RealReal EstateEstate MarketMarket OverviewOverview LubbockLubbock Jennifer S. Cowley Assistant Research Scientist Dana M. Pechacek Graduate Research Assistant Texas A&M University June 2001 © 2001, Real Estate Center. All rights reserved. RealReal EstateEstate MarketMarket OverviewOverview LubbockLubbock Contents 2 Population 5 Employment 8 Job Market Major Industries 9 Business Climate 11 Education 12 Transportation and Infrastructure Issues 13 Urban Growth Patterns Map 1. Growth Areas 14 Public Facilities 15 Housing 18 Apartments 19 Manufactured Housing Seniors Housing 20 Retail Market 21 Map 2. Retail Building Permits, 2000 22 Office Market Map 3. Office and Industrial Building Permits, 2000 23 Industrial Market Conclusion RealReal EstateEstate MarketMarket OverviewOverview LubbockLubbock Jennifer S. Cowley Assistant Research Scientist Dana M. Pechacek Graudate Research Assistant Shallowater US 62 Interstate 27 Lubbock Ransom Canyon Wolfforth US 82 US 84 US 87 Area Cities and Towns County Land Area of Lubbock MSA Abernathy Ransom Canyon Lubbock 900 square miles Hurlwood Shallowater Idalou Slaton Lubbock Wolforth Population Density (2000) Posey Woodrow New Deal 270 people per square mile ocated in the Texas Panhandle, city proclaims itself the Chrysanthe- encompasses 115 square miles; Lubbock is the center of a 26- mum Capital of the World and prides Lubbock County spans more than 900 L county retail trading area in the itself on the beautiful October blooms. square miles. Lubbock County is the South Plains. The state’s ninth largest The City of Lubbock's land area only county in the Lubbock MSA. 1 POPULATION Kelly Air Force Base, San Antonio Lubbock MSA Population Year Population 1990 222,815 1991 223,873 1992 224,133 1993 226,765 1994 229,668 1995 231,015 1996 230,932 1997 230,066 1998 228,220 1999 227,890 2000 242,628 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, May 2001 he 2000 U.S. Census figures 213,406, up 7 percent from the plan- The Texas State Data Center show that the City of Lubbock’s ning department’s estimated city popu- forecasts the Lubbock MSA to have a T population increased 7.2 per- lation in 2000. relatively stable population over the cent from 1990 for a total population The population growth rate for the next 20 years, growing 0.3 percent per of 199,564. The U.S. Census ranks the Lubbock MSA from 1990 to 2000 was year. The Texas Water Development city 11th among the 15 largest Texas nine percent, according to the U.S. Board projects that the MSA’s popula- cities. The City of Lubbock Planning Census Bureau. The city’s estimate of tion will grow at an annual rate of 0.7 Department unofficially estimates the the metropolitan area’s 2001 popula- percent. city’s population in 2001 to be tion is 251,645. 2 Texas Metropolitan Area Population Change, 1990–2000 (in percent) McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 48.5 Galveston-Texas City 15.1 Austin-San Marcos 48.2 Tyler 15.5 Laredo 44.9 El Paso 14.9 Dallas 31.5 Corpus Christi 14.3 Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito 28.9 Victoria 13.1 Brazoria County 26.1 Waco 12.9 Houston 25.8 Texarkana 9.4 Fort Worth-Arlington 25.1 Lubbock 9.0 Bryan-College Station 25.1 Wichita Falls 7.8 Texas 22.8 Longview-Marshall 7.7 Killeen-Temple 22.6 Beaumont-Port Arthur 6.6 San Antonio 20.2 Abilene 5.8 Sherman-Denison 16.4 San Angelo 5.6 Amarillo 16.2 Odessa-Midland 5.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Lubbock MSA Projected Population Texas State Texas Water Year Data Center Development Board 2005 247,727 — 2010 253,288 261,695 2015 254,702 — 2020 255,213 279,223 Sources: Texas State Data Center and Texas Water Development Board Projected Population Growth, 2000–2020 (in percent) 50 40 30 40.2 20 10 0 8.1 Lubbock MSA Texas Source: Texas State Data Center 3 Household Composition Lubbock MSA Texas Median household size (1990) 2.7 2.7 Population younger than 18 (1999, in percent) 26.7 28.5 Population 65 and older (1999, in percent) 11.2 10.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Ethnic Distribution (in percent) Lubbock MSA Texas Ethnicity 1990 2000 1990 2000 White 68.0 62.5 60.8 52.4 Hispanic 22.9 27.5 25.3 32.0 Black 7.5 7.5 11.7 11.3 Asian 1.2 1.3 0.3 2.8 American Indian 0.2 0.3 1.8 0.3 Other 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 Two or more races* – 0.8 – 1.1 *For the 2000 Census, the Census Bureau changed the “race” options, allowing people to report their race as “other” or as two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau ince 1990, the area has become has followed growth of this group in Lubbock MSA was $24,459. The state more ethnically diverse. Growth the state as a whole. average was $26,834, according to the S of the area’s Hispanic population The 1999 per capita income in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. 4 EMPLOYMENT Source: U.S.BureauofLaborStatistics 100,000 105,000 110,000 115,000 120,000 125,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Source: U.S.BureauofLaborStatistics 95,000 January-95 May Sept 1990 January-96 1991 May Lubbock MSAUnemploymentRate Sept 1992 Lubbock MSAEmployment January-97 1993 May (in percent) Sept 1994 5 January-98 1995 May Sept 1996 January-99 1997 May Sept 1998 January-00 May 1999 Sept 2000 January-01 Top Ten Employers Top Ten Private Employers Texas Tech University Bergstrom Air Force Base,Covenant Austin Medical Hospital Education Health care 8,535 employees 5,900 employees Covenant Medical Hospital Caprock Home Health Services Health care Health care 5,900 employees 1,650 employees Lubbock Independent School District Convergys Education Call center 3,442 employees 1,500 employees Texas Tech Health Science Center United Supermarkets Health care and education Supermarkets 2,259 employees 1,345 employees City of Lubbock American State Bank Government Bank 2,164 employees 559 employees Caprock Home Health Services West TeleServices Health care Call center 1,650 employees 558 employees Convergys Southwestern Bell Telephone Call center Telecommunications 1,500 employees 522 employees United Supermarkets Industrial Molding Corp. Supermarkets Plastic manufacturing 1,345 employees 505 employees University Medical Center Eagle-Picher Industries Health care Construction machinery manufacturing 999 employees 482 employees Lubbock County Covenant Home Health Care Government Health care 897 employees 250–500 employees Source: Lubbock Chamber of Commerce Employment Growth by Industry Lubbock MSA Texas Employment growth, 2000 (in percent) 2.3 3.2 Unemployment rate (in percent) 1.8 4.3 New jobs in 2000 2,700 288,900 Employment growth by sector, 2000 (in percent) Services 2.3 4.7 Trade 2.4 3.1 Manufacturing 1.4 0.1 Mining 0.0 2.3 Finance, insurance and real estate 1.7 1.3 Construction 0.0 6.2 Government 2.7 1.7 Transportation, communications and public utilities 14.5 5.1 Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and Texas Workforce Commission 6 Texas Metropolitan Area Employment Change, 1990–2000 (in percent) Austin-San Marcos 58.8 El Paso 15.4 Laredo 40.3 Waco 14.3 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 35.8 Lubbock 14.0 Dallas 30.4 Sherman-Denison 12.5 Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito 30.1 Longview-Marshall 12.2 Bryan-College Station 29.2 Abilene 11.4 Killeen-Temple 28.7 San Angelo 10.7 San Antonio 28.6 Corpus Christi 10.3 Fort Worth-Arlington 23.7 Galveston-Texas City 8.2 Texas 23.3 Wichita Falls 7.8 Tyler 22.9 Odessa-Midland 6.5 Victoria 22.4 Texarkana 4.5 Houston 22.1 Beaumont-Port Arthur 3.5 Amarillo 18.6 Brazoria County 2.3 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2001 ovenant Medical Hospital is Commission reported a 2.3 percent according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor the largest private employer in increase in nonagricultural employ- Statistics. This rate was down 0.3 C Lubbock, and Texas Tech ment for an average of 120,300 percent from 1999. University is the area’s major public persons employed in 2000. According to the Texas Workforce employer. According to the U.S. Unemployment has remained Commission, the MSA’s 2000 unem- Bureau of Labor Statistics, from 1999 consistently low for several years and ployment rate was 1.8 percent. This to 2000, average civilian employment is significantly lower than the average ranks it third behind the Bryan-College increased 2.7 percent to 122,968 rate for Texas. In 2000, the average Station and Austin-San Marcos MSAs persons. The Texas Workforce unemployment rate was 2.6 percent, in lowest unemployment rates. 7 JOB MARKET ndustrial Molding Corporation, a February 2000 and has generated mental and Human Health and wind plastic molding manufacturer, is 1,300 new jobs, 500 more than engineering and vehicle engineering Iexpanding and will create 41 new originally anticipated. In June 2000, facilities are all located at the center. jobs with $1.2 million per year in United Supermarkets opened a new Amarillo-based Texas T-Bone Express, salaries. Bigham Brothers, an agricul- distribution center that employs 237 which conducts research and develop- tural equipment manufacturer, is workers. ment on beef production and packag- expanding and will create 20 new jobs BC Supply plans to add 25 jobs in ing, and the City of Lubbock Police over the next two years as well as $1.8 2001. Quality Coating is adding 75 Department are also current tenants. million annually in salaries.