V2 - AUSE01Z60MA THE AUSTRALIAN, MONDAY, NOVEMBER 4, 2019 31 T H E G U I D E 159th Melbourne Cup Carnival | Tuesday November 5, 2019 | Flemington MELBOURNE CUP THE CUP’S BIGGEST THREATS FRANCESCA’S TIPS Channel Ten Melbourne Cup As is the case with the evolving nature of the tance shouldn’t prove a barrier to sending the Aidan O’Brien. At much bigger prices, Twilight 1 MUSTAJEER race that stops the nation there is a strong inter- Cup back to Japan. Payment has proven stamina and is one of four Carnival host national contingent hoping to get their hands It would be an amazing achievement for Mer in the race for young trainer Joseph O’Brien on the prestigious prize. De Glace’s jockey Damian Lane, who is looking who knows what it takes to win the Cup as he 2 MER DE GLACE Francesca Cumani The locals will be pinning their hopes on the to become the first jockey to win the Australian showed with Rekindling in 2017, when he de- likes of Finche and Vow And Declare, who Grand Slam in the same season. Fans of this feated his father Aidan. 3 MAGIC WAND expects the foreign both bring strong form into the race. I can’t help horse and his connections will be on weather However, I keep coming back to Mustajeer but be continually impressed by Mer De Glace’s watch because traditionally these Japanese gal- at tasty odds. He has a good weight, has a good ROUGHIE raiders to dictate Caulfield Cup victory and while there are argu- lopers don’t go well in the wet. barrier and he has Damien Oliver in the saddle. ments that some of the beaten horses could re- Of the others, Magic Wand is an incredibly He showed the ability to cope with a large field RAYMOND TUSK proceedings at verse the form with a bit more luck in running I reliable mare who has danced most dances and in the Ebor at York this year. Having secured believe we may be overcomplicating the puzzle. drops to handicap company for the first time in victory there he will have developed a know- Flemington tomorrow The Japanese galloper powered clear and 20 starts. Her run in the Cox Plate was encour- how for the hustle and bustle of a Cup and his was strong at the line in victory and the extra dis- aging and she is nicely weighted for her trainer run last time out at Caulfield was full of promise. CROSS MER DE GLACE MASTER OF MIRAGE SOUTHERN HUNTING LATROBE MUSTAJEER COUNTER 1 2 REALITY 3 DANCER 4 FRANCE 5 HORN 6 7 8 Price $13 Price $6.50 Price $26 Price $34 Price $21 Price $21 Price $26 Price $17 Jockey William Buick Jockey Damian Lane Jockey Frankie Dettori Jockey Ben Melham Jockey Mark Zahra Jockey Seamie Heffernan Jockey James McDonald Jockey Damien Oliver Trainer Charlie Appleby Trainer Hisashi Shimizu Trainer Joseph O’Brien Trainer T Busuttin, N Young Trainer C Maher, D Eustace Trainer Aidan O’Brien Trainer Joseph O’Brien Trainer Kris Lees Barrier 5 Barrier 2 Barrier 1 Barrier 13 Barrier 14 Barrier 11 Barrier 22 Barrier 6 Weight 57.5kg Weight 56kg Weight 55.5kg Weight 55.5kg Weight 55.5kg Weight 55kg Weight 55kg Weight 55kg Age 5 Age 5 Age 5 Age 6 Age 5 Age 5 Age 5 Age 7 Starts 12 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 18 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 12 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 17 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 14 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 22 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 15 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 20 1st 2nd 3rd 6 2 1 8 2 5 3 1 2 4 5 4 3 3 3 3 2 5 3 6 1 4 3 3 Francesca says The defending Francesca says Japanese raider Francesca says Looking to give Francesca says Finished third Francesca says Formerly trained Francesca says Won in the MV Francesca says Another Joseph Francesca says Impressive win champion will have to carry who was brilliant in winning the 26-year-old trainer Joseph in the Caulfield Cup behind Mer by Aidan O’Brien where he Gold Cup last time out under O’Brien galloper. 2018 Irish in the Ebor before finishing an 6.5kg more to victory if he is to Caulfield Cup. Stretches out O’Brien a second Cup following De Glace in his first start for his finished third in the 2018 St Leger. Ryan Moore. Beaten Derby victor who finished eye-catching sixth behind Mer become only the fifth horse to over two miles for the first time Rekindling’s win two years ago. new barn since leaving England. G3 winner two starts ago in convincingly in Europe this year runner-up in the G1 Mackinnon De Glace in the Caulfield Cup. win consecutive Melbourne but looks as though the trip will Finished third at huge odds in This son of Frankel is stretching Ireland and G1 placed last time on a couple of occasions behind in the same year. Hasn’t been Now in the care of Kris Lees since Cups. Ran well in defeat behind be within his compass. Jockey the G1 Ascot Gold Cup in June. out over two miles for the first out brings a solid staying profile to the superstar Enable and needs quite as good in 2019 but got a leaving Ireland. Write this horse the world’s best stayer Stradi- Damian Lane is chasing a Frankie Detttori looks for his time but hit the line well at the contest. Now in the care of to take another step forward to confidence-boosting victory two off at your peril. Oliver looks for varius this season in the UK. historic Australian Grand Slam. elusive first Melbourne Cup. Caulfield and should improve. Ciaron Maher and David Eustace. get competitive. starts back in G3 company. his fourth Melbourne Cup. ROSTROPOVICH TWILIGHT FINCHE PRINCE OF RAYMOND DOWNDRAFT MAGIC NEUFBOSC 9 PAYMENT 10 11 ARRAN 12 TUSK 13 14 WAND 15 16 Price $67 Price $67 Price $10 Price $17 Price $17 Price $21 Price $26 Price $151 Jockey Dwayne Dunn Jockey Hugh Bowman Jockey Kerrin McEvoy Jockey Michael Walker Jockey Jamie Spencer Jockey John Allen Jockey Ryan Moore Jockey Luke Nolen Trainer D, B Hayes, T Dabernig Trainer Joseph O’Brien Trainer Chris Waller Trainer Charlie Fellowes Trainer Richard Hannon Trainer Joseph O’Brien Trainer Aidan O’Brien Trainer D, B Hayes, T Dabernig Barrier 12 Barrier 19 Barrier 4 Barrier 8 Barrier 3 Barrier 15 Barrier 24 Barrier 23 Weight 55kg Weight 55kg Weight 54kg Weight 54kg Weight 54kg Weight 53.5kg Weight 53.5kg Weight 53.5kg Age 5 Age 7 Age 6 Age 7 Age 5 Age 5 Age 5 Age 5 Starts 18 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 24 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 14 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 37 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 12 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 18 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 19 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 13 1st 2nd 3rd 4 2 3 5 9 5 4 1 3 6 7 5 3 3 1 7 2 1 2 7 2 3 2 1 Francesca says One of the Francesca says Has raced 11 Francesca says Chris Waller is Francesca says Last year’s third Francesca says Fourth in the Francesca says Snaring the final Francesca says A talented globe Francesca says Another at huge outsiders who was soundly times since he was gelded at the yet to win the Melbourne Cup placegetter comes into this race Ebor behind Mustajeer last time place in the field was Downdraft, a trotter who ran respectably when odds who would cause a beaten in the Caulfield Cup last start of his four-year-old season but in Finche he has a great on the back of victory in the out. Has been a standing dish in fourth runner in the race for fourth in the Cox Plate. The first Melbourne Cup upset if he was time out. There have been big and has never finished out of the chance. Fifth in the Caulfield Geelong Cup. Has a bigger gap some valuable staying races. Joseph O’Brien. Third in the MV time in her career she runs in a victorious. Five lengths behind price winners in recent renewals first four. Won two of his last Cup was eye-catching and between races into the Cup this Assured to stay the trip, he will be Gold Cup behind Hunting Horn handicap having run in 14 G1 Prince Of Arran in the Geelong of the Cup, notably Prince Of three starts and is a guaranteed having finished fourth in the time round than 12 months ago hoping to give his syndicate of before winning the Hotham on WFA races but the two miles is Cup last time out. Penzance, but it would be a big stayer. Likes to race on speed Melbourne Cup last year he has — will that make the difference? owners, Middleham Park Racing, Saturday. If he handles the three- an unknown and Ryan Moore surprise if Rostropovich won. and could outrun his big odds. been here and got the T-shirt. Saves his best for Australia. a day they will never forget. day back-up he is in with a chance. has barrier 24 to contend with.. SOUND SURPRISE CONSTANTINOPLE IL PARADISO STEEL PRINCE THE CHOSEN VOW AND YOUNGSTAR 17 BABY 18 19 20 21 ONE 22 DECLARE 23 24 Price $101 Price $15 Price $8 Price $15 Price $67 Price $81 Price $11 Price $34 Jockey James Winks Jockey Jordan Childs Jockey Joao Moreira Jockey Wayne Lordan Jockey Brett Prebble Jockey Tim Clark Jockey Craig Williams Jockey Tommy Berry Trainer Michael Moroney Trainer Paul Preusker Trainer D, B Hayes, T Dabernig Trainer Aidan O’Brien Trainer Anthony Freedman Trainer M Baker, A Forsman Trainer Danny O’Brien Trainer Chris Waller Barrier 10 Barrier 20 Barrier 7 Barrier 17 Barrier 16 Barrier 18 Barrier 21 Barrier 9 Weight 53.5kg Weight 53.5kg Weight 52.5kg Weight 52.5kg Weight 52.5kg Weight 52kg Weight 52kg Weight 52kg Age 7 Age 5 Age 4 Age 4 Age 6 Age 4 Age 4 Age 5 Starts 24 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 10 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 9 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 8 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 21 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 16 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 12 1st 2nd 3rd Starts 21 1st 2nd 3rd 7 2 1 5 1 1 2 4 1 2 2 2 8 5 1 5 2 0 3 2 2 4 1 4 Francesca says Lining up for Francesca says One of the main Francesca says Former market Francesca says One of three Francesca says Secured his spot Francesca says Victorious in the Francesca says Runner-up in Francesca says Sixth in the race trainer Michael Moroney on the domestic hopes.