
<p>Collective Intelligence </p><p>through Structured Dialogue </p><p>A methodology for tackling complex </p><p>challenges with multiple stakeholders </p><p>INCOSE UK Bristol Local Group, 11<sup style="top: -0.6em;">th </sup>March 2019 </p><p>1</p><p><strong>Overview </strong></p><p>Systems Engineers often need to engage with </p><p>Collective Intelligence </p><p>through </p><p>Structured </p><p>Dialogue </p><p>stakeholders and address complex or wicked problems. Structured Dialogic Design is a methodology that evolved from the field of Interactive Management in the US, starting in the 1980s. In its various forms (and under different names) it has been widely applied across the globe in enabling groups to tackle wicked problems and complex challenges, but is not well known in the UK, despite applications in MoD, Rolls Royce and the NHS. This presentation will outline the <strong>methodology</strong>, it’s </p><p><strong>provenance</strong>, and the <strong>current state of practice</strong>. </p><p>2</p><p>Applications </p><p><strong>In today’s world many of the problems are not complicated, they are complex and wicked. </strong></p><p><strong>The methodology delivers consulting redesigned specifically for these situations. </strong></p><p>Complex and wicked </p><p>problems can only be </p><p>resolved by bringing together people with the necessary variety of </p><p>perspectives and expertise </p><p>in a collaborative setting where their ideas are freed, protected, and equally </p><p>considered with all others. </p><p><strong>Wicked Problems and </strong></p><p><strong>Complex Challenges </strong></p><p><strong>Forecasting an Unknown </strong></p><p><strong>Future and Strategic Planning </strong></p><p>3</p><p>The Demosophia Methodology </p><p><strong>Discover </strong></p><p>Discover </p><p>required diversity of perspectives </p><p><strong>Diagnose </strong></p><p>Diagnose the </p><p>system at work </p><p><strong>Design </strong></p><p>Design the </p><p>path forward </p><p><strong>Define </strong></p><p>Define strategic </p><p>priorities and develop plans </p><p><strong>Do </strong></p><p>Implement </p><p>adaptively </p><p><em>Colabs </em></p><p>4</p><p>Colabs </p><p>A Colab is a gathering of stakeholders who together share, </p><p>learn, and create a deep understanding of a complex problem </p><p>using the Structured Democratic Dialogue (SDD) process. • A unique and powerful type of facilitated meeting • Specifically designed to address wicked problems • Efficiently tapping into the collective wisdom of a wide </p><p>variety of stakeholders </p><p>• Harnessing cognitive diversity (knowledge, experience, </p><p>worldview etc.) </p><p>• Enabled and supported by technology </p><p>5</p><p>Colab Principles </p><p>1. A diversity of viewpoints is essential when engaging stakeholders in a dialogue for defining and resolving a </p><p>complex issue. </p><p>2. Dialogue must be structured so that participants can think clearly by ensuring they are not overloaded with too much information. </p><p>3. Each idea must be protected so that its independence and genuineness remain. </p><p>4. Participants will understand the relative importance of their ideas only when their ideas are compared with </p><p>others. </p><p>5. Through understanding how different people’s ideas </p><p>relate, participants become wiser about the meaning of </p><p>their own ideas. </p><p>6. The whole group learns and evolves as each participant sees how their ideas influence those of others. </p><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">6</li><li style="flex:1">7</li><li style="flex:1">8</li><li style="flex:1">9</li></ul><p></p><p><strong>Factor 85: More Positive Programs </strong></p><p>At my school we only have two positive programs – Gear Up and Bridges. We need </p><p>more programs like that. The Gear up club helps </p><p>expose kids to college at a very young age. At the age of 14, for instance, if they are in the </p><p>Gear up program, they learn about college. </p><p>The Bridges program teaches kids how to have a strong homework ethic. These kids go right to </p><p>the cafeteria and do their homework as soon as </p><p>possible. Adults assist them with homework. </p><p>10 </p><p><strong>Capital School </strong></p><p><strong>District </strong></p><p><strong>Five-year strategic planning </strong></p><p><strong>Shaping the future for tomorrow’s Senators </strong></p><p>A few months after hiring a new Superintendent, a new five-year strategic plan was needed for the Capital School District. The Board of Education placed a significant emphasis on the importance of truly engaging a wide-variety of stakeholders in the process of creating a vision, determining strategic priorities, and implementing the plan. </p><p><em>“The Capital School District has made tremendous strides in bridging gaps </em></p><p><em>between the district and community during its strategic planning process with the help of Demosophia and Structured Democratic Dialogue. We focused on the ideas that would have the greatest impact on students and families and </em></p><p><em>create positive changes that will ultimately improve our students’ performance, health and positive impact on our community.” </em></p><p>Dan Shelton, Ed.D., Superintendent/Chief School Officer </p><p>11 </p><p><strong>Air Force Research </strong></p><p><strong>Laboratory </strong></p><p><strong>Collaborative Strategic Planning </strong></p><p>The Air Force Research Laboratory plans technology investments in the context of a 20-year strategic R&D horizon. This study evaluated collaborative, bottom-up strategic </p><p>planning as a complement to the traditional top-down process. </p><p>A structured dialogue approach was applied as the bottom-up methodology, enabling a greater number and variety of stakeholders and technical experts to participate in ideation, reasoning and structured planning. The process visualizes planning outputs in a structural influence map revealing systemic relationships, supporting a list of planning priorities. </p><p><a href="/goto?url=https://demosophia.com/portfolio-item/asaf-reasearch-laboratory/" target="_blank"><strong>Case Study </strong></a></p><p><em>“Comparison with a parallel strategic planning and foresight initiative validated that the </em></p><p><em>SDD methodology achieved a superior planning product with wider organizational </em></p><p><em>consensus.” </em></p><p>12 </p><p>Chronic Kidney Disease Initiative </p><p><strong>Enabling major systemic change over </strong></p><p><strong>more than a decade </strong></p><p>The Council of American Kidney Societies (CAKS), composed of the president and </p><p>president-elect of six major renal organizations, determined a need to coordinate and more </p><p>rapidly advance numerous programs pertinent to chronic kidney disease (CKD). An initiative was formed (the CKDI), with a nine-member Steering Committee. A workshop for CKDI </p><p>“stakeholders” using Structured Democratic Dialogue was held in February 2003 to clarify </p><p>the issues to improve outcomes for patients and create an action plan. In 2017, these recommendations are now a reality as CKD identification and evidence-based care is now delivered at scale across the country. Today there is acceptance of the importance of treating CKD in the medical community; a universal definition for CKD; appropriate screening measures; evidence-based care guidelines; and a change in the workforce, allowing many more of the 11 to 30 million people with some stage of the disease to receive quality care. </p><p><em>“When I gather with colleagues who led the work over the years we mention how effective </em></p><p><em>the process was, and that despite the shifting leadership, we are really pleased with how it </em></p><p><em>turned out.” </em></p><p>13 </p><p>Dr. Thomas Parker III </p><p>The process in </p><p>more detail </p><p>14 </p><p>Structured Democratic Dialogue </p><p>• A rigorously validated collaborative design methodology </p><p>• Integrates tacit knowledge from diversified perspectives </p><p>• A diverse group co-creates a shared understanding of: </p><p>• <strong>A vision </strong></p><p>• <strong>A problem </strong>• <strong>An action plan </strong></p><p>• Designed to tackle wicked problems </p><p>• People learning together to develop a common language </p><p>• People co-developing a ‘systems view’ </p><p>• People collectively owning the problem and the solution </p><p>• A process supported by an enabling software toolset </p><p>• Specialised facilitators focused on the process </p><p>• Technology supporting clear thinking and preventing overload </p><p>15 </p><p>Colabs - Types </p><p>• <strong>Visioning </strong>Co-Lab: </p><p>• This is an opportunity for the group to DREAM, free of constraints </p><p>(including time and money). If nothing existed and you could design </p><p>anything to address the issue, what would it include? </p><p>• <strong>Challenge/Barrier </strong>Co-Lab: </p><p>• This phase identifies and prioritise the Barriers to achieving the vision </p><p>• <strong>Action </strong>Co-Lab: </p><p>• This Co-Lab focuses on identifying Actions to overcome the identified </p><p>barriers and get as close to the ideal as possible </p><p>16 </p><p>Demosophia Colabs - Stages </p><p><strong>1) Statement Generation </strong></p><p>• Participants will silently and independently generate very concise </p><p>responses (think newspaper HEADLINE) to a triggering question, </p><p>with each statement containing only one idea </p><p>• These statements should capture the essence of what you mean </p><p><strong>2) Statement Clarification </strong></p><p>• Each author clarifies what is meant by his/her statement and these </p><p>statements are recorded to ensure the intent of the author is </p><p>maintained </p><p>• The goal is ensuring everyone understands the intent of the author • The process does not allow for disagreement (or agreement) at this </p><p>stage </p><p>• Participants can request additional clarification if they do not </p><p>understand the author’s intent </p><p>17 </p><p>Demosophia Colabs - Stages </p><p><strong>3) Classification </strong></p><p>• Ideas will be categorised according to similarity of meaning (based on </p><p>author’s intent) </p><p>• Participants will gain a deeper understanding of the meaning based on </p><p>similarities. The name of the category will be based on the meaning of </p><p>the ideas in the category </p><p>• (vs. having pre-determined categories that you fit ideas into) </p><p>• Participants will have opportunity to review and amend the categories </p><p><strong>4) Prioritisation </strong></p><p>• Each participant will be provided 5 dots to vote on what they perceive to </p><p>be the most important ideas (what resonates in the context of the </p><p>Triggering Question) </p><p>• Votes will be for individual ideas (vs. categories or clusters of ideas) • A subset of ideas, based on number of votes, will be included in the </p><p>influence mapping </p><p>18 </p><p>Demosophia Colabs - Stages </p><p><strong>5) Influence Mapping </strong></p><p>• Participants look at two ideas and make a judgment regarding the influence relationship of the ideas </p><p>• Participants have an opportunity to persuade the group </p><p>by sharing their rationale for how they voted. During this stage, participants engage in deeper dialogue, agreeing </p><p>and disagreeing with one-another, and often re-voting to determine the level of consensus </p><p>• A lot of learning occurs but, as with every other stage, the authenticity of the author is protected </p><p>• A “Yes” vote requires a super majority (typically 75%) </p><p>consensus </p><p>• Ultimately an “Influence Map” will be generated based on </p><p>the consensus voting of the group. The influence map </p><p>will identify deep drivers – ideas that are likely to have significant influence on the overall system - and helps to determine where effort should be focused </p><p><strong>6) Develop Narratives </strong></p><p>• Groups of participants sharing a common perspective </p><p>(e.g. organisational function) develop their own specific </p><p>narratives based on the Influence Map </p><p>19 </p><p>A Real Project </p><p><a href="/goto?url=http://mde-msd.lakechain.org/" target="_blank">Reimagining the Michigan School for the Deaf </a></p><p>20 </p><p>Provenance </p><p>21 </p><p>Provenance </p><p>• ‘The Systems Approach’ </p><p>• C. West Churchman, 1968 </p><p>• The Club Of Rome, ‘The Predicament of Mankind’ </p><p>• Hasan Ozbekhan, 1970 </p><p>• Interpretive Structural Modelling </p><p>• John Warfield, 1974 </p><p>• Interactive Management </p><p>• Warfield & Christakis, 1980s </p><p>• Process variants developed and widely applied </p><p>• Structured Dialogic Design, Synplex etc., 1990s, 2000s </p><p>• Dialogic Design Science </p><p>• Alexander Christakis, 2011 </p><p>22 </p><p>The Club of Rome </p><p>• In 1968 the Club or Rome was created, by Aurelio Peccei, an </p><p>Italian industrialist, and Alexander King, a Scottish scientist, to </p><p>address “the tidal wave of global problems” </p><p>• Hasan Ozbekhan published the Club or Rome prospectus in </p><p>1970 with the title <em>‘The Predicament of Mankind: A Quest for </em></p><p><em>Structural Responses to Growing World-wide Complexities and </em></p><p><em>Uncertainties” </em></p><p>• It lists “49 continuous critical problems” spanning poverty, </p><p>warfare, education, environment and prejudices </p><p>• At that time, the systems science required to tackle these problems was in its infancy. Ozbekhan proposed the </p><p>development of a systems model, but this was rejected. </p><p>• Jay Forrester proposed System Dynamics,which was was </p><p>adopted (the ‘World3 Model), but subsequently only addressed a </p><p>few of the original 49 critical problems </p><p>• Ozbekhan eventually joined the Social Systems Sciences </p><p>program at the University of Pennsylvania with other leaders in </p><p>the development of systems thinking </p><p>• e.g. Russell Ackoff, C. West Churchman </p><p>23 </p><p>John Warfield </p><p>• 1966 joined Battelle Memorial Institute, an early member of the Club or Rome </p><p>• 1973-4 developed <strong>Interpretive Structural </strong><br><strong>Modelling </strong>(ISM) </p><p>• Algorithms to efficiently compare ideas and then visually </p><p>map their influence on one another <br>• Uses a software tool to augment human capability and </p><p>avoid cognitive overload </p><p>• 1980s developed <strong>Interactive Management </strong></p><p>• With Aleco Christakis </p><p>• President of the Systems, Man, and Cybernetics </p><p>Society of the IEEE </p><p>• President of the International Society for the </p><p>Systems Sciences </p><p>24 </p><p>Interactive Management </p><p>• ‘Sigma-5’ methodology </p><p>• Facilitator </p><p>• Computer </p><p>• Participant Group </p><p>• Consensus methodologies </p><p>• Demosophia (the ‘situation room’) </p><p>• Combining a number of consensus methods: </p><p>• Nominal Group Technique </p><p>• DELPHI </p><p>• Interpretive Structural Modelling </p><p>25 </p><p>Alexander (Aleco) Christakis joins Warfield </p><p>• 1972 – Aleco Christakis joined Warfield at the </p><p><strong>Academy for Contemporary Problems </strong></p><p>• Ohio State + Battelle </p><p>• 1981 – they set up the <strong>Center for Interactive </strong></p><p><strong>Management </strong>at the University of Virginia (UVA) </p><p>• 1984 – they transferred the Center to George </p><p>Mason University <br>• Together they worked with many clients, including </p><p>• US Department of Defense </p><p>• Ford Motor Company </p><p>• Tata Consulting </p><p>• IBM </p><p>26 </p><p>Alexander (Aleco) Christakis </p><p>• Set up CWA Ltd as a commercial channel </p><p>• Tackled a wide range of challenges around the world during the </p><p>1990’s and 2000’s </p><p>• Evolved the Interactive Management methodology into </p><p><strong>Structured Dialogic Design </strong></p><p>• Emphasising social aspects such as the emancipation of stakeholders </p><p>and importance of equitable power relations </p><p>• In 2002 set up the <strong>Institute for 21st Century Agoras </strong></p><p>• <em>“a globally networked non -profit organization dedicated to the democratic </em></p><p><em>transformation of society and culture” </em></p><p>27 </p><p>Bill Rodger </p><p>• Developed ‘Synergistic Solutions’ </p><p>methodology, based on Interactive </p><p>Management </p><p>• 1990s set up Desyma Decision Technologies </p><p>Inc, based in Ottawa </p><p>• Multiple projects, primarily US-based clients </p><p>• 2000s set up Complexity Solutions Ltd with </p><p>Peter Miles in UK, renamed methodology as </p><p><strong>Synplex </strong></p><p>• Projects with the MoD, Rolls-Royce, NHS </p><p>28 </p><p>‘Synplex’ applications </p><p>29 </p><p><a href="/goto?url=http://www.catalyzeconsulting.com/services/complexity-management/" target="_blank">Further information on ‘</a><a href="/goto?url=http://www.catalyzeconsulting.com/services/complexity-management/" target="_blank">Synplex</a><a href="/goto?url=http://www.catalyzeconsulting.com/services/complexity-management/" target="_blank">’ applications, including case studies </a></p><p>‘Synplex’ Client Feedback </p><p>• Ann Barnes, Deputy Chief Executive, <strong>Stockport Foundation </strong><br><strong>Trust </strong></p><p>“I found both the process and the delivery of the workshops, high </p><p>quality with tangible outcomes. I would, and have, recommended </p><p>the methodology to colleagues faced with resolving complex </p><p>problems with multiple stakeholders.” </p><p>• Sue Assar, Project Director, <strong>NHS North West </strong></p><p>“The process works so well as it is immediately engaging and </p><p>involving. Collectively we quickly gained insight into the significant issues that we needed to resolve to ensure successful </p><p>implementation of a major service change” </p><p>• Charles Cuddington, Chief Commercial Officer - Large Engines, </p><p><strong>Rolls-Royce plc </strong></p><p>"It would have been difficult to achieve a successful outcome without </p><p>such a highly focused and expertly facilitated process." </p><p>• Rear Admiral Ian Tibbitt, <strong>Royal Navy </strong></p><p>“… allowed us to effectively turn an aspirational concept into a deliverable process and organisational construct in just a few days… </p><p>for deciding what the process and structure are to be when only an </p><p>idea existed before we found the methodology powerful.” </p><p><a href="/goto?url=http://www.catalyzeconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/UK-MoD-Assessment-of-synplex.pdf" target="_blank">• </a><a href="/goto?url=http://www.catalyzeconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/UK-MoD-Assessment-of-synplex.pdf" target="_blank"><strong>UK MoD </strong></a><a href="/goto?url=http://www.catalyzeconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/UK-MoD-Assessment-of-synplex.pdf" target="_blank">internal assessment report </a></p><p>“The process appears to be sufficiently flexible to deal with a myriad of </p><p>complex issues and problem types…It appears ideally suited to support any future … restructuring work.” </p><p>30 </p>
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