6.5 Transport Assessment 6 Volume TR010021 APFP Regulation 5(2)(q) Revision 0 Planning Act 2008 Infrastructure Planning (Applications: Prescribed Forms and Procedure) Regulations 2009 April 2016 Silvertown Tunnel Transport Assessment Document Reference: 6.5 THIS PAGE HAS INTENTIONALLY BEEN LEFT BLANK Page 2 of 308 Silvertown Tunnel Transport Assessment Document Reference: 6.5 Silvertown Tunnel Transport Assessment 6.5 Planning Act 2008 Infrastructure Planning The Infrastructure Planning (Applications: Prescribed Forms and Procedure) Regulations 2009 Document Reference: 6.5 Internal Code: ST150030-PLN-ZZZ-ZZ-DSD-ZZ-0078 Regulation Number: 5(2)(q) Author: Transport for London Rev. Date Approved By Signature Description 0 29/04/2016 David Rowe (TfL For DCO Lead Sponsor) Application Page 3 of 308 Silvertown Tunnel Transport Assessment Document Reference: 6.5 Contents List of Abbreviations .............................................................................................. 17 Glossary of Terms .................................................................................................. 24 1 INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................... 45 1.1 Purpose of Transport Assessment .............................................................. 45 1.2 Previous consultations ................................................................................ 46 1.3 The need for the Scheme ............................................................................ 47 1.4 Scheme description ..................................................................................... 48 1.5 Assessment tools, modelling and data ........................................................ 52 1.6 Transport Assessment study area ............................................................... 58 1.7 Transport Assessment document structure ................................................. 60 2 RELEVANT TRANSPORT POLICY AND PLANS ...................................... 61 2.1 Overview ..................................................................................................... 61 2.2 National policy ............................................................................................. 61 2.3 Regional policy ............................................................................................ 63 2.4 Local policy ................................................................................................. 64 2.5 Key points ................................................................................................... 65 3 CURRENT TRANSPORT NETWORKS AND TRAVEL BEHAVIOUR ....... 67 3.1 Overview ..................................................................................................... 67 3.2 Road network .............................................................................................. 67 3.3 Existing public transport network ................................................................. 70 3.4 Existing local walking and cycling network .................................................. 76 3.5 Analysis of current cross-river travel in east London ................................... 79 3.6 Users of the Blackwall Tunnel ..................................................................... 87 3.7 Use of highway crossings for public transport ............................................. 94 3.8 Pedestrians and cyclists .............................................................................. 95 3.9 Key points ................................................................................................... 98 4 CURRENT NETWORK PERFORMANCE AND QUALITY ISSUES ......... 101 4.1 Overview ................................................................................................... 101 4.2 Road network performance ....................................................................... 101 4.3 Network reliability and resilience ............................................................... 123 4.4 Road safety ............................................................................................... 133 4.5 Current public transport performance ........................................................ 136 Page 4 of 308 Silvertown Tunnel Transport Assessment Document Reference: 6.5 4.6 Walking and cycling network ..................................................................... 141 4.7 Access to labour market and jobs ............................................................. 143 4.8 Key points ................................................................................................. 147 5 FUTURE ‘BASELINE’ GROWTH AND IMPACTS .................................... 149 5.1 Overview ................................................................................................... 149 5.2 Changes in population and employment ................................................... 149 5.3 Total trips made and mode share .............................................................. 153 5.4 Road network ............................................................................................ 156 5.5 Network reliability and resilience ............................................................... 166 5.6 Road safety ............................................................................................... 166 5.7 Public transport network ............................................................................ 166 5.8 Walking and cycling network ..................................................................... 170 5.9 Access to jobs and labour market ............................................................. 172 5.10 Key points .............................................................................................. 176 6 IMPACTS OF CONSTRUCTION OF THE PROPOSED SCHEME ........... 179 6.1 Introduction ............................................................................................... 179 6.2 Scheme delivery overview ........................................................................ 179 6.3 Construction environmental management approach ................................. 180 6.4 Indicative construction programme ........................................................... 181 6.5 Highway works phasing ............................................................................ 183 6.6 Impacts of highway works on the network ................................................. 190 6.7 Construction traffic .................................................................................... 202 6.8 Construction staff travel ............................................................................ 213 6.9 Cumulative construction traffic impacts ..................................................... 218 6.10 Construction mitigation .......................................................................... 223 6.11 Key points .............................................................................................. 224 7 TRANSPORT IMPACTS OF THE PROPOSED SCHEME........................ 227 7.1 Overview ................................................................................................... 227 7.2 Daily demand and mode share ................................................................. 228 7.3 2021 road network impacts by time period ................................................ 238 7.4 Longer-term road network impacts by time period .................................... 266 7.5 Benefits of the Scheme in different scenarios ........................................... 268 7.6 Wider area monitoring and mitigation of highway impacts ........................ 279 7.7 Resilience and incident management ....................................................... 281 Page 5 of 308 Silvertown Tunnel Transport Assessment Document Reference: 6.5 7.8 Road safety ............................................................................................... 282 7.9 Public transport network ............................................................................ 282 7.10 Walking and cycling network .................................................................. 290 7.11 Access to labour market and jobs .......................................................... 295 7.12 Key points .............................................................................................. 304 Page 6 of 308 Silvertown Tunnel Transport Assessment Document Reference: 6.5 List of Figures Figure 1-1: Overview of proposed Silvertown Tunnel location ............................................. 45 Figure 1-2: Proposed Silvertown Tunnel alignment .............................................................. 49 Figure 1-3: RXHAM simulation area (shown in green) ........................................................... 56 Figure 1-4: Demand flow v actual flow from RXHAM ........................................................... 56 Figure 1-5: TA wider study area ........................................................................................... 59 Figure 3-1: East London river crossings on the TLRN ........................................................... 67 Figure 3-2: 2012 two-way Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) on the strategic road network in east London .................................................................................................................... 68 Figure 3-3: Tower Bridge to M25: five crossings in 23 km .................................................... 69 Figure 3-4: