Iran Auto Industry 2 June 2016- Bruegel By: Mohsen Pakparvar Senior Expert Head of Energy & International Economics studies group Institute for Political and International Studies (IPIS) Ministry of foreign affairs Islamic Republic of IRAN E-mail: [email protected], 1 Content IRAN AT GLANCE IRAN’s Economics Index IRAN Auto Industry IKCOIKCO Vs.Vs. ISAIPASAIPA GroupGroup Opportunities and suggestions Iran’s Spare Parts Industry IRAN The Cyrus Cylinder is a document issued by Cyrus the Great and known as The First Charter of Human Rights. Persepolis 500 BC 5 A Country for All Seasons Mount Damavand Tehran I.R.IRAN at glance Official name Islamic Republic of Iran Head of State President H.E. Dr. Hassan Rouhani National Day 11th of February (Islamic Revolution of Iran-1979) Capital Tehran Area 1,648,196 sq km Land 4,137 km boundaries Sea 2,700 km (Including the Caspian Sea) boundaries River 1,918 km boundaries Border Afghanistan, Azerbaijan , Armenia, Iraq, Pakistan, Turkey, countries Turkmenistan +9 sea neighbors Mostly arid or semi-arid, temperate along Caspian coast and Climate mountainous temperate along west and north-west. Petroleum, natural gas, coal, chromium, Natural resources copper, iron ore, lead, manganese, zinc, sulfur Land use: Arable land 300,000 sq. Km 18.2% Meadows and 900,000 sq. Km 54.6% pastures Forest and 120,000 sq. Km 7.3% woodland Other 258,000 sq. Km 15.7% Irrigated land 70,000 sq. Km 4.2% Population 78.03 million (2015) Population growth 1.30% (2015) rate Iran at glance 3 Muslim 99.56% Religions Zoroastrian, Christian & Jewish 0.44% Persian, Azeri, Kurdish, Lori, Baloochi, Languages Arabic Population 79,668,323(2015) Literacy (2015) Total 94% University's 5 M (annually 1 M graduate,<300,000 students Engineers, <60% ladies) Total Imports 53451 million US $ (2012) Total Exports 98033 million US $ (2012) Foreign Direct 4870 million US $ (2012) Investment Iran at glance 4 Electricity Production: 232,955 GWH (2010) Transportation: Railways networks 12000 km (2013) Road networks 220000 km (2013) Ports 11 commercial ports Airports 54 Economic sectors contribution to GDP growth Iran’s trade balance Unemployment Rate Government Budget Current Account Balance Iranian Oil Resources IRAN: ECONOMY, OIL AND GAS o Mixed and transition economy o Large public sector o 60% of the economy is centrally planned o Dominated by oil and gas production o One of the best performing exchanges in the world With 10% of the world's proven oil reserves and 15% of its gas reserves, Iran is considered an "energy superpower. IRAN: AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS Iran is known for its agricultural products which are mainly related to soils: o Wheat o Rice o Other grains o Sugar beets o Sugarcane o Fruits o Nuts & dried Fruits o Cotton o Dairy products o Wool o Caviar o Saffron IRAN: EDUCATIONAL SYSTEM o Iran has free public schools and private schools at all levels o Educating more than 18 million students at segregated schools o Education in Iran is highly centralized Education is considered a top priority in the o Iran is one of the few developing development plans of the countries with great success in country. girls' education IRAN: TOURISM There are several types of tourism in Iran. Some of them include historical, cultural, educational, Eco-tourism etc. The image part with relationship ID rId5 was not found in the file. IRAN: INDUSTRY OVERVIEW o Electrical o Pharmaceutical and health o Chemical and cellulose o Construction industry o Automotive industry Iran is the Middle East’s biggest car producer. Its car industry, comprised of companies such as the Bahman Group, Iran Khodro and Saipa, ranks 13th in the world for total production and 5th in the world in terms of fastest growth. IRAN AUTO INDUSTRY 24 Iran Vs. World q More than 38 countries are active in Auto Industry q 90% of Auto production belong to 22 countries q World Auto Industry’s turn over annually 2700 B$ q Auto industry share in Iran’s GDP= 3.5% q 18.8% of Iran’s Industry belong to Auto Industry q & 12% of total employment of the Country 25 production 26 Production (by type in 2015-2016) Type of vehicle 2014 2015 % change Car 958339 892600 -6.9 Pick up 151044 73187 -51.5% Mini & 276 511 85.1% middle bus Bus 651 696 6.9 Heavy vehicle 20977 9842 -53.1 total 1131287 976836 -13.7 27 Export 28 Export by Iranian car manufacturerٍ company Actual Exp. Programmed exp. % success Saipa 14450 45000 32.1 IKCO 10198 30000 34 Saipa Diesel 10 250 4 IKCo Diesel 107 350 30.6 Others 0 900 0 32.4 Total 24765 76500 * Total Export in 2014( Units) 28432 * 12.9% reduction of export in 2015 29 IRAN Auto Industry’s prospective in 2025 30 Quantitative goals of 2025 Ø Total annual production of 3 M. Vehicle (2 M for domestic& 1 M for Export) Ø Minimum of 50% of production under domestic Brand Ø 25 B$ Revenue of spare part manufacturers from local market Ø 6 B$ export of spare part Ø Production of 120,000 heavy vehicle (75% domestic, 25% export) Ø Increasing of Auto industry share of GDP to 4% Ø reaching of 20% share in industry sector of Economy. 31 Quantitative goals of 2025 p/2 Prospective of production on 2025 (1000 Units) Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Car 1600 1750 1900 2100 2250 2400 2550 2700 2800 3000 Export 1400 200 260 320 380 500 580 690 830 1000 Heavy 35 43 52 60 69 80 90 100 110 120 vehicle Export 1 1.5 2.5 4 6 8 10 15 22 30 32 Qualitative goals of 2025 vImprove and enhancing of Quality and a9er sells services vReduc;on of pollu;on(all kind) vReduc;on of fuel consump;on 33 Auto industry’s posision 34 World Ranking of Vehicle Production In 2014 Iran ranked 18th in the volume of Vehicle Production Auto industry capacity 36 Type Capacity (annually) Car 1800 Pick up 175 Mini bus and Bus 36 Tracks and trailer 170 Total 2126 37 List of car manufacturer 38 List of Iranian Automotives manufacturer No. name of company No. name of company 1 Saipa Group 25 Azar Etesal 26 Arya everest Mashin 2 Saipa Dessel 27 Arya dessel motor 3 Sabalan Khodro Mayone 28 Aras Khodro Dessel 4 Sepeh dessel Kaveh 29 Iran Khodro Industry group( Ikco) 5 Saman Khodro Kumesh 30 Iran Khodro dessel 6 Sinad Khodro Tus 31 Brojen Khodro 7 Siba motor 32 Bahman dessel 8 Sair o safar Rakhsh Toseeh fanavariyae pishrafteh Azar 9 Shahab khodro 33 Abagan 10 Sanaye Arg Dessel 34 Toseeh bynolmel lutus 11 Sanaye Puya Khodro Garmsar 35 Tolidy Tajhizat Sangin Hepco 12 Sanaye Khodro Sazan Modiran 35 Tirajh dessel 13 Sanaye Khodro Rili Akia Douche 37 Khodro sazan Bam 14 Sanaye Khodro Kavir 38 Khodro sazan rein 15 Oghab Afshan 39 Khodro sazi pishro dessel Asia 16 Karsan Yekta 40 Khodro sazan Desslel Azarbayjan 17 Karizan Khodro 0 Qazwin 41 Khodro sazi Zagros 18 Kerman Khodro 42 Khodro sazi setareh Nik Arya 19 Bahman Groupe 43 Khodrokaran Iran 20 Mamut Dessel 44 Raniran 21 Mobarez 45 Rayan Fangostar dessel 22 Moratab 46 Rakhsh Khodro dessel 23 Huran Khodro Dessel 47 Zamyad 24 Yavaran Kodro Sharq 39 48 Zarrin Khodro Iran Sale volume and Market share Iran sale Volume SAIPA Group’s market share 1.800.000 SAIPA’s market share in SAIPA Group 43.389 35.405 Others 1.600.000 9% 41.610 Import 1.400.000 50.633 4% 42.691 41.767 80.000 1.200.000 1.000.000 78.498 800.000 600.000 SAIPA SAIPA Group Pars Khodro 400.000 30% 7% IKCO 43% 200.000 44% 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 SAIPA2012 2013 2014 Kashan SAIPA Diesel 2% 1%Production Import IRAN MARKET (PASSENGER CAR) SAIPA Group’s market share SAIPA’s market share in SAIPA Group Import Others 4.8% 6.5% SAIPA 35.1% SAIPA Group 45.2% IKCo 43.4% ParsKhodro 7.7% SAIPA Kashan 2.4% PARS KHODRO A good companion for whole life IRAN: OPPORTUNITIES TO INVEST Iran is certainly a unique market in o Strategic Location the Middle East. o Market Potentials and Proximity It is populous, rich in natural resources and apt to technological o Labor Privileges progress and international developments. o Developed Infrastructure The country's natural resources create o Low Utility and Production Cost a significant wealth. o Abundant Natural Resources In fact, based on a resource-based evaluation, the Iranian economy is the o Climatic Characteristics 20th strongest in the world o Fiscal Incentives Auto industry : OPPORTUNITIES TO INVEST Internally Regionally and internationally •Iran ‘s domestics market rapidly expanded. o The most stable and safe country of •Most of infrastructure needed are ME o 16 neighboring countries , more than available 400 M population •Most of raw materials and cheap o Advantages of regional energy accessible. corporations( ECO, Shanghai, IOR-ARC) •Iranian Greet industrial groups could o Hub of transit route (NS/ EW) support and provide requirements. o Easy access to the sea (Persian golf & •Huge Talented engineers and skilled Caspian see,..) man power available. o Links of railway network to • advanced law and regulation of neighboring countries investment protection with a lot of o All of auto industry’s sanctions removed after JCPOA incentives. o Several financing, FDI and insurance •50% empty capacity of industry covers suggested (more than 100 B$) available (means no need for o Major foreign partner : France(30%), capacity building of new produces) South Korea (25%), Japan, China, •Free trade zones and SPZ,s with a Sweeden lot of incentives.