Malaysia | June 14, 2021 Key Metrics Malaysia Daybreak | 14 June 2021 FBMKLCI Index 1,700 ▌What’s on the Table… 1,650 ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— 1,600 1,550 Strategy Note – Total lockdown extended for two weeks 1,500 Malaysia is extending the national lockdown for two weeks till 28 Jun. The 1,450 government also revealed that it is drafting a National Recovery Plan. Potential 1,400 earnings disappointment in 2Q results due to FMCO and political uncertainty Jun-20 Aug-20 Oct-20 Dec-20 Feb-21 Apr-21 Jun-21 could weigh on near-term sentiment for market. ——————————————————————————— FBMKLCI 1,575.16 -4.74pts -0.30% Autos – A bumpy road ahead JUN Future JUL Future 1569.5 - (-0.48%) 1570.5 - (-0.51%) TIV could fall by 20-25% qoq in 2Q21F due to FMCO but recover in 2H21F with ——————————————————————————— the sales tax holiday extension, in our view. Maintain 2021F TIV (580k). We look Gainers Losers Unchanged forward to EV policy direction in upcoming NAP revision in 2H21F. Retain Neutral 444 530 476 ——————————————————————————— rating, with Sime, UMW and Bermaz as preferred sector picks. Turnover 5327.23m shares / RM2971.359m 3m avg volume traded 7090.12m shares Kuala Lumpur Kepong – Key details of IJMP acquisition revealed 3m avg value traded RM4007.91m ——————————————————————————— KLK has entered into an SPA to acquire a 56.2% stake in IJMP for RM1.5bn. It Regional Indices FBMKLCI FSSTI JCI SET HSI will make an MGO to acquire the balance IJMP shares once the SPA is 1,575 3,158 6,095 1,637 28,842 unconditional. The proposals are expected to be completed in 4QCY21. It plans ———————————————————————————————— to maintain the listing status of IJMP and fund the acquisition via internal funds Market Indices and bank borrowings. Reiterate Add; deal is earnings accretive. Close % chg YTD % chg FBMKLCI 1,575.16 (0.3) (3.2) FBM100 11,187.16 (0.2) (2.7) FBMSC 16,341.74 0.0 5.0 FBMMES 7,643.07 (0.1) (28.8) ▌News of the Day… Dow Jones 34,479.60 0.0 12.7 ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— NASDAQ 14,069.42 0.4 9.2 FSSTI 3,157.97 (0.1) 11.0 • Full lockdown extended by another two weeks through 28 Jun FTSE-100 7,134.06 0.6 10.4 SENSEX 52,474.76 0.3 9.9 • FFM urges govt to inject RM200bn package to assist SME manufacturers Hang Seng 28,842.13 0.4 5.9 • Former PM Tun Dr Mahathir pitches Mageran again but under another name JCI 6,095.50 (0.2) 1.9 KOSPI 3,249.32 0.8 13.1 • IJM Corp accepts KLK’s offer for plantation business, expects RM700m gain Nikkei 225 28,948.73 (0.0) 5.5 • Genting SG names its Yokohama integrated resort partners as bid closes PCOMP 6,907.79 0.5 (3.2) SET 1,636.56 0.7 12.9 • MAHB registers 1.6m passenger movements in May 2021 Shanghai 3,589.75 (0.6) 3.4 • Sime Darby Property’s campaign achieves RM572m in sales bookings Taiwan 17,213.52 0.3 16.8 ———————————————————————————————— • Jadestone acquisition of SapuraOMV’s PM assets expected to close in 2H21 Top Actives • F&N unit terminates MTN scheme Close % chg Vol. (m) DAGANG NEXCHANGE 0.860 0.6 330.4 AVILLION 0.170 54.5 304.2 SERBA DINAMIK 0.605 (5.5) 162.7 INDUSTRONICS 0.210 16.7 150.9 VIZIONE HOLDINGS 0.195 (4.9) 138.6 SCOMI GROUP 0.050 (9.1) 80.5 YGL CONVERGENCE 0.270 3.8 61.4 FINTEC GLOBAL 0.035 0.0 55.3 ———————————————————————————————— Economic Statistics Close % chg US$/Euro 1.2110 0.00 RM/US$ (Spot) 4.1085 (0.04) RM/US$ (12-mth NDF) 4.1535 (0.66) OPR (%) 1.75 0.00 GOLD ( US$/oz) 1,874.96 (0.14) WTI crude oil US spot (US$/barrel) 70.91 0.88 CPO spot price (RM/tonne) 4,077.50 (1.08) ———————————————————————————————————————— Ivy NG Lee Fang, CFA T (60) 3 2261 9073 E [email protected] Show Style "View Doc Map" IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, INCLUDING ANY REQUIRED RESEARCH CERTIFICATIONS, ARE PROVIDED AT THE END OF THIS REPORT. IF THIS REPORT IS DISTRIBUTED IN Powered by the THE UNITED STATES IT IS DISTRIBUTED BY CGS-CIMB SECURITIES (USA), INC. AND IS CONSIDERED THIRD-PARTY AFFILIATED RESEARCH. EFA Platform Sources: CIMB. COMPANY REPORTS Sources: CIMB. COMPANY REPORTS Malaysia Daybreak | June 14, 2021 Global Economic News G7 leaders meeting in Britain will endorse U.S. President Joe Biden's proposal for global minimum tax of at least 15% on corporations, White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan said on Twitter on Friday. The U.S. Treasury in May proposed a global minimum corporate tax of at least 15% to try to end a downward spiral of corporate tax rates. "America is rallying the world to make big multinational corporations pay their fair share so we can invest in our middle class at home," Sullivan tweeted. (Reuters) Group of Seven leaders agreed to coordinate their response to the challenges posed by China "much much more closely", Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said after a summit in Britain. (Reuters) China's banking and insurance regulator issued rules on Tuesday on wealth management products for cash, tightening oversight of the $1tr market. China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission banned such products from investing in stocks and convertible bonds and said the leverage level of each product should not exceed 120% normally, according to a statement on the regulator's website. The regulator also asked commercial banks and wealth management companies to conduct stress tests on such products to make sure they could deal with urgent redemptions. (Reuters) Congestion at container shipping ports in southern China is worsening as authorities step up disinfection measures amid a flare-up in COVID-19 cases, causing the biggest backlog since at least 2019. More than 150 coronavirus cases have been reported in Guangdong province, a key manufacturing and exporting hub in southern China, since the latest wave of cases struck in late May, triggering local governments to step up prevention and control efforts that have curbed port processing capacity. (Reuters) Britain's recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic sped up in Apr as lockdown measures eased, with the fastest monthly growth since Jul leaving output a record 27.6% higher than a year earlier, when the virus was rampant and lockdown tightest. The figures on Friday from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed rapid growth in the services sector as non-essential retail and hospitality businesses opened their doors after months of closure and schools fully restarted. (Reuters) The Group of Seven biggest advanced economies is considering putting its support behind a $100bn reallocation of potential new International Monetary Fund reserves from richer nations to more vulnerable ones to aid their recovery from the pandemic. The global effort would address health needs including vaccinations as well as help enable greener, more robust economic recoveries, the White House said in a fact sheet Friday. The G-7 leaders’ communique will have more details, it said. Talks begin Friday at the summit in Cornwall, southwestern England. (Bloomberg) British Prime Minister Boris Johnson expects the Group of Seven to agree to donate 1bn COVID-19 vaccine doses to poorer countries during its summit starting on Friday, and help inoculate the world by the end of next year. Just hours after U.S. President Joe Biden vowed to supercharge the battle against the coronavirus with a donation of 500mn Pfizer shots, Johnson said Britain would give at least 100mn surplus vaccines to the poorest nations. (Reuters) The Group of Seven richest democracies on Saturday sought to counter China's growing influence by offering developing nations an infrastructure plan that would rival President Xi Jinping's multi-trillion-dollar Belt and Road initiative. The G7, whose leaders are meeting in southwestern England 2 Malaysia Daybreak | June 14, 2021 and who discussed strategic competition with Beijing, has been searching for a coherent response to the growing assertiveness of Xi after China's surging economic and military rise over the past 40 years. (Reuters) Malaysia Economic News The full Movement Control Order (MCO 3.0) is extended for another two weeks from 15 to 28 Jun, said Senior Minister (Security) Datuk Seri Ismail Sabri Yaakob. This followed a recommendation by the Ministry of Health during the National Security Council special meeting today, which was chaired by Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin. "The decision was made after taking into account high daily new Covid-19 cases at above 5,000 cases, with average daily new cases of 6,871 as of yesterday," Ismail said in a statement. (The Edge Markets) Malaysian Employers Federation (MEF) has called on the government to set up a national vaccine research centre, employing local experts and resources to ensure a long-term vaccine supply for the country. (Bernama) The Federation of Malaysian Manufacturers (FMM) is calling on the government to pump-prime the economy with a RM200bn stimulus package and a RM30bn direct fiscal injection, following the extension of the movement control order (MCO) 3.0, which it warned will have a devastating impact on small and medium enterprise (SME) manufacturers that are just starting to show signs of recovery following the pandemic and previous MCOs. (The Edge Markets) The government, through the Ministry of Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs (KPDNHEP), will conduct a study to set a ceiling price for 5kg bottled cooking oil based on current market prices. Deputy Minister Datuk Rosol Wahid said his team will also discuss the recommended ceiling price with both the Ministry of Plantation Industries and Commodities and the Ministry of Finance (MoF).