SUPRC/Boston Herald 10/30/2014 FINAL OCTOBER TOPLINES MASSACHUSETTS GeoCode (N=500) n % Worcester / West ------------------------------------------------ 118 23.60 Northeastern ----------------------------------------------------- 179 35.80 Suffolk --------------------------------------------------------------- 40 8.00 Se Mass / Cape ------------------------------------------------- 163 32.60 ************************************************************************************************************************************* Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk University and I would like to get your opinions on some issues of the day in Massachusetts. Would you be willing to spend seven minutes answering some questions so that we can include your opinions? {IF YES PROCEED; IF NO, UNDECIDED, GO TO CLOSE} SCREEN. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming election for Governor this Tuesday – very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, not at all likely? Or have you already voted? (N=500) n % Very likely --------------------------------------------------------- 490 98.00 Already voted ------------------------------------------------------ 10 2.00 QUOTA-1. Gender (N=500) n % Male ---------------------------------------------------------------- 242 48.40 Female ------------------------------------------------------------ 258 51.60 QUOTA-2. What is your age category? (N=500) n % 18-25 Yrs. ----------------------------------------------------------- 21 4.20 26-35 Yrs. ----------------------------------------------------------- 72 14.40 36-45 Yrs. ----------------------------------------------------------- 91 18.20 46-55 Yrs. --------------------------------------------------------- 103 20.60 56-65 Yrs. ----------------------------------------------------------- 65 13.00 66-75 Yrs. ----------------------------------------------------------- 76 15.20 Over 75 Yrs. -------------------------------------------------------- 55 11.00 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 17 3.40 QUOTA-3. Are you currently registered as a Democrat, Republican, or Unenrolled/Independent? (N=500) n % Democrat --------------------------------------------------------- 187 37.40 Republican --------------------------------------------------------- 59 11.80 Independent/Unenrolled --------------------------------------- 251 50.20 Other ------------------------------------------------------------------ 3 0.60 MA Very Likely Voters 1 of 7 October 26-29, 2014 SUPRC/Boston Herald 10/30/2014 QUOTA 4. For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic background / ancestry is? (N=500) n % White/Caucasian ------------------------------------------------ 424 84.80 Black/African-American ----------------------------------------- 43 8.60 American Indian / Alaska Native ------------------------------- 3 0.60 Asian ------------------------------------------------------------------ 2 0.40 Native Hawaiian / Other Pacific Islander --------------------- 2 0.40 Hispanic/Latino ---------------------------------------------------- 20 4.00 Other ------------------------------------------------------------------ 0 0.00 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 6 1.20 2. Do you think Massachusetts is heading in the right direction or is on the wrong track? (N=500) n % Right Direction --------------------------------------------------- 204 40.80 Wrong Track ----------------------------------------------------- 208 41.60 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 88 17.60 Great, I’m going to read you a list of individuals in state and local politics. For each, please tell me if your opinion of them is generally favorable or generally unfavorable. If you are undecided or if you have never heard of someone, just tell me that. First take Deval Patrick. Would you say your opinion of Deval Patrick is generally favorable or generally unfavorable?…{Next name, “How about..”etc} (N=500) NEVER HEARD FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HOF/UND 3. Deval Patrick 4 257 199 40 0.80 51.40 39.80 8.00 4. Martha Coakley 3 231 221 45 0.60 46.20 44.20 9.00 5. Evan Falchuk 194 83 61 162 38.80 16.60 12.20 32.40 6. Jeff McCormick 253 49 32 166 50.60 9.80 6.40 33.20 7. Elizabeth Warren 4 247 205 44 0.80 49.40 41.00 8.80 8. Charlie Baker 14 245 131 110 2.80 49.00 26.20 22.00 9. Scott Douglas Lively 313 18 39 130 62.60 3.60 7.80 26.00 10. Ed Markey 33 209 185 73 6.60 41.80 37.00 14.60 11. Brian Herr 311 27 35 127 62.20 5.40 7.00 25.40 12. Barack Obama 0 239 232 29 0.00 47.80 46.40 5.80 MA Very Likely Voters 2 of 7 October 26-29, 2014 SUPRC/Boston Herald 10/30/2014 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Deval Patrick is doing as governor? (N=500) n % Approve ----------------------------------------------------------- 255 51.00 Disapprove ------------------------------------------------------- 209 41.80 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 36 7.20 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as president? (N=500) n % Approve ----------------------------------------------------------- 220 44.00 Disapprove ------------------------------------------------------- 242 48.40 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 38 7.60 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 15. How closely are you following the 2014 election for Massachusetts Governor – very closely, somewhat closely, not very closely, or not at all? (N=500) n % Very closely ------------------------------------------------------ 242 48.40 Somewhat closely ---------------------------------------------- 200 40.00 Not very closely --------------------------------------------------- 48 9.60 Not at all closely ---------------------------------------------------- 9 1.80 Und/Ref -------------------------------------------------------------- 1 0.20 16. On November 4th, the general election will take place. For Governor, there are five candidates listed on your ballot in the following order: Republican Charlie Baker, Democrat Martha Coakley, Evan Falchuk-United Independent Party, Scott Douglas Lively-Independent, or Jeffrey McCormick-Independent. At this point will you vote or lean toward Baker, Coakley, Falchuk, Lively, or McCormick? (N=500) n % Baker -------------------------------------------------------------- 230 46.00 Coakley ----------------------------------------------------------- 213 42.60 Falchuk ------------------------------------------------------------- 13 2.60 Lively ----------------------------------------------------------------- 3 0.60 McCormick --------------------------------------------------------- 9 1.80 Und ------------------------------------------------------------------- 29 5.80 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 3 0.60 17. Despite your personal preference, when all the votes are counted who do you think will be elected Governor on November 4th? (N=500) n % Baker --------------------------------------------------------------- 254 50.80 Coakley ------------------------------------------------------------ 152 30.40 Falchuk --------------------------------------------------------------- 1 0.20 Lively ------------------------------------------------------------------ 3 0.60 McCormick ---------------------------------------------------------- 4 0.80 Und ------------------------------------------------------------------- 85 17.00 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 1 0.20 MA Very Likely Voters 3 of 7 October 26-29, 2014 SUPRC/Boston Herald 10/30/2014 18. Martha Coakley has been the Attorney General for the past 8 years. How would you rate her job performance as Attorney General – excellent, good, fair, or poor? (N=500) n % Excellent ------------------------------------------------------------ 79 15.80 Good --------------------------------------------------------------- 181 36.20 Fair ----------------------------------------------------------------- 138 27.60 Poor ------------------------------------------------------------------ 82 16.40 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 20 4.00 19. If elected, do you think Martha Coakley will push to raise taxes? (N=500) n % Yes ----------------------------------------------------------------- 319 63.80 No --------------------------------------------------------------------- 94 18.80 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 87 17.40 {FOR 16.3-16.7} 20. Recently both Bill and Hillary Clinton came to town to endorse Martha Coakley. Does their endorsement make you more likely to vote for Coakley, less likely, or does it make no difference? (N=57) n % More likely ---------------------------------------------------------- 13 22.81 Less likely ------------------------------------------------------------ 8 14.04 No difference ------------------------------------------------------- 35 61.40 Undecided ----------------------------------------------------------- 1 1.75 21. Do you trust Charlie Baker to stand up for women’s rights and the handling of issues important to women? (N=500) n % Yes – Trust Baker ----------------------------------------------- 245 49.00 No ------------------------------------------------------------------- 161 32.20 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 94 18.80 22. Overall, do you support the building