SFMTA Bus Fleet Management Plan 2017-2030 March 2017 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction and Guiding Principles ..................................................................................... 4 Guiding Principles ........................................................................................................ 4 2. Service Overview ................................................................................................................ 6 Bus Route Categories .................................................................................................. 6 Service Standards........................................................................................................ 7 Service Policies ........................................................................................................... 9 Current Bus Fleet Overview ........................................................................................12 2.4.1 Motor Bus Sub-Fleet ............................................................................................12 2.4.2 Trolley Bus Sub-Fleet ..........................................................................................12 3. Maintenance Program ........................................................................................................15 Maintenance Standards ..............................................................................................15 3.1.1 Daily Inspections ..................................................................................................15 Maintenance Process .................................................................................................16 3.2.1 Preventative Maintenance....................................................................................16 3.2.2 Corrective Maintenance .......................................................................................17 3.2.3 Documentation and Evaluation of Vehicle Maintenance .......................................18 3.2.4 Vehicle Accessibility Equipment ...........................................................................18 3.2.5 Campaigns/Capital Projects .................................................................................19 Midlife Overhaul Approach ..........................................................................................19 3.3.1 Assumptions ........................................................................................................19 3.3.2 Midlife Overhaul Schedule ...................................................................................20 Fuel ............................................................................................................................21 Vehicle Performance ...................................................................................................21 3.5.1 Mean Distance Between Failures .........................................................................21 3.5.2 Preventative Maintenance Compliance ................................................................23 4. Ridership Patterns and Future Growth ...............................................................................25 Ridership on Muni Buses ............................................................................................25 Passenger Profile .......................................................................................................26 4.2.1 Ridership by Time of Day .....................................................................................26 4.2.2 Trip Purpose ........................................................................................................27 4.2.3 Race and Ethnicity ...............................................................................................28 4.2.1 Income .................................................................................................................29 1 4.2.2 Access .................................................................................................................30 Recent Ridership Trends ............................................................................................30 Future Ridership Growth .............................................................................................31 4.4.1 Development Driving Ridership Growth ...............................................................34 4.4.2 Estimated Ridership Growth ................................................................................37 5. Service Expansion Plan .....................................................................................................38 Equity Strategy Expansion Needs ...............................................................................38 Rapid Bus Expansion ..................................................................................................39 5.2.1 Rapid Bus Service Expansion ..............................................................................40 5.2.2 Van Ness Improvement Project............................................................................41 5.2.3 Geary BRT ...........................................................................................................42 Central Subway Service Adjustments .........................................................................43 Background Growth and Congestion Delay ................................................................45 Service Plans for Major Development Projects ...........................................................46 5.5.1 Hunters Point Shipyard/Candlestick Point Service Plan .......................................46 5.5.2 Treasure Island Service Plan ...............................................................................48 5.5.3 Parkmerced Service Plan.....................................................................................50 5.5.4 Eastern Neighborhoods, Rincon Hill, and Transbay Center Service Plan .............50 6. Peak and Total Vehicle Demands ......................................................................................52 Upcoming Fleet Transitions and Construction Support ...............................................52 Spare Ratio .................................................................................................................54 7. Vehicle Procurement Plan ..................................................................................................56 Procurements Underway.............................................................................................56 Planned Procurements ...............................................................................................57 Average Fleet Age ......................................................................................................57 8. Summary of Maintenance Facilities....................................................................................59 2 Table 1: Summary of Bus Route Categories .................................................................................................................. 6 Table 2: Average Maximum and Crowding Loads.......................................................................................................... 8 Table 3: Stop Spacing Policy ......................................................................................................................................... 8 Table 4: Summary of Bus Service Standards ................................................................................................................ 8 Table 5: Vehicle Types by Bus Fleet Facility .................................................................................................................. 9 Table 6: Current Rubber Tire Fleet .............................................................................................................................. 12 Table 7: Assumptions and Parameters for Schedule ................................................................................................... 20 Table 8: Number of Vehicles Being Rebuilt at Any One Time ...................................................................................... 21 Table 9: Ridership on Major Corridors ......................................................................................................................... 26 Table 10: FY16 Daily Ridership Growth on Selected Bus Routes ................................................................................ 31 Table 11: Rapid Bus Expansion Plan ........................................................................................................................... 41 Table 12: Van Ness BRT Service Plan ........................................................................................................................ 41 Table 13: Geary BRT Service Plan .............................................................................................................................. 42 Table 14: Central Subway Bus Service Plan ................................................................................................................ 45 Table 15: Candlestick Point/Hunters Point Bus Service Plan Present-2030 ................................................................ 48 Table 16: Treasure Island Bus Service Plan Present-2030 .......................................................................................... 50 Table 17: Parkmerced Bus Service Plan Present-2030 ..............................................................................................