Kalungu District Hazard, Risk and Vulnerability Profi le 2016 KALUNGU HAZARD, RISK AND VULNERABILITY PROFILE a TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Figures ................................................................................................................................ii List of Tables ..................................................................................................................................ii Acknowledgement ........................................................................................................................ iii Executive Summary......................................................................................................................iv Definition of Key Concepts ...........................................................................................................vi List of Acronyms .......................................................................................................................... vii Introduction ..................................................................................................................................1 1.1 Background .............................................................................................................................1 1.2 Objectives of the study.........................................................................................................1 1.2.1 Main Objective of the study ...........................................................................................1 1.2.2 Specific objectives .........................................................................................................1 1.3 Scope of work and deliverables ...........................................................................................2 1.4 Justification ..........................................................................................................................2 2.0 Overview of Kalungu District ...............................................................................................4 2.1 Geology................................................................................................................................4 2.2 Vegetation and Landuse stratification ..................................................................................6 2.3 Climatic Conditions ..............................................................................................................7 2.4 Population and Demographic Characteristics .....................................................................7 2.5 Main economic activities ......................................................................................................8 3.0 METHODOLOGY ....................................................................................................................9 3.1 Preliminary spatial analysis..................................................................................................9 3.2 Stakeholder engagements and developing survey instruments ..........................................9 3.3 Participatory mapping ..........................................................................................................9 3.4 Field work and ground truthing verification ....................................................................... 10 3.5 GIS modeling analysis ...................................................................................................... 10 3.6 Regional Stakeholder Workshop for Data verification and validation ............................... 12 4.0 RESULTS FROM MULTI-HAZARD RISK, VULNERABILITY MAPPING ........................... 13 4.1 Crop pests and diseases ................................................................................................. 13 4.2 Livestock pests and diseases .......................................................................................... 14 4.3 Environmental degradation ............................................................................................... 15 4.4 Human diseases outbreaks .............................................................................................. 17 4.5 Droughts ........................................................................................................................... 18 4.6 Road accidents ................................................................................................................. 20 4.7 Land conflicts: ................................................................................................................... 21 4.8 Floods ............................................................................................................................... 22 4.9 Vermin’s and wild animals ................................................................................................. 23 4.10 Soil erosion. .................................................................................................................... 24 4.11 Strong winds, hailstorms and lightning. ........................................................................... 25 4.12 Bush fires ........................................................................................................................ 26 5.0 Coping Strategies ............................................................................................................... 27 KALUNGU HAZARD, RISK AND VULNERABILITY PROFILE i 6.0 District Vulnerability Analysis at District level ................................................................ 28 6.1 Exposure Analysis............................................................................................................. 29 6.2 Sensitivity Analysis............................................................................................................ 30 6.3 Lack of Adaptive Capacity................................................................................................ 31 6.4 Vulnerability Assessment .................................................................................................. 32 7.0 General Conclusion and Recommendations ................................................................... 33 7.1 Conclusions ...................................................................................................................... 33 7.2 Recommendations ............................................................................................................ 33 Annex I: Hazard risk assessment in sub-counties within the district ......................................... 35 Annex II: Field Data collection questionnaire ............................................................................ 36 List of Figure Figure 1: Location of the study area .......................................................................................... 3 Figure 2: Geology and Lithology structures of Kalungu District ................................................ 5 Figure 3: Land use stratification of Kalungu District .................................................................. 6 Figure 4: Population Density of Kalungu District ....................................................................... 8 Figure 5: Data conversion work flow ......................................................................................... 12 Figure 6: Crop pests and diseases in Kalungu District ............................................................. 13 Figure 7: Livestock pests and diseases in Kalungu District ...................................................... 14 Figure 8: Environmental Degradation in Kalungu District ..........................................................16 Figure 9: Human diseases in Kalungu District .......................................................................... 17 Figure 10: Drought in Kalungu District ...................................................................................... 19 Figure 11: Road accidents in Kalungu District .......................................................................... 20 Figure 12: Land conflicts in Kalungu District ............................................................................. 21 Figure 13: Drought in Kalungu District ...................................................................................... 22 Figure 14: Vermin and Wildlife attacks in Kalungu District ......................................................... 23 Figure 15: Soil Erosion in Kalungu District ................................................................................ 24 Figure 16: Strong winds and hailstorms in Kalungu District ...................................................... 25 Figure 17: Bush fires in Kalungu District ................................................................................... 26 Figure 18: Exposure of climatic conditions in Kalungu District .................................................. 29 Figure 19: Sensitivty of stressors in Kalungu District ................................................................ 30 Figure 20: Lack of adaptive capacity in Kalungu District ........................................................... 31 Figure 21: Vulnerability assessment of Kalungu District ........................................................... 32 List of Tables Table 1: Coping strategies of Kalungu district ............................................................................ 27 Table 2: Indicators utilised by vulnerability component .............................................................. 28 ii KALUNGU