Transitions Towards Sustainable Mobility . Jo A.E.E. van Nunen l Paul Huijbregts l Piet Rietveld Editors Transitions Towards Sustainable Mobility New Solutions and Approaches for Sustainable Transport Systems Editors Dr. Paul Huijbregts Jo A.E.E. van Nunen { 2010 DINALOG Professor of Logistic and Information Princenhagelaan 13 Systems 4813 DA Breda Erasmus University Rotterdam The Netherlands Rotterdam [email protected] The Netherlands Prof.Dr. Piet Rietveld VU University Department of Spatial Economics De Boelelaan 1105 1081 HV Amsterdam The Netherlands [email protected] ISBN 978-3-642-21191-1 e-ISBN 978-3-642-21192-8 DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-21192-8 Springer Heidelberg Dordrecht London New York Library of Congress Control Number: 2011935734 # Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2011 This work is subject to copyright. 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Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com) Preface One of the challenges for the coming decades is to arrive at a decoupling of economic growth and emissions of various pollutions and CO2. Transport is one of the sectors confronted with this ambitious goal. Some 25–30% of world energy consumption is related to transport and its share in total energy use is increasing, making it a main factor in the global problems of energy scarcity and greenhouse gas emissions. Present developments do not show a clear tendency towards a decoupling of developments in transport-related energy use and GDP. Hence, it is no surprise that transport has been identified as one of the main sectors that need a transition. At the same time, transport systems in many countries are subject to other problems, including lack of quality and reliability and high costs. The relevant dimensions can be represented by means of the well-known triangle of ‘people’, ‘planet’ and ‘profit’. Clearly, the challenges that the transport system is facing call for a broad approach, and a wide range of interlinked changes in various domains such as technology, institutions, land use and behaviour. The aim of the present book is to address a number of dimensions in such a transition. This volume contains a selection of the results from the Transumo (TRANsition SUstainable MObility) programme carried out between 2004 and 2010. Transumo was a large Dutch innovation programme in which hundreds of private companies, governments and knowledge institutes cooperated in the development of knowl- edge on transitions towards sustainable mobility and a mobility system that is more efficient, more economically competitive, of higher quality and having less nega- tive impacts on the environment. More information on the programme can be found on the website www.transumofootprint.nl. Outputs of the Transumo programme have been published in a wide range of journals in the scientific and applied field. This can easily lead to a fragmented treatment of the broad theme of sustainable transport. Therefore, we considered it time to bring together some of its results in one volume to illustrate the broad scope of the theme. We would like to thank many colleagues who have contributed to this volume: authors, reviewers, and the support staff who have made this project possible, in v vi Preface particular Ineke Spaans (Transumo) and Ellen Woudstra (editor, Spatial Econom- ics, VU University, Amsterdam). It was a great shock to us that Jo van Nunen, who was the initiator of this book and a source of inspiration of Transumo, unexpectedly passed away on May 12, 2010. Jo was scientific director of Transumo since 2004 and he has been of decisive importance for the successful completion of the programme. He was close to his official retirement in September 2010, and he had many plans to remain active in his fields of interest: innovations in logistics, sustainable transport, optimisations of port operations, and several more. This book is just a small part of Jo van Nunen’s heritage. We hope that it will inspire a next generation of researchers to be active in this field of transitions towards sustainable mobility. March 2011 Paul Huijbregts Breda/Amsterdam Piet Rietveld Contents 1 Introduction to Transitions Towards Sustainable Mobility ........... 1 Jo van Nunen, Paul Huijbregts, and Piet Rietveld Part A Integrating Transport Infrastructure and Land Use Planning 2 A Transition Towards Sustainable Strategy Making: Integrating Land Use and Transport Knowledge Types .................................. 19 Marco te Bro¨mmelstroet and Luca Bertolini 3 The Impact of Accessibility on the Value of Offices .................. 41 Ghebreegziabiher Debrezion, Thomas de Graaff, and Piet Rietveld 4 Funding Transport Infrastructure Development Through Value Capturing: A Game Theoretical Analysis ............................. 59 Ary Samsura and Erwin van der Krabben 5 NETLIPSE: Managing Large Infrastructure Projects ............... 81 Marcel Hertogh and Eddy Westerveld Part B Experiments with Dynamic Transport Optimization 6 Rewarding Peak Avoidance: The Dutch ‘Spitsmijden’ Projects .... 101 Jasper Knockaert, Jessie Bakens, Dick Ettema, and Erik Verhoef 7 Managing Supply Chains: Transport Optimization and Chain Synchronization ......................................................... 119 Tom van Woensel, Said Dabia, and Ton de Kok vii viii Contents 8 Real-Time Coordination in Container Trucking – Prototyping and Evaluating a Multi-agent System for Real-Time Container Truck Planning at Post-Kogeko ....................................... 139 Hans Moonen and Jos van Hillegersberg 9 Demand Management in Transportation and Logistics ............. 161 Niels Agatz and Jo van Nunen Part C Towards Reliable Transport Systems 10 Beyond Punctuality: Appropriate Measures for Unreliability in Rail Passenger Transport ........................................... 175 Martijn Brons and Piet Rietveld 11 Algorithmic Support for Railway Disruption Management ......... 193 Leo Kroon and Dennis Huisman Part D Sustainable Logistics and Traffic Management 12 Customized Solutions for Sustainable City Logistics: The Viability of Urban Freight Consolidation Centres .............................. 213 Hans Quak and Lori Tavasszy 13 Closing the Global Supply Chain: The Gateway Towards Sustainability ................................................. 235 Erwin van der Laan 14 Transitions Towards Sustainable Dynamic Traffic Management: A Living Systems Approach ........................................... 247 Ben Immers and Rien van der Knaap 15 Advanced Traffic Monitoring (ATMO) for Sustainable Traffic Management ............................................................. 267 Hans van Lint, Albert Valkenberg, and Arjan van Binsbergen 16 Dynamic Traffic Management Measures to Optimize Air Quality, Climate, Noise, Traffic Safety and Congestion: Effects of a Single Objective Optimization ................................................. 297 Luc Wismans, Eric van Berkum, and Michiel Bliemer List of Contributors .......................................................... 315 About the Authors Jo van Nunen received his Master’s and Ph.D. degree in applied Mathematics from the Technical University Eindhoven. Van Nunen was professor of Logistics and Information Systems at the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam. His research on e-commerce, closed-loop supply chain management, and multi-modal transportation was published in 6 books and over 150 articles in (inter)national (top) journals. Until 2010, Van Nunen was chairman of the Department of Decision and Information Sciences of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University. Jo van Nunen unexpectedly passed away in May of 2010. Paul Huijbregts got his Master’s degree in 1993 in Logistics, Transport Planning and Management from the University of Westminster in London. He works at the Dutch Institute of Advanced Logistics in Breda, the Netherlands, as programme manager within the national innovation programme for logistics and supply chain management. His previous work experience include positions such as programme manager at Transumo – the Dutch innovation programme on the TRANsition to SUstainable MObility – and Senior Researcher at the Transport Research Centre of the Dutch Ministry of Transport, where he is involved in research on the impact of logistics and transport on infrastructure. He has also conducted many different research projects as a Senior Scientific Researcher at NEA Transport Research in many different national and international/EU projects on multimodal transport, retail logistics, supply chain management and logistics. Piet Rietveld studied econometrics at Erasmus University, Rotterdam (cum laude degree) and received his Ph.D. in economics at Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam. He worked at the International Institute