outcome: Moderate Bank Performance: Satisfactory Borrower Performance: Satisfactory C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance (by ICR) Bank Ratings Borrower Ratings Quality at Entry: Satisfactory Government: Satisfactory Implementing Quality of Supervision: Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Agency/Agencies: Overall Bank Overall Borrower Satisfactory Satisfactory Performance: Performance: C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators Implementation QAG Assessments Indicators Rating Performance (if any) Potential Problem Project No Quality at Entry Satisfactory i at any time (Yes/No): (QEA): Problem Project at any Quality of No Moderately Satisfactory time (Yes/No): Supervision (QSA): DO rating before Satisfactory Closing/Inactive status: D. Sector and Theme Codes Original Actual Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing) General transportation sector 25 25 Roads and highways 75 75 Theme Code (Primary/Secondary) Access to urban services and housing Primary Primary Municipal governance and institution building Primary Primary Other urban development Primary Secondary Pollution management and environmental health Primary Secondary E. Bank Staff Positions At ICR At Approval Vice President: James W. Adams Jean-Michel Severino Country Director: David R. Dollar Yukon Huang Sector Manager: Ede Jorge Ijjasz-Vasquez Jeffrey S. Gutman Project Team Leader: Shomik Raj Mehndiratta Richard G. Scurfield ICR Team Leader: Shomik Raj Mehndiratta ICR Primary Author: Georges Bianco Darido Graham Smith F. Results Framework Analysis Project Development Objectives (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objective is to improve the accessibility of the city center of Guangzhou by promoting the efficient use of the urban transport system in an environmentally sustainable way. The following outcomes and key performance indicators will be monitored to meet this development objective: Outcome 1: Improved level of service and reduced congestion on the City Center road network as a result of: ii 1. completion of the Guangzhou Inner Ring Road (GIRR); 2. traffic management. Outcome 2: Increased throughput (in terms of passengers) of public transport corridors within the City Center as a result of: 1. improved management of bus priority lanes; and 2. development of bus priority lanes. Outcome 3: Reduction in relative levels of air pollution as a result of: 1. the traffic management measures; and 2. improved coordination amongst responsible agencies. Outcome 4: Reduction in the relative levels of accidents per capita as a result of: 1. the introduction of unleaded gasoline; and 2. a vehicle emissions control program. Outcome 5: Improved effectiveness and efficiency of road maintenance as a result of: 1. introduction of modernized road maintenance equipment; and 2. development of a road maintenance system. Outcome 6: Strengthened management capacity of municipal agencies responsible for urban transport as a result of: 1. technical assistance support and on-the-job training during project implementation; and 2. classroom training and study tours. Revised Project Development Objectives (as approved by original approving authority) (a) PDO Indicator(s) Original Target Formally Actual Value Values (from Revised Achieved at Indicator Baseline Value approval Target Completion or documents) Values Target Years Indicator 1 : Traffic Flows to city center (as bounded by IRR) [Outcome 1] Value quantitative or 138,990 -10% +13% Qualitative) Date achieved 06/30/1998 12/31/2003 12/31/2001 Traffic counts in 1999 and 2000 showed reductions by 14% and 6%, Comments respectively, but by 2001 were 13% above baseline and were expected to rise. (incl. % The Bank and the client agreed to discontinue because of the rising trend and achievement) high cost of collecting the data. Indicator 2 : City Center (Cross-town speeds) on N-S corridor (p.m. peak) [Outcome 1] Value 24km/hr +15% +33% iii quantitative or Qualitative) Date achieved 06/30/1998 12/31/2003 12/31/2001 Comments The target was achieved in 2001, but speeds were not monitored after that year (incl. % for the same reasons as in Indicator 1. achievement) Indicator 3 : City Center (Cross-town speeds) on E-W corridor (p.m. peak) [Outcome 1] Value quantitative or 24km/hr +15% +49% Qualitative) Date achieved 06/30/1998 12/31/2003 12/31/2001 Comments The target was achieved in 2001, but speeds were not monitored after that year (incl. % for the same reasons as in Indicator 1. achievement) Indicator 4 : Bus Speeds on N-S corridor [Outcome 2] Value quantitative or 11.2 km/hr +43% +63% Qualitative) Date achieved 06/30/1998 12/31/2003 12/31/2006 Comments (incl. % Bus speeds have been consistently at or above the target since 2003. achievement) Indicator 5 : Bus Speeds on E-W corridor [Outcome 2] Value quantitative or 11.2 km/hr +43% +63% Qualitative) Date achieved 06/30/1998 12/31/2003 12/31/2006 Comments (incl. % Bus speeds have been consistently at or above