Gerald Celente’s TRENDSJOURNAL.COM | FORECASTING WORLDWIDE SINCE 1980 | SUMMER 2013 HISTORY BEFORE IT HAPPENS The surveillance state has arrived ➤ Map of scoundrels ➤ The economics of government lies CONTRIBUTORS Dr. Paul Craig Roberts (“Lies, damn lies and government lies,” p. 8). Former associate editor of the Wall Street Journal and columnist for Business Week, Dr. Roberts served on personal and committee staffs in the House and Senate, and served as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy during the Reagan Administration. Roberts was Senior Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and was appointed to the William E. Simon Chair in Political Economy, Center for Strategic and International Studies, Georgetown University. He is recipient of the US Treasury’s Silver Medal and of the Legion of Honor conveyed by the French government. Eldad Benary (“The one-state solution,” p. 46) was born in 1937 in Tel Aviv Palestine to parents who emigrated from Latvia in the early 1930’s. As a youngster, he witnessed the creation of Israel in 1948. He was raised and educated mostly in Haifa and, like most Israelis, served in the IDF for three years as a conscript, then about 20 in reserves. He moved to upstate New York in 1974, and visits Israel occasionally. Bennett Daviss (“Tapped out,” p. 16; and “The Rust Belt goes green,” p. 30) has been reporting on science, technology, energy, and environmental issues and trends for more than 30 years. His articles have appeared in Discover, Money, Smithsonian, and more than 40 other publications on four continents. He makes his home in a part of rural New England where chickens still outnumber electronic devices. Anthony Freda (Illustrations in “When life lessons become trend lessons,” p. 4; “Lies, damn lies and government lies,” p. 8; and “Surveillence state reality,” p. 26) has created award-winning illustrations and paintings for numerous publications including the New Yorker, Time, Rolling Stone, and the New York Times. He has been selected to be part of The Society of Illustrators and American Illustration annual competitions. Freda considers himself an information warrior, and his politically charged imagery currently graces millions of computer screens via a wide spectrum of mainstream and alternative websites and magazines including The Trends Journal. His artwork often re-purposes vintage American ephemera into ironic, darkly humorous takes on the issues burning in the zeitgeist. R od Lamkey Jr. (“This health care crisis is personal,” p. 42) has devoted two-decades to working on long-term issue-related documentaries affecting society’s most vulnerable citizens. A self-taught photographer, he started his photojournalism career in 1985 as a freelancer for UPI and AFP in San Francisco. He’s been a staff photographer for the Chicago Tribune, The Washington Times, and The Oakland Tribune. He was part of two Pulitzer Prize team finalists. He has won © Rod Lamkey Jr./ZUMAPRESS.com the Society of Professional Journalists Sigma Delta Chi Award for Public Service, as well as being the recipient of various awards from the White House Newspaper Photographer’s Association, the National Press Photographer’s Association, and others. THE TRENDS JOURNAL | SUMMER 2013 IN THIS ISSUE HISTORY BEFORE IT HAPPENS COVER STORY Surveillance state: Editor and Publisher It’s a reality Gerald Celente Senior Editor House-t0-house police actions in the Alex Silberman wake of the Boston bombing, military Contributing Editors training in urban environments, NSA Dr. Paul Craig Roberts spying on all Americans — we’re seeing Bennett Daviss Eldad Benary a wholesale attack on individual rights Subscriptions Manager in the U.S. 26 Emily Arter Anthony Freda Illustrations Anthony Freda FEATURES DEPARTMENTS Design Creative Circle Epiphany Media Solutions, No future like the present East Providence, RI The art and science of trend forecasting 2 TV Reality News 7 When life lessons become trend lessons Globalnomics Cover Image: T.J. Kirkpatrick/ Learning to take care of ourselves 4 Lies and broken The New York Times/Redux promises 24 Lies, damn lies and government lies All rights reserved. For permission Another View Despite what we’re told, an economic crisis still looms 8 to reproduce or translate material This health care from The Trends Journal®, con- 42 tact The Trends Research Institute. Capitalism is dead, and so is the recovery crisis is personal The Trends Journal (ISSN 1065- A conversation with Gerald Celente about the state 51 2094) is published quarterly by Trending The Trends Research Institute. of the global economy 13 HOUSING: Keep an ©2013. Globalnomic, Trends eye on interest rates Journal, Trend Alert, Trends in Tapped out and going dry GEOPOLITICAL: The News and History Before Can we live with water’s new normal? 16 it Happens are registered Powder kegs around trademarks of the Trends The Rust Belt goes green the world Research Institute. Finding opportunity in blight and abandoned landscapes 30 CURRENCY: The Trends Research Institute China is broken P.O. Box 3476 Is gold still golden? CRIME: Opportunity Kingston, NY 12402 845 331-3500 Don’t ask the “experts”! 38 in prevention www.trendsresearch.com LIFESTYLE: The one-state solution Clean food for all Israel should become a country of all its citizens 46 The Trends Journal® by Gerald Celente® alerts you to critical domestic and international trends long before they show up in the mainstream media. An information-packed quarterly, the Journal covers business, economics, politics, social developments, health, environment, education, the arts, science, technology, philosophy and entertainment. As political atheists, we are agenda free and forecast trends for what they are, not for what we’d like them to be. Drawn from a broad spectrum of international resources, our fact-based, data-driven, cutting edge trend forecasts allow you to: anticipate change, recognize the implications, and take proactive measure recognize short and long-term strategies for profiting SUMMER 2013 | THE TRENDS JOURNAL 1 KEYNOTES No future like the present The art and science of trend forecasting We can see it in our own lives. We are who we are and we live the lives we do as a consequence of our actions. The same holds true for a society. Individu- ally and collectively, our actions and inactions shape our destiny. And then there are the wild cards. Despite all the analysis and the most sophisticated models, no one can predict the wild cards. Thus, no one can predict the future. In fact, as I was writing this passage, my good friend Joseph Hurwitz nearly died. Fit, smart, athletic and in his 70’s, Joseph was a crew member on a sail- boat competing in a race on the Hudson River. The winds were blowing at about 25 knots from all direc- tions. Suddenly, the winds shifted. The boom swung into Joseph’s chest, knocking him overboard. Luckily, a crew member had the sense to throw him a life- Michael Bloom preserver. And fortunately, Joseph kept his cool. He By Gerald Celente was not seriously hurt. He was able to swim to the PUBLISHER donut and hang on until the boat picked him up. “ Are you an astrologer? Maybe some other Had the situation unfolded just a bit differently kind of fortune teller? What can you tell me — if the boom had hit Joseph in the head or a crew member hadn’t seen what happened — I would be about fashion trends? How about entertain- attending his funeral. ment trends?” The other wild card was that the sailing team, de- When I started trend forecasting, these are the spite having an insurmountable lead before Joseph types of questions that people asked me. I would was knocked overboard, ended up in last place. reply that I was neither a fortune teller, tarot card A wild boom, a wild card — it’s all the same. No reader or astrologer. In fact, I was not predicting the one can predict them and that’s why no one can future. Rather, my work was to analyze the myriad predict the future. Hurricanes, tornadoes, cyclones, social, geo-political, cultural and economic events flooding, wars, murder, illness, accidents — the best that occur daily. My mission was to assess their im- laid plans of mice and men often go astray. plications and forecast how those trends would affect us near and long term. To me it was quite simple: There’s No FuTure Like The PreseNT cause and effect. I began forecasting trends in those 1980’s pre- But before I could fully explain my unique Global- globalization days when America was still the undis- nomics® methodology that identifies, analyzes and puted World Superpower. The prevailing corporate, synthesizes information from over 300 trend catego- business and political mindset was, “Why plan ahead ries on a macro level, I had lost them. in an era of planned obsolescence?” The initial reaction to my work was a bit startling. To keep consumers consuming, durable goods I could not understand why so many seemingly were manufactured with deliberate levels of low open-minded, intelligent people were offended by quality so that they would break down and have to the concept that forecasting trends extended beyond be replaced. Besides, since there was no competitive fashion, music and pop culture. What put them on foreign threat to its corporate/ industrial dominance, the defensive? American business could do as it pleased. 2 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | SUMMER 2013 keynotes As a young man in the early 1970’s, I remember the implicit warnings I received from my boss when I joined the corporate ranks: “Welcome aboard, don’t Welcome to your new magazine rock the boat.” Another of his often repeated lines was, “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.” With this edition of the Trends Journal, we are debuting a number of fea- Needless to say, having been taught by my dear tures and a fresh new look designed to connect your lives — your passions, father, may his soul rest in peace, to “Think for interests and needs — to the trends evolving all around you.