“ELABORATION OF THE EAST MEDITERRANEAN MOTORWAYS OF THE SEA MASTER PLAN” DELIVERABLE 5.2 EAST MEDITERRANEAN MASTER PLAN OF THE MOTORWAYS OF THE SEA DECEMBER 2009 Eastern Mediterranean Region MoS Master Plan Study TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Introduction .....................................................................................................1-15 2 Identification & Presentation of the Potential MoS Corridors in EMR ....2-18 2.1 Introduction.................................................................................................. 2-18 2.2 Methodology framework........................................................................... 2-19 2.2.1 Determination/ detection of the MoS potential corridors – Identification of the predominant/ indicative MoS link ................. 2-19 2.2.2 Estimation of the potential future trade flows (2015) of the MoS potential corridors – Identification of the corridor catchment area2-21 2.2.3 Estimation of the potential future trade flows (2015) of the predominant/indicative MoS link – Competition overview........... 2-23 2.2.4 Unimodal road competition transport flows overview................... 2-24 2.2.5 Estimation of modal shift...................................................................... 2-25 2.2.6 Determination of the indicative service profile of the predominant/ indicative MoS link ................................................................................ 2-25 2.2.7 Economic viability assessment of the predominant/ indicative MoS link operation ......................................................................................... 2-26 2.3 Description of MoS potential corridors .................................................... 2-30 2.3.1 Introduction............................................................................................ 2-30 2.3.2 MoS potential corridor 1: South Adriatic - Italian ports cluster & Ionian Sea/ West Greece ports cluster, including their respective catchment areas (Indicative MoS link Igoumenitsa – Taranto).... 2-34 2.3.2.1 Potential trade flows of the MoS corridor – Catchment Area identification – Interconnection with road transport network2-34 2.3.2.2 Articulation of the indicative MoS Link demand.................... 2-41 2.3.2.3 Competition overview ................................................................ 2-41 2.3.2.4 Indicative estimation of modal shift ......................................... 2-47 2.3.2.5 Indicative service profile of the MoS link ................................. 2-48 2.3.2.6 Economic viability assessment of the MoS link ....................... 2-48 2.3.3 MoS potential corridor 2: EMR-Middle East ports cluster & North Aegean ports cluster, including their respective catchment areas (Indicative MoS link Limassol – Kavala) ............................................. 2-50 2.3.3.1 Potential trade flows of the MoS corridor – Catchment Area identification – Interrelation to EMR intermodal corridors - Interconnection with road transport network......................... 2-51 2.3.3.2 Articulation of the indicative MoS Link demand.................... 2-59 2.3.3.3 Competition overview ................................................................ 2-60 2.3.3.4 Indicative estimation of modal shift ......................................... 2-66 2.3.3.5 Indicative service profile of the MoS link ................................. 2-67 2.3.3.6 Economic viability assessment of the MoS link ....................... 2-68 2.3.4 MoS potential corridor 3: Ionian Sea/ West Greece ports cluster & the eastern segment of the North Adriatic ports cluster, including their respective catchment areas (Indicative MoS link Igoumenitsa – Koper)................................................................................................... 2-70 2.3.4.1 Potential trade flows of the MoS corridor – Catchment Area identification – Interrelation to EMR intermodal corridors - Interconnection with road transport network......................... 2-71 2.3.4.2 Articulation of the indicative MoS Link demand.................... 2-78 2.3.4.3 Competition overview ................................................................ 2-79 2.3.4.4 Indicative estimation of modal shift ......................................... 2-89 2.3.4.5 Indicative service profile of the MoS link ................................. 2-90 Deliverable 5.2 1-2 Eastern Mediterranean Region MoS Master Plan Study 2.3.4.6 Economic viability assessment of the MoS link ....................... 2-90 2.3.4.7 MoS proposal under the 2nd call for proposals ....................... 2-91 2.3.5 MoS potential corridor 4: The central segment of the North Adriatic ports cluster & the Ionian Sea/ West Greece ports cluster, including their respective catchment areas (Indicative MoS link Venice – (Igoumenitsa) – Patra – (Korinthos)) .................................................. 2-93 2.3.5.1 Potential trade flows of the MoS corridor – Catchment Area identification – Interrelation to EMR intermodal corridors - Interconnection with road transport network......................... 2-94 2.3.5.2 Articulation of the indicative MoS Link demand.................. 2-102 2.3.5.3 Competition overview .............................................................. 2-103 2.3.5.4 Indicative estimation of modal shift ....................................... 2-110 2.3.5.5 Indicative service profile of the MoS link ............................... 2-111 2.3.5.6 Economic viability assessment of the MoS link ..................... 2-112 2.3.5.7 MoS proposal under the 2nd call for proposals ..................... 2-114 2.3.6 MoS potential corridor 5: The eastern segment of the North Adriatic ports cluster & the western segment of the North Adriatic ports cluster, including their respective catchment areas (Indicative MoS link (Igoumenitsa) – Ancona – Koper) ............................................. 2-114 2.3.6.1 Potential trade flows of the MoS corridor – Catchment Area identification – Interrelation to EMR intermodal corridors - Interconnection with road transport network....................... 2-115 2.3.6.2 Articulation of the indicative MoS Link demand.................. 2-124 2.3.6.3 Competition overview .............................................................. 2-125 2.3.6.4 Indicative estimation of modal shift ....................................... 2-133 2.3.6.5 Indicative service profile of the MoS link ............................... 2-134 2.3.6.6 Economic viability assessment of the MoS link ..................... 2-134 2.3.7 MoS potential corridor 6: EMR – Middle East ports cluster & Central/ South Aegean ports cluster, including their respective catchment areas (Indicative MoS link Piraeus - Limassol) ................................ 2-136 2.3.7.1 Potential trade flows of the MoS corridor – Catchment Area identification – Interrelation to EMR intermodal corridors - Interconnection with road transport network....................... 2-137 2.3.7.2 Articulation of the indicative MoS Link demand.................. 2-145 2.3.7.3 Competition overview .............................................................. 2-146 2.3.7.4 Indicative estimation of modal shift ....................................... 2-151 2.3.7.5 Indicative service profile of the MoS link ............................... 2-152 2.3.7.6 Economic viability assessment of the MoS link ..................... 2-152 2.3.8 MoS potential corridor 7: The eastern segment of the North Adriatic ports cluster & the central segment of the North Adriatic ports cluster & the northern segment of the South Adriatic - Balkan ports cluster, including their respective catchment areas (Indicative MoS link Venice – (Koper) - Ploce) ........................................................... 2-154 2.3.8.1 Potential trade flows of the MoS corridor – Catchment Area identification – Interrelation to EMR intermodal corridors - Interconnection with road transport network....................... 2-155 2.3.8.2 Articulation of the indicative MoS Link demand.................. 2-162 2.3.8.3 Competition overview .............................................................. 2-163 2.3.8.4 Indicative estimation of modal shift ....................................... 2-169 2.3.8.5 Indicative service profile of the MoS link ............................... 2-171 2.3.8.6 Economic viability assessment of the MoS link ..................... 2-171 Deliverable 5.2 1-3 Eastern Mediterranean Region MoS Master Plan Study 2.3.9 MoS potential corridor 8: Ionian Sea/ West Greece port cluster & the Italian ports of the Central Mediterranean ports cluster, including their respective catchment areas (Indicative MoS link Patra - Catania) .................................................................................. 2-174 2.3.9.1 Potential trade flows of the MoS corridor – Catchment Area identification – Interrelation to EMR intermodal corridors - Interconnection with road transport network....................... 2-174 2.3.9.2 Articulation of the indicative MoS Link demand.................. 2-181 2.3.9.3 Competition overview .............................................................. 2-182 2.3.9.4 Indicative estimation of modal shift ....................................... 2-187 2.3.9.5 Indicative service profile of the MoS link ............................... 2-189 2.3.9.6 Viability analysis of the MoS link .............................................. 2-189 2.3.10 MoS potential corridor 9: The western segment of the North Adriatic ports cluster & the southern segment of the