Data Collection Survey on the North-South High Speed Rail Project in the Socialist Republic of Vietnam Final Report Disclosure Document October 2019 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY PADECO Co., Ltd. Yachiyo Engineering Co., Ltd. Fukken Engineering Co., Ltd. Ernst & Young ShinNihon LLC 1R JR(P) 19-048 Data Collection Survey on the North-South High Speed Rail Project in the Socialist Republic of Vietnam Final Report Disclosure Document October 2019 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY PADECO Co., Ltd. Yachiyo Engineering Co., Ltd. Fukken Engineering Co., Ltd. Ernst & Young ShinNihon LLC Data Collection Survey on the North-South High Speed Rail Project in the Socialist Republic of Vietnam Final Report Table of Contents 1. Major Topics ....................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.1 HSR in the World (Policy and Construction Period) ................................................ 1-1 1.1.1 Introduction of HSR ......................................................................................... 1-1 1.1.2 Construction of HSR and Socio-Economic Situation ...................................... 1-3 1.1.3 The Motivation for the Construction of HSR ................................................... 1-4 1.1.4 High Speed Railway in Vietnam .................................................................... 1-10 1.2 Comparison of High Speed Railway Standards and Construction Cost ................. 1-10 1.2.1 Features of the Railway System ..................................................................... 1-10 1.2.2 Performance of High Speed Trains ................................................................ 1-12 1.2.3 Standards of High Speed Railways ................................................................ 1-15 1.2.4 Standards of High Speed Railways in Vietnam .............................................. 1-19 1.2.5 Construction Cost of High Speed Railway ..................................................... 1-19 1.3 Role Sharing Between HSR and Conventional Lines ............................................ 1-22 1.3.1 Summary of the Previous Survey ................................................................... 1-22 1.3.2 This Survey .................................................................................................... 1-23 1.3.3 Induction to High Speed Railway .................................................................. 1-25 1.3.4 Priority in Level B1 ........................................................................................ 1-26 1.4 Consideration of Mixed Cargo Train Operation on the High Speed Railway Line ........................................................................................................................ 1-26 1.4.1 Overview ........................................................................................................ 1-26 1.4.2 Technical Issues .............................................................................................. 1-27 1.4.3 Application to High Speed Railway in Vietnam ............................................ 1-29 1.4.4 Summary ........................................................................................................ 1-35 1.5 Scenario for HSR Development ............................................................................. 1-36 1.5.1 Improvement of Existing Railway ................................................................. 1-36 1.5.2 Phased Development of High Speed Railway ................................................ 1-36 1.5.3 Speed Improvement ........................................................................................ 1-37 1.5.4 Summary ........................................................................................................ 1-37 1.6 Influence on the Investment and Operation Cost caused by Train Speed .............. 1-37 1.6.1 Investment Cost .............................................................................................. 1-37 1.6.2 Operation Cost................................................................................................ 1-42 1.7 Night Train Operation ............................................................................................ 1-46 1.7.1 Overview ........................................................................................................ 1-46 1.7.2 Japanese Experience on Conventional Lines ................................................. 1-46 1.7.3 Sanyo Shinkansen Technology Investigation Committee .............................. 1-46 1.7.4 Night Train Operation .................................................................................... 1-47 1.7.5 Study on Night Train in Vietnam.................................................................... 1-49 2. Necessity of Investment ...................................................................................................... 2-1 2.1 How to Proceed ........................................................................................................ 2-1 2.1.1 Construction Process ........................................................................................ 2-1 2.2 Forecast of Transportation Demand ......................................................................... 2-2 2.2.1 Collection and Updating of Latest Data ........................................................... 2-2 2.2.2 Methodology of Forecasting ............................................................................ 2-7 i Data Collection Survey on the North-South High Speed Rail Project in the Socialist Republic of Vietnam Final Report 2.2.3 Updated OD Matrix ........................................................................................ 2-11 2.2.4 Update on the Current Status and Planning of the Transport System in the Target Area ............................................................................................... 2-12 2.2.5 Forecasting Scenarios (Two-step Case).......................................................... 2-15 2.2.6 Forecast Results (Two-step Case) .................................................................. 2-16 2.2.7 Analysis and Evaluation of Forecasted Results.............................................. 2-21 2.2.8 Conclusions and Recommendations (Two-step Case) ................................... 2-32 2.2.9 Alternative Case Results (Five-step Case) ..................................................... 2-32 3. Basic Design ........................................................................................................................ 3-1 3.1 Design Criteria ......................................................................................................... 3-1 3.1.1 Design Speed .................................................................................................... 3-1 3.1.2 Design Load ..................................................................................................... 3-1 3.1.3 Distance between Track Centers ...................................................................... 3-1 3.1.4 Maximum Cant ................................................................................................. 3-1 3.1.5 Minimum Curve Radius ................................................................................... 3-2 3.1.6 Maximum Gradient .......................................................................................... 3-2 3.1.7 Formation Width .............................................................................................. 3-2 3.1.8 Track Structures ............................................................................................... 3-3 3.1.9 Tunnel Shape .................................................................................................... 3-3 3.2 Route ........................................................................................................................ 3-4 3.2.1 Route between Stations .................................................................................... 3-4 3.2.2 Local Route Study ............................................................................................ 3-4 3.2.3 Tracks Layout ................................................................................................... 3-6 3.2.4 Station Tracks Layout ....................................................................................... 3-6 3.3 Station Site Planning ................................................................................................ 3-9 3.3.1 Current Condition of Station Site ..................................................................... 3-9 3.3.2 Recommendation to the Station Site Planning ............................................... 3-21 3.4 Regional Development Concept Plan along the HSR ............................................ 3-24 3.4.1 Necessity of HSR from the Perspective of Regional Development ............... 3-24 3.4.2 Potential for Industrial Development in Cities along HSR ............................ 3-29 3.4.3 Examples of Regional Development Effect by TOD ..................................... 3-37 4. Railway Facilities ............................................................................................................... 4-1 4.1 Civil Structures (Railway, Stations) ......................................................................... 4-1 4.1.1 Railway ...........................................................................................................