Malaysia | July 5, 2021 Key Metrics Malaysia Daybreak | 5 July 2021 FBMKLCI Index 1,700 ▌What’s on the Table… 1,650 ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— 1,600 1,550 Genting Malaysia – Resilient enough to get through FMCO 1,500 FY21F core LPS widened by 64% for possible closure of RWG until mid-Nov. 1,450 FY22F core EPS cut by 15%, as we assume full recovery only in 2H22F. GENM 1,400 should have no problems in raising RM500m-1bn new debt in FY21F, in our view, Jul-20 Sep-20 Nov-20 Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 as lenders will likely focus on its business recovery in 2022-23F. Maintain Add; ——————————————————————————— TP upped to RM3.20. FY21-23F dividend yields at 5.2-7.1%. FBMKLCI 1,533.35 -0.88pts -0.06% JUL Future AUG Future Media Prima Bhd – Taking back home 1530.5 - (0.10%) 1528 - (0.10%) ——————————————————————————— Media Prima wants to buy back its corporate headquarters from PNB Gainers Losers Unchanged Development for RM156.4m after selling it off at RM118.7m in 2018. We are 407 529 455 ——————————————————————————— neutral on the purchase. The RM8.6m rental payment p.a. savings could be Turnover offset by higher depreciation, maintenance and finance costs. In this distressed 5509.85m shares / RM2875.416m real estate market, Media Prima perhaps could have identified other locations to 3m avg volume traded 6436.59m shares house its growing content division. 3m avg value traded RM3744.91m ——————————————————————————— Regional Indices FBMKLCI FSSTI JCI SET HSI Construction – EMCO and stop work order hit contractors 1,533 3,129 6,023 1,578 28,310 ———————————————————————————————— The government has issued a stop work order during the 2-week EMCO. This is Market Indices negative for EPS due to zero billings and supply chain constraints but net impact Close % chg YTD % chg could be milder than 2020’s 30-day stop work order. Reiterate Neutral sector FBMKLCI 1,533.35 (0.1) (5.8) FBM100 10,873.42 (0.1) (5.5) rating on FMCO/EMCO risks but keep tabs on sector laggards (Gamuda and FBMSC 15,528.80 (0.0) (0.2) HSS Engineers) for a potential re-entry. FBMMES 7,211.21 1.5 (32.8) Dow Jones 34,786.35 0.4 13.7 NASDAQ 14,639.33 0.8 13.6 FSSTI 3,128.95 0.2 10.0 Agribusiness – Palm oil stock preview for Jun 2021F FTSE-100 7,123.27 (0.0) 10.3 SENSEX 52,484.67 0.3 9.9 Malaysia’s palm oil stocks likely grew by 3% mom to 1.61m tonnes at end-Jun Hang Seng 28,310.42 (1.8) 4.0 JCI 6,023.01 0.3 0.7 2021F as lower local usage offset higher exports. A survey by CGS-CIMB KOSPI 3,281.78 (0.0) 14.2 Futures revealed that Jun output was probably 2% higher mom while export Nikkei 225 28,783.28 0.3 4.9 PCOMP 7,002.26 0.5 (1.9) volumes probably grew 9% mom. We view the recent lowering of the Indonesian SET 1,578.49 (1.0) 8.9 export levy as negative for Malaysian planters but this is partially offset by India’s Shanghai 3,518.76 (2.0) 1.3 Taiwan 17,710.15 (0.0) 20.2 move to lower duties. ———————————————————————————————— Top Actives Close % chg Vol. (m) SERBA DINAMIK 0.385 1.3 542.7 ASEAN - Agribusiness – India’s cut in duties a temporary positive SCIB 0.810 8.0 258.8 SAUDEE GROUP 0.225 (2.2) 211.6 India has cut the effective import duty on CPO by 5.5% pts for three months. It FOCUS DYNAMICS 0.050 11.1 177.9 has also removed restrictions on the import of refined palm oil till Dec. This will DAGANG NEXCHANGE 0.730 1.4 160.0 KPOWER 0.920 1.7 158.9 boost demand for CPO in India and is positive for upstream planters and refiners M3 TECHNOLOGIES 0.080 6.7 154.7 in Indonesia/Malaysia and negative for Indian refiners. PASUKHAS GROUP 0.285 23.9 117.7 ———————————————————————————————— Economic Statistics Close % chg US$/Euro 1.1860 (0.07) ▌News of the Day… RM/US$ (Spot) 4.1625 (0.06) ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— RM/US$ (12-mth NDF) 4.2173 (0.04) OPR (%) 1.75 0.00 • PM will call for parliamentary sitting before 1 Aug GOLD ( US$/oz) 1,786.54 (0.04) WTI crude oil US spot (US$/barrel) 75.16 (0.09) • Ministry of Works issues a stop work order in areas under the EMCO CPO spot price (RM/tonne) 3,891.50 (0.68) • IGB Commercial REIT IPO has been postponed to 20 Sep ———————————————————————————————————————— • Media Prima repurchases Bangsar headquarters from PNB for RM156m Ivy NG Lee Fang, CFA T (60) 3 2261 9073 • Tenaga establishes RE investment and asset management company E [email protected] • BNM receives 29 applications for digital banking licences Show Style "View Doc Map" • Margma urges the government to allow glove makers in Selangor to operate IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, INCLUDING ANY REQUIRED RESEARCH CERTIFICATIONS, ARE PROVIDED AT THE END OF THIS REPORT. IF THIS REPORT IS DISTRIBUTED IN Powered by the THE UNITED STATES IT IS DISTRIBUTED BY CGS-CIMB SECURITIES (USA), INC. AND IS CONSIDERED THIRD-PARTY AFFILIATED RESEARCH. EFA Platform Sources: CIMB. COMPANY REPORTS Sources: CIMB. COMPANY REPORTS Malaysia Daybreak | July 5, 2021 Global Economic News US companies hired the most workers in 10 months in Jun, raising wages and offering incentives to entice millions of unemployed Americans sitting at home, in a tentative sign that a labor shortage hanging over the economy was starting to ease. The survey of establishments showed nonfarm payrolls increased by 850,000 jobs last month. The economy created 15,000 more jobs in Apr and May than previously reported. Employment is about 6.8m jobs below its peak in Feb 2020. The unemployment rate rose to 5.9% from 5.8% in May. (Reuters) US job growth accelerated in Jun, offering tentative signs that a worker shortage could be starting to ease, as companies raise wages and offer incentives to entice millions of unemployed Americans sitting at home. The Labor Department's closely-watched employment report on Friday also showed just over 150,000 people entered the labour force last month. The report suggested the economy ended the second quarter with strong growth momentum, following a reopening made possible by vaccinations against Covid-19. (Reuters) Singapore and the UK last week kicked off negotiations to open up a digital economy, building on the free trade agreement signed late last year. If an agreement is signed, all sizes of businesses from both countries look set to benefit from increased clarity and reduced costs associated with seamless digital transactions. (The Edge Singapore) Malaysia Economic News Perlis, Kelantan, Perak, Pahang and Terengganu will transition into Phase 2 of movement control under the National Recovery Plan (PPN) on Monday (5 Jul), said Senior Minister (Security Cluster) Datuk Seri Ismail Sabri Yaakob. (Bernama) Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin will call for a parliamentary sitting as soon as possible, before the 1 Aug end of the state of emergency. In a statement, Minister in the Prime Minister's Department in charge of law and Parliament Datuk Seri Takiyuddin Hassan said the matter will be finalised in a Cabinet meeting on 7 Jul. (The Edge Markets) The Ministry of Finance (MoF) said the government had received the first payment from AMMB Holdings Bhd (AmBank) of RM1.8bn, which forms part of the RM2.83bn settlement related to 1Malaysia Development Bhd (1MDB). In a statement, the ministry said the amount had been deposited into Malaysia’s Assets Recovery Trust Account, adding that the remaining amount will be settled by AmBank in Dec this year and Jul 2022, amounting to RM515m each. (The Edge Markets) The Ministry of Health (MoH) will be increasing bed capacity and manpower, as well as outsource more non-Covid-19 patients to private hospitals, in order to accommodate the influx of Categories 3 to 5 Covid-19 patients to the public healthcare system. The move comes as the total bed capacity in the Klang Valley has reached more than 85% and an increase in hospital beds is now needed, said Health Minister Datuk Seri Dr Adham Baba, following a rise in the number of such patients being referred to public hospitals, especially Hospital Kuala Lumpur (HKL). (The Edge Markets) Malaysia will receive one million doses of Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine contributed by the United States on 5 Jul, Foreign Minister Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein said. He said these vaccine doses will greatly help intensify Malaysia's vaccination process and make meaningful progress to the ongoing roll-out of Malaysia's National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme. (Bernama) 2 Malaysia Daybreak | July 5, 2021 Implementing the National Recovery Plan (NRP) in phases at the state level is fairer as it allows for an earlier transition for states that have managed to reduce the number of Covid-19 cases significantly as well as achieve the thresholds outlined. Finance Minister Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Tengku Abdul Aziz said the NRP, implemented since early Jun, had shown positive developments in states such as Perlis, Kelantan, Perak, Pahang and Terengganu that had achieved the thresholds for entering Phase 2 next 5 Jul. (Bernama) The next three months will be the busiest and most crucial period for Malaysia's immunisation programme as the country is set to receive a large part of its vaccine supply while it ramps up its vaccination capacity across the country, said National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme Coordinating Minister Khairy Jamaluddin.