RIPON SEPTEMBER 1968 VOL. IV, No. 9 ONE DOLLAR EDITORIAL rankly, Nixon-Agnew was not our dream ticket. But presi­ Fdential tickets do not come into being merely because one dreams about them. They require hard work and careful organization over a long period. Mr. Nixon, after all, has been at the game for some time. He began laying the groundwork for his comeback in 1964, when he was the leading Republican to campaign nationally for the Goldwater - Miller ticket. He began building in earnest in 1966, when he toured the whole country for minor Republican candidates and won good will that was essential to his presidential ambitions. For two solid years thereafter he worked unremittingly, building a capable organization, reformulating his positions and submit­ ting to six primary campaigns. In his slow and steady progress towards the nomination. he ran the uninspiring race of the tortoise. But hares seldom win pres­ idential nominations. Even Eisenhower and Willkie were bene­ ficiaries of long-standing networks of influence that went into operation on their behalf well in advance of the nominating con­ ventions. These two men were "clean" candidates because others did the demeaning political work for them. Mr. Nixon is much more the self-made man. He can count on all other men on the make within the Repub­ lican Party to support his campaign. For the lesson of his nomi­ nation will not be lost on either the left or right wing of the GOP. As Mr. Nixon's participation in the campaigns of others has ex­ tended his influence within the Party, so will others now partici­ pate in his campaign to advance their own style of Republican­ ism. If Nixon wins, the fight for influence will be carried on within his administration. If he loses, it will manifest itself in a prolonged struggle for control of the Party in 1972. But in (turn to page 3) SUMMARY OF CONTENTS EDITORIAL STATE BY STATE Mr. Nixon has the support of all the leading Republi­ GOP political maneuvering in Minnesota looks toward can politicians and the sympathy of many backlash vo­ 1970. --17 ters. It is the frontlash he must worry about in the weeks The Gross-Farley axis, which sold out Clifford Case ahead, and he must act boldly to win it. -1, 3 at Miami Beach, has ambitions to dominate the New Jer­ NOTES FROM MIAMI BEACH --4 sey GOP. -17 Sketches of Howard E. Russell, Jr., and Lincoln C. 1960 REVISITED Almond, the two Congressional candidates in Rhode Is­ A revisionist view of the Nixon-Kennedy election I~. -a shows that Nixon probably won both a popular and an Governor Evans is consolidating his control of· the electoral majority. -6 WasIdngton GOP. -19 1968 ELECTION STRATEGY Horace A. Hildreth, Jr., has a tough race for Congress Christophel" W. BeaJ. refining his analysis of the swing in Ma.fne. -19 votes that appeared in our last issue, shows that Mr. Nix­ Can Javits hold the Jewish vote in New York? -19 on will have a hard time keeping both frontlash and back­ The Georgia GOP marks its first state-wide lash support in line. If he persists with a sit tight strat­ primary. -20 egy, he may find Humphrey cutting into his frontlash support in the North while Wallace eats away at the back­ Congressman Mathias looks like a good bet to win lash in the border states. A careful table (see page 10) the Maryland Senate seat. -20 gives a profile of what the swing votes are in different 140 ELIOT STREET regions of the country. -7 Ripon President Lee W. Huebner has joined the Nixon THE CITIES staff. -21 John McClaughry, the legislative technician who LETTERS -21 worked on the Human Investment Act and the Home Ow­ nership Act, now tells about a new bill introduced in Con­ QUOTE OF THE MONTH -21 gress, the Community Self-Determination Act, which aims at giving poor people a stake in business enterprise READERS' CLASSIFIEDS -22 in their neighborhoods. -13 THE BALANCE SHEET FOREIGN POLICY Economist Duncan K. Foley contends that Guaranteed We continue the discussion of the North Atlantic Free Jobs Will Not Cure Poverty. They will merely bid Trade Area (NAFTA). Thomas A. Sargent, a Ph.D. can­ presently employed workers off the market and will result didate at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, crit­ in a major boondoggle. -24 icizes the scheme proposed by Douglas Jay in our July is­ sue, and Mr. Jay replies. -14 ERRATUM POET'S CORNER The names of Owen M. Quattlebaum and Jon C. MIn­ A little ditty to be sung to the tune of ChIcago. -16 lkes were inadvertantiy omitted from the credits to the Urban Papers in our last issue. Mr. Quattlebaum worked BOOK CLUB ORDER FORM -16 on the paper on Jobs, Mr. Minikes on the one on Housing. Is a Republican research and THE RIPON FORUM is published monthly by the Ripon So· THE RIPON SOCIETY • INC. policy organization whosa ciety, Inc., 14a Eliot Street, Cambridge, members are young business, academic and professional men and women. Massachusetts 02138. Second class postage rates paid at Boston, Massa· It has national headquarters In Cambridge, Massachusetts, chapters In chusetts. Contents are copyrighted © 1968 by the Ripon Society, Inc. seven cities, National Assoclata members throughout the fifty etetas, and Correspondence addressed to the Editor Is welcomed. several afliliated groups of sub-chapter status. 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Petri, NatIonal ExacuIIIa Director Gary Scott Nunley, ran­ T. William Porter, Texas 'Indicates member of the National Executive CommlttaB William A. Merrill, Massachusetts Roberi R. Murdoch, VIrginia Don Fowler, Maine Bruce K. Chapmen, Washington THE RIPON INTELLIGENCE UNIT :~~~"onpo~i~~~ Richard Obar, Jr., Maryland W. Stuart Parsons. WI-'n basis to Republican office-holders end candidates and to non·parilsan com· Terrence Dwyer, MichIgan John R. lezarek, Southam States munlty leaders. All inquiries are kept strictly confidential. Write the Dougles C. Watson, Minnesota Natlonel Rasaarch Director. 2 (continued from front cover) At first glance this may seem to be shrewd pol­ either case his effect on the way Republicans view itics for 1968, a year in which the alienated lower their Party will have been lasting and salutary. -middle class voter has been mobilized as never be­ Mr. Nixon has done what neither Eisenhower fore. But though the Wallace candidacy has focussed nor Goldwater could do. He has stripped the nom­ attention on the backlash vote, it has, paradoxically, inating process of its mystique. The rise of Eisen­ also neutralized it as a strategic target. The real hower gave many Republicans the impression that battleground for swing votes will be for the front­ one could rely on the personal popularity of a "sure lash - the voters who were willing to switch parties winner" to win a nomination. Goldwater's rise to vote for McCarthy and Rockefeller this year and left others with an abiding faith in "ideology" as the Republicans who bolted Goldwater-Miller in the key to the hearts of Republican delegates.