21 August 2017 Title West Gate Tunnel Project Transport Expert Evidence #1John Kiriakidis – 22 August 2017 GTA Review (GTA Section 1.3) 1. Consider project’s strategic transport alignment with planning policy. 2. A peer review of analytics contained in the Transport Impact Assessment (TIAR) relied on to inform the EES in support of the Project. 3. Adoption of transport modelling forecasts prepared by VLC. #2 1 21 August 2017 GTA Strategic Alignment Methodology 1. Validate the transport challenges identified in the EES (and Business Case) which form the basis of need for the project by identifying their pre-existence in established policies and studies. 2. Review strategic planning policies to determine the extent of alignment with established policy and planning for Greater Melbourne, 3. Examine the EES as it relates to transport by exploring the project’s consistency with objectives set out in the Transport Integration Act (2010). #3 EES Project Scoping Objective EES Scoping Requirement (for Transport): • ‘To increase transport capacity and improve connectivity to and from the west of Melbourne, and, in particular, increase freight movement via the freeway network instead of local and arterial roads, while adequately managing the effects of the project on the broader and local road network, public transport, cycling and pedestrian transport networks’. • Key themes within the Objective: – Transport capacity – Improving connectivity (with emphasis on areas West of Melbourne) – Moving freight via a higher order road system – Adequately managing effects on public transport and active travel #4 2 21 August 2017 High Level Project Plan #5 Legislation / Policy Framework • The Transport Integration Act 2010 came into effect on 1 July 2010 and is Victoria's principal transport statute. The Act requires that all decisions affecting the transport system be made within the same integrated decision-making framework and support the same objectives. • The Transportation Integration Act (2010) sets out six transport system objectives. These are reproduced below. 1. Social and Economic Inclusion, 2. Economic Prosperity, 3. Environmental Sustainability, 4. Integration of Transport and Land Use, 5. Efficiency, Coordination and Reliability, 6. Safety, Health and Wellbeing. #6 3 21 August 2017 Transport Integration Act (2010) Objectives Summary (Section 3.1.7) Transport Integration Act Framework: • Six identified objectives are informed by twenty two sub-category objectives. • Sub-category objectives utilised to test project performance. #7 Legislation & Policies Considered • State legislation and Policy • Freight related studies Transport Integration Act 2010 Infrastructure Victoria’s Advice on Securing Victoria’s Ports State Planning Policy Framework (SPPF) Capacity 2017 Plan Melbourne 2017-2050 Western Intermodal Freight Terminal (WIFT) Pre-Feasibility Study Infrastructure Victoria 30 year strategy 2017 Network Development Plan – Metropolitan Rail 2012 Victorian Freight & Logistics Plan 2013 Project 10,000 Committee For Melbourne Review of VFLP 2013 Container Trade Forecast Growth – Melbourne Margaret Bux • Local government policies and documents 2015 City of Melbourne: Planning for Future Growth – Transport Trends and Forecasts for Australian Container Growth BIRTE Strategy 2012 2012-13 West Melbourne Structure Plan (2005) Trade to Trump Protectionists and Boost Global Growth World Trade Organisation + Deloitte 2017 West Growth Corridor Plan Freight Intermodal Terminal Systems for Port of Brisbane, Western Transport Strategy – Leadwest Alliance 2012 Melbourne and Sydney 2006 Maribyrnong Integrated Transport Strategy 2012 Hobsons Bay Integrated Transport Strategy 2006 • Active Travel related studies • Past and present studies Cycling into the Future 2013-2023 Hobsons Bay Strategic Bicycle Plan 2013. East-West Link Needs Assessment (Eddington Review) 2008 Truck Action Plan 2009 Planning for Future Growth Westgate Distributor Business Case 2015 Westgate Distributor 2014 East West Link western section 2014 #8 WestLink 2010 4 21 August 2017 Transport Planning Context (Challenges) (Business Case 2015 & EES Volume 1-ES) Five transport challenges: Inadequate transport capacity on the M1 corridor Over-reliance on the West Gate Bridge Inadequate Port and freight connections to cater for growth Reduced amenity in the inner west, and Mismatch between land use and transport. #9 Transport Planning Context (Objectives) (EES Summary Report) EES Established Project Objectives: 1. Improve transport performance in the M1 Corridor • To support the increased travel demand generated by future population and economic growth trends • To enhance connectivity between economic clusters • To enhance safety along the M1 corridor • To enhance access to jobs and services. 2. Reduce reliance on the West Gate Bridge • To improve network resilience and redundancy • To mitigate strategic risks to the State and national economies • To improve travel reliability. 3. Improve freight access to the Port of Melbourne and Greater Melbourne • To improve reliability of access to the Port of Melbourne and on the freight network • To support the travel demands arising from the future freight task • To enhance state and national competitiveness through freight productivity improvements. 4. Improve community Amenity on local streets in the Inner West • To reduce freight on local streets • To improve safety on local streets. #10 5 21 August 2017 Inadequate Transport Capacity on M1 Corridor Transport Capacity = network throughout per unit of time M1 Corridor Considerations: • Limited east-west connections, • Unbalanced east-west capacity options • Complex origin-destination patterns • Limitations of the radial public transport network Strategic alignment: • Eddington Study • Business Case 2015 #11 Over-reliance on the West Gate Bridge Reliance = network alternatives Resilience = network flexibility Over-reliance Considerations? • In the event of an incident, there is limited capacity (redundancy) along the Maribyrnong screen-line to sustain a re-distribution. • A middle morning peak disturbance takes 2hours for the network to recover • High reliance on Footscray Road in the case of a catastrophic failure Strategic Alignment: • Eddington Study • Infrastructure Victoria • City of Melbourne Transport Strategy #12 6 21 August 2017 Inadequate Port & Freight Connections to cater for Growth Industrial & Freight Reliant on M1 Corridor (Source: Technical Repot A EES) Port & Freight Connectivity Considerations: • Limited access opportunities. • HPFV constraints. • Inner west truck curfews. • Significant growth projected. Strategic Alignment: • Eddington study • Victorian Freight & Logistics Plan HPFV Freight Routes #13 Reduced Amenity in the Inner West Amenity Considerations: • Local streets used to support freight movement into With Project Daily Truck volumes (with Original EES Toll Points) and out of Port. Strategic Alignment: • Eddington Study • Western Transport Strategy No Project Daily Truck volumes #14 7 21 August 2017 Mismatch between Land Use & Transport Mismatch Considerations: • Unbalanced growth in population and employment across broader Melbourne. • Pronounced growth in population in Melbourne’s west. • Changing employment typologies (knowledge Growth in Population & Job Density Plot (Source West Gate Tunnel EES) economy vs manufacturing). • Relocation of manufacturing jobs to outer ring suburbs. Strategic Alignment: • Eddington Study • Plan Melbourne • Infrastructure Victoria #15 Transport Integration Act (2010) TIA (2010) Alignment Review (Section 5.8 GTA) #16 8 21 August 2017 Operational Performance Analytic Methodology: • Consistent with industry practise: #17 Operational Performance Project Study Area Considerations: • Consistent with industry practise with a focus on the “corridor”. • As a general rule detailed modelling should include the corridor as well as the closest major node. Comment on Modelling Extents: Western End Modelling Extent - Intersections for Further Consideration • Western End - Further analysis. Eastern End Modelling Extent - Link Review • Eastern End - No further analysis. #18 9 21 August 2017 Operational Performance Level of Service Definitions: Component Metrics: Freeway Assessment: Application of Density based criteria Interchange Assessment: Application of delay based criteria Arterial Intersection Assessment: Degree of Saturation • LOS Targets: Freeway Assessment: LOS D Level of Service Definitions: Interchange Assessment: LOS D LOS A - Free Flow Arterial Intersection Assessment: DOS 0.9 LOS B - Reasonably Free Flow LOS C - Stable Flow LOS D - Approaching Unstable Flow LOS E - Unstable Flow LOS F – Forced Flow (Breakdown Flow) #19 Operational Performance Analytics Summary (Key Observations): Population Growth Inputs (Greater Melbourne): Public Transport Trips vs All Traffic Trips (with & without project): #20 10 21 August 2017 Operational Performance Analytics Summary: Local Area Network Statistics: #21 Operational Performance Analytics Summary: Network Volumes: Project Case Outputs for Daily 2031 & Difference Plot Key Statistics: Westgate Bridge: -28,000vpd Local Area Volumes 2031 Daily, Source: EES Figure 159 City Link: -22,000vpd West Gate Freeway +37,000vpd (max) Local Area Volumes 2031 Daily Difference Plot, Source: EES Figure 158 #22 11 21 August 2017 Operational Performance Analytics Summary: Local Area Volumes: Project Case Output, Daily for 2031 & Difference Plot Key Observations: North & West Melbourne