Food and Beverage Industry Update │ November 2016

Food and Beverage Industry Update │ November 2016

FOOD AND BEVERAGE INDUSTRY UPDATE │ NOVEMBER 2016 www.harriswilliams.com Investment banking services are provided by Harris Williams LLC, a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA and SIPC, and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Harris Williams & Co. is a trade name under which Harris Williams LLC and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd conduct business. FOOD AND BEVERAGE INDUSTRY UPDATE │ NOVEMBER 2016 WHAT WE’RE SEEING CONTENTS MARKET UPDATE . INDUSTRY VITAL SIGNS . EQUITY MARKET OVERVIEW . M&A MARKET OVERVIEW With over 500 transactions announced through November, the food and . DEBT MARKET OVERVIEW . RECENT M&A ACTIVITY beverage M&A market is on track to achieve record activity in 2016. To that end, . PUBLIC COMPARABLES . EARNINGS CALENDAR HW&Co. is pleased to announce the acquisition of Mercer Foods, a leading GROUP OVERVIEW provider of freeze-dried fruits and vegetables in the United States, to Graham Harris Williams & Co. is a leading advisor to the food and Partners. The transaction marks the latest in HW&Co.’s food & beverage practice, beverage market. Our significant experience covers a broad range building on recent momentum in both the better-for-you ingredients and snacks of end markets, industries, and business models. This particular report focuses on trends and subsectors. metrics in the following areas: . Agribusiness HAT E VE EEN OING . Baked and Prepared Goods W W ’ B D . Beverages . Branded and Private Label CLOSED HW&CO. TRANSACTIONS . Dairy . Distribution . Ingredients . Meat and Protein . Natural and Organic a portfolio company of a portfolio company of a portfolio company of a subsidiary of . Processing . Produce and . Restaurant and Retail has been acquired by has been acquired by has been acquired by has been acquired by . Snacks CONTACTS Glenn Gurtcheff Managing Director [email protected] +1 (612) 359-2702 Tim Alexander Managing Director a portfolio company of [email protected] a portfolio company of a portfolio company of +1 (612) 359-2716 has been acquired by Ryan Budlong has been acquired by Managing Director has been acquired by has been acquired by [email protected] A Private +1 (415) 217-3409 Investor Group Brant Cash Director [email protected] +1 (612) 359-2709 Ryan Freeman Director [email protected] +1 (612) 359-2703 a portfolio company of a portfolio company of a portfolio company of Andy Warczak has been acquired by Vice President has been acquired by has been acquired by [email protected] has been acquired by +1 (612) 359-2714 www.harriswilliams.com PAGE | 1 FOOD AND BEVERAGE INDUSTRY UPDATE │ NOVEMBER 2016 WHAT WE’RE READING HW&CO. ADVISES ON THE SALE OF MERCER FOODS Overview On November 10, 2016 Mercer Foods, a portfolio company of Frontenac and Lake Pacific Partners, was successfully sold to Graham Partners. The sale represents the latest in HW&Co.’s growing list of better-for-you snack food and ingredient transactions. Company Description Mercer Foods is the leading provider of freeze-dried fruits and vegetables in the United States, with one of the largest and most efficient freeze-drying facilities in the world. The Company has been a leader in the industry for over 35 years, capitalizing on the clean label and “better-for-you” food industry megatrends. Key Value Drivers for Mercer Foods Representative . Recognized as a market leader in the freeze-dried industry Applications/Products: for its innovation, quality, and customer service. Viewed as a trusted partner by its blue-chip customer a portfolio company of base, relying on Mercer Foods for clean label ingredients. and . Leader in high growth sectors of the food industry, including freeze-dried packaged snacks. has been acquired by . Sustainable competitive advantages due to internally designed equipment and extensive production know-how. Proven management team with over 100 years of industry experience. VITAL SIGNS COMMODITY PRICE INDICES1 Soybeans: 120 (36.6%) 100 Corn: (52.6%) 80 Crude Oil: 60 (52.3%) 40 Wheat: (61.5%) Commodity PriceIndex Commodity 20 Oct-12 Apr-13 Oct-13 Apr-14 Oct-14 Apr-15 Oct-15 Apr-16 Oct-16 Corn Soybeans Crude Oil Wheat PROTEIN PRICE INDICES2,3 130 Beef: 120 19.2% Pork: 110 6.2% 100 Poultry: 1.1% ProteinPriceIndex 90 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Beef Pork Poultry PAGE | 2 FOOD AND BEVERAGE INDUSTRY UPDATE │ NOVEMBER 2016 VITAL SIGNS RESTAURANT AND GROCERY STORE SALES INDICES4 140 Restaurant: 120 25.6% Grocery: 100 11.6% SalesIndex 80 Oct-12 Apr-13 Oct-13 Apr-14 Oct-14 Apr-15 Oct-15 Apr-16 Oct-16 Restaurant Grocery CONSUMER FOOD PRICE INDEX INFLATION2 4.0 3.0 2.0 Inflation(%) 1.0 0.0 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 PUBLIC EQUITY MARKET OVERVIEW KEY TRADING STATISTICS5 Stock Price % Change EV/EBITDA % Change Current Valuation Stats Net Debt / Industry and Segment 3 Month 1 Year 3 Month 1 Year Fwd PE LTM PE EV/EBITDA EBITDA Protein Processing (6.9%) 20.1% 10.8% 21.4% 11.7x 13.9x 7.2x 2.8x Fruit and Vegetable 6.1% 30.3% 9.6% (1.8%) 16.8x 20.8x 9.6x 0.6x Ingredients / Flavors (14.3%) 1.7% (10.6%) 2.2% 20.0x 24.0x 14.6x 1.3x Inputs Agribusiness (5.3%) 0.8% (6.7%) 30.9% 18.3x 15.8x 10.2x 2.1x Branded Processed Foods (13.7%) 10.6% (12.1%) (7.4%) 19.0x 24.5x 13.0x 2.3x Private Label Foods and Beverages (25.7%) 34.4% 8.7% (7.1%) 26.6x 22.1x 11.1x 3.3x Natural / Organic Foods / BFY (3.6%) 14.8% 4.7% (5.0%) 18.8x 38.4x 18.1x 3.5x Baked Goods 2.3% (6.0%) (5.3%) (21.8%) 16.5x 28.9x 9.3x 2.5x Dairy 0.2% 4.5% 3.3% 6.8% 18.8x 22.4x 12.3x 1.7x Non-Alcoholic Beverages (12.5%) 2.2% (10.5%) 1.4% 20.4x 22.6x 11.1x 1.9x Alcoholic Beverages (8.1%) (4.1%) (8.5%) 0.8% 19.7x 23.5x 13.5x 2.6x Food and BeverageFood and Snacks (3.7%) 4.9% (1.1%) 3.8% 22.1x 22.6x 13.5x 1.7x Grocery Distribution (5.8%) 4.3% (1.6%) (4.2%) 17.1x 20.1x 8.6x 2.0x Food Retail 0.5% (4.0%) (2.9%) (6.6%) 18.2x 19.5x 7.3x 2.0x Foodservice 13.2% 8.6% 6.3% 14.9% 21.1x 29.2x 11.0x 4.7x Quick Service Restaurant (2.4%) 7.3% (6.8%) (7.2%) 21.3x 20.8x 10.8x 2.4x Fast Casual (1.6%) (13.1%) (2.2%) (16.9%) 38.5x 33.6x 10.1x 0.7x Differentiated Casual (3.6%) 8.2% 0.4% (12.4%) 23.1x 26.9x 10.0x 1.4x Casual Dining Restaurant 1.6% 19.6% 0.0% (9.6%) 16.1x 22.7x 8.5x 2.3x Fine Dining 5.3% 1.2% 3.2% (1.5%) 16.1x 17.9x 9.6x 2.6x Consumer and Retail and Consumer Pizza 9.2% 49.0% 11.5% 1.5% 31.9x 33.8x 17.7x 4.0x Beverage / Snack Retail (6.5%) (12.1%) (7.4%) (14.7%) 23.4x 28.4x 15.6x 2.7x Family Restaurant 3.0% 9.9% 1.9% (0.7%) 19.2x 30.9x 10.2x 2.2x Overall Median (4.2%) 3.9% (2.8%) (5.0%) 20.0x 22.9x 10.6x 2.1x PAGE | 3 FOOD AND BEVERAGE INDUSTRY UPDATE │ NOVEMBER 2016 PUBLIC EQUITY MARKET OVERVIEW PUBLIC COMPANY SECTOR PERFORMANCE (ONE YEAR CHANGE IN STOCK PRICE)5 Pizza Priv ate Label Fruit and Vegetable Protein Processing Casual Dining Restaurant Natural / Organic / BFY Branded Processed Foods Family Restaurant Foodserv ice Differentiated Casual Quick Serv ice Restaurant S&P Snacks Dairy Grocery Distribution Non-Alcoholic Bev erages Ingredients / Flav ors Fine Dining Agribusiness Food Retail Alcoholic Bev erages Baked Goods Bev erage / Snack Retail Fast Casual (30.0%) (15.0%) 0.0% 15.0% 30.0% 45.0% Inputs Food and Beverage Consumer and Retail RECENT EQUITY OFFERINGS6 Gross Proceeds Close Date Filing Date Issuer Ticker Transaction Type ($mm) Use of Funds 11/09/16 10/10/16 Saputo Inc SAP Follow-On $224.3 Liquidity for Private Owners 11/08/16 06/07/16 Naturally Splendid Entrp Ltd RCE.P Follow-On $3.0 Debt Repayment Working Capital 11/01/16 07/19/16 Wingstop Inc WING Follow-On $179.3 Liquidity for Private Owners 10/26/16 10/31/16 Chanticleer Holdings Inc HOTR Follow-On $13.5 Debt Repayment Working Capital 10/27/16 10/27/16 Kokos Group Inc - IPO $0.2 Pay Fees & Expenses 10/17/16 10/17/16 Spot Coffee(Canada)Ltd SPP Follow-On $0.4 Capital Expenditure Working Capital 10/14/16 06/07/16 Naturally Splendid Entrp Ltd RCE.P Follow-On $3.0 Debt Repayment Working Capital 10/11/16 10/03/16 Ten Peaks Coffee Co Inc TPK Convertible $11.3 Pursue Growth Opportunities 10/06/16 10/06/16 Xfit Brands Inc XFTB Follow-On - Acquisition Financing 10/03/16 10/03/16 Captiva Verde Industries Ltd VEG Follow-On $0.9 Working Capital 07/29/16 07/29/16 Xylitol Canada Inc XYL Convertible $0.4 Working Capital 10/03/16 10/03/16 Ten Peaks Coffee Co Inc TPK Convertible $11.4 Pursue Growth Opportunities 09/08/16 09/08/16 Liquor Stores NA Ltd LIQ Convertible $52.2 Repay Indebtedness PAGE | 4 FOOD AND BEVERAGE INDUSTRY UPDATE │ NOVEMBER 2016 PUBLIC COMPARABLES5 Price at As a % of Market Enterprise LTM Revenue Growth LTM Margins P/E EV / LTM EV / 2016E ($ in millions, except per share data) Ticker 11/13/16 52-wk High Cap Value Revenue EBITDA 1 Year 3 Years Gross EBITDA Multiple Revenue EBITDA Revenue EBITDA Food and Beverage Branded Processed Foods Associated British Foods plc ABF-GB $32.70 60.5% $25,889 $26,269 $19,015 $2,171 (3.8%) (2.9%) 8.0% 11.4% 25.1x 1.38x 12.1x 1.52x 12.9x B&G Foods, Inc.

View Full Text

Details

  • File Type
    pdf
  • Upload Time
    -
  • Content Languages
    English
  • Upload User
    Anonymous/Not logged-in
  • File Pages
    18 Page
  • File Size
    -

Download

Channel Download Status
Express Download Enable

Copyright

We respect the copyrights and intellectual property rights of all users. All uploaded documents are either original works of the uploader or authorized works of the rightful owners.

  • Not to be reproduced or distributed without explicit permission.
  • Not used for commercial purposes outside of approved use cases.
  • Not used to infringe on the rights of the original creators.
  • If you believe any content infringes your copyright, please contact us immediately.

Support

For help with questions, suggestions, or problems, please contact us