Papers on Parliament Lectures in the Senate Occasional Lecture Series, and other papers Number 58 August 2012 Published and printed by the Department of the Senate Parliament House, Canberra ISSN 1031–976X Published by the Department of the Senate, 2012 ISSN 1031–976X Papers on Parliament is edited and managed by the Research Section, Department of the Senate. Edited by Paula Waring All editorial inquiries should be made to: Assistant Director of Research Research Section Department of the Senate PO Box 6100 Parliament House CANBERRA ACT 2600 Telephone: (02) 6277 3164 Email: [email protected] To order copies of Papers on Parliament On publication, new issues of Papers on Parliament are sent free of charge to subscribers on our mailing list. If you wish to be included on that mailing list, please contact the Research Section of the Department of the Senate at: Telephone: (02) 6277 3074 Email: [email protected] Printed copies of previous issues of Papers on Parliament may be provided on request if they are available. Past issues are available online at www.aph.gov.au/senate/pops. Contents Joseph Lyons—Australia’s Depression Prime Minister 1 Anne Henderson Minority Report: Lessons from Canada’s Minority Parliaments 17 Andrew Banfield The Strange Case of Privileges and Immunities 39 William Buss Forecasting Presidential Elections: Obama, Romney, or What? 53 Kenneth Mayer Media Reporting of the Next Federal Election: What Can We Expect? 73 Sally Young ‘This Is a Procedure on Which We Should Not Lightly Embark’: Orders for the Production of Documents in the Australian Senate, 1901 to 1988 89 Paula Waring iii Contributors Anne Henderson is an author and editor and Deputy Director of the Sydney Institute. Her biography of Prime Minister Joseph Lyons, Joseph Lyons—The People’s Prime Minister, was published in October 2011. Andrew Banfield is Director of the Australian National Internships Program at the Australian National University. William Buss is the O. K. Patton Professor of Law Emeritus at the Iowa College of Law, University of Iowa. Kenneth Mayer is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Wisconsin– Madison. He was the inaugural Fulbright ANU Distinguished Chair in American Political Science at the Australian National University in 2006. Sally Young is an Associate Professor and Reader in the School of Social and Political Sciences at the University of Melbourne. Her book How Australia Decides: Election Reporting and the Media was published in 2011. Paula Waring is Assistant Director of the Research Section in the Department of the Senate. iv .