2012 MRG FALL MICHIGAN POLL • SEPTEMBER 10-15, 2012 N=600 LIKELY VOTERS • MARGIN OF ERROR: ± 4% GEOGRAPHICALLY REPRESENTATIVE OF STATEWIDE VOTER TURNOUT ALL LIVE INTERVIEWS BY PHONE • 20% BY CELL PHONE QUESTIONNAIRE & AGGREGATE RESULTS POLITICAL GEOGRAPHIC AREA City of Detroit ................................................................................................................... 5% Balance of Wayne County............................................................................................. 12% Oakland County ............................................................................................................. 14% Macomb County ............................................................................................................... 8% Balance of Detroit S.M.S.A. ........................................................................................... 10% Mid-Michigan ................................................................................................................. 12% West Michigan ................................................................................................................ 20% Tri-City/Thumb Area.................................................................................................... 10% North Lower Michigan.................................................................................................... 8% Upper Peninsula ............................................................................................................... 3% B. Are you registered to vote in (INSERT CITY/TWP. NAME) at this address? Yes ....................................................................... CONTINUE NoASK IF THERE IS A REGISTERED VOTER AT HOME IF NO, TERMINATE C. Are you or is any member of your household an elected public official, active in any political campaign this year, or an employee of any news organization? Yes ..................................................................... TERMINATE No........................................................................ CONTINUE D. Do you think you will be or will not be voting in the election for President in November? (IF WILL BE VOTING ASK: Do you think you will definitely be voting or just probably voting?) Will Definitely Be Voting................................................97% Will Probably Be Voting....................................................3% Will NOT Be Voting..........................Thank and Terminate DK/Ref ...............................................Thank and Terminate 1. Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? Right Direction .................................................................39% Wrong Track .....................................................................54% Don't Know (Volunteered) ...............................................8% Refused (Volunteered) ......................................................0% MRG MICHIGAN POLL • FALL 2012 QUESTIONNAIRE PAGE 2 2. Do you feel things in the State of Michigan are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? Right Direction .................................................................47% Wrong Track .....................................................................41% Don't Know (Volunteered) .............................................12% Refused (Volunteered) ..........................................................* 3. In your opinion, what do you think is the most important problem facing the State of Michigan at the present time, that is, the one you yourself are most concerned about? DO NOT READ RESPONSES RECORD RESPONSE BELOW CODE AFTER INTERVIEW PROBE FOR TWO RESPONSES Unemployment/layoffs/job security ..........................59% Economy (General Comments).....................................17% Education Funding ..........................................................11% Politicians/No cooperation/Ugly Politics .....................9% Taxes ...................................................................................5% Health care/health insurance/mental health................5% Inflation/Cost of Living....................................................5% Education Quality .............................................................5% Rick Snyder mentions........................................................4% Crime/law enforcement/safety ......................................4% Roads/Streets/Construction/Traffic..............................4% Welfare/Poverty/Homeless ............................................3% State Budget Problems ......................................................2% Local/state government....................................................2% Senior citizen issues ..........................................................2% Environmental concerns/pollution/water ...................2% Abortion ..............................................................................1% Barack Obama mentions ...................................................1% Obamacare ..........................................................................1% Morals/Family Values ......................................................1% Foreign Policy in general ......................................................* Middle East/Afghanistan/War...........................................* Socialism/Nationalizing Banks ...........................................* Casinos/Gambling/Racinos ................................................* Nothing/doing a good job ...............................................1% Other (Record Responses) ................................................4% Don't know..........................................................................2% Refused ....................................................................................* 4. Compared to a year ago, do you think the Michigan economy has gotten better, gotten worse or stayed about the same? Better ..................................................................................42% Worse .................................................................................15% About the Same ................................................................40% Don't Know (Volunteered) ...............................................2% Refused (Volunteered) ......................................................0% MRG MICHIGAN POLL • FALL 2012 QUESTIONNAIRE PAGE 3 5. Thinking about a year from now, do you think the Michigan economy will be better, will be worse or will stay about the same? Better ..................................................................................46% Worse .................................................................................10% About the Same ................................................................26% Don't Know (Volunteered) .............................................18% Refused (Volunteered) ..........................................................* 6. If the general election for U.S. President and Vice President were being held today, and the candidates were (ROTATE: Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan the Republicans, and Barack Obama and Joe Biden the Democrats), for whom would you vote? (IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED, ASK: Which way do you lean as of today, toward Romney/Ryan or Obama/Biden?) Vote Romney/Ryan......................................................39.8% Lean Romney/Ryan .......................................................2.5% Vote Obama/Biden.......................................................43.8% Lean Obama/Biden ........................................................3.7% Don’t know/Undecided ...................................................8% Refused .............................................................................2.2% TOTAL ROMNEY/RYAN...........................................42.3% TOTAL OBAMA/BIDEN ............................................47.5% 7. If the general election for U.S. Senator were being held today, and the candidates were (ROTATE: Pete Hoekstra (HOOK-strah) the Republican and Debbie Stabenow (STAB-eh-now) the Democrat), for whom would you vote? (IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED, ASK: Which way do you lean as of today, toward Hoekstra or Stabenow?) Vote Hoekstra................................................................36.2% Lean Hoekstra.....................................................................4% Vote Stabenow...............................................................42.5% Lean Stabenow ................................................................3.7% Don’t know/Undecided ..............................................12.2% Refused .............................................................................1.5% TOTAL HOEKSTRA.....................................................40.2% TOTAL STABENOW....................................................46.2% 8. And, if the election for State Representative from your district were being held today, would you vote for... (ROTATE 1 & 2) THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE ............................37.2% … OR … THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE...........................40.7% NOT SURE/UNDEDICED/DK (DO NOT READ) 20.8% REFUSED (DO NOT READ)........................................1.3% MRG MICHIGAN POLL • FALL 2012 QUESTIONNAIRE PAGE 4 Now, I will read to you the names of some people in the news. For each, please tell me whether you’ve heard of them or not. For those you know, please