Situation Report Disaster Management Information Centre Disaster Management Bureau (DMB) Ministry of Food and Disaster Management Disaster Management and Relief Bhaban (6th Floor) 92-93 Mohakhali C/A, Dhaka-1212, Bangladesh Phone: +88-02-9890937, Fax: +88-02-9890854 Email: [email protected] ,H [email protected] Web: http://www.cdmp.org.bdH ,H www.dmb.gov.bd Emergency Flood and Weather Situation Title: Emergency Bangladesh Location: 20°22'N-26°36'N, 87°48'E-92°41'E, Covering From: MON-01-OCT-2007:1800 Period: To: TUE-02-OCT-2007:1800 Transmission Date/Time: TUE-02-OCT-2007:1500 Prepared by: DMIC, DMB Flood, Rainfall and River Situation; Flood Forecast (24 & 48 Hrs); Weather Forecast; Agromet Bulleting; District Wise Brief Report on Flood and Relief Activities and Update on Relief Operations of BRAC Current Situation: Monsoon is less active over Bangladesh and weak to moderate over North Bay. All the rivers are flowing below their respective danger levels. According to FFWC outlook, No flood Situation prevails over the country. FLOOD, RAINFALL AND RIVER SITUATION SUMMARY (October 02, 2007) Flood Outlook • All the rivers are flowing below their respective danger levels. No flood Situation prevails over the country. Rainfall • Significant rainfalls recorded during last 24hrs ending at 6AM today are: Sirajganj: 95.00 mm Tangail: 90.0 Dewanganj: 40.0 mm Jamalpur: 38.0 mm Mymensingh: 33.0 mm [Source: Flood Forecasting Center - FFWC] The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities Page 1 of 12 Situation Report River Situation Map (October 02, 2007) The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities Page 2 of 12 Situation Report FLOOD FORECAST FOR NEXT 24 & 48 HRS (Oct. 03 & 04 AT 6 AM) The Brahmaputra-Jamuna at: 1) Serajganj is likely to fall by 5 cm & 4 cm and may flow 189 cm & 193 cm below danger level in the next 24 hrs & 48 hrs respectively. 2) Aricha is likely to fall by 2 cm & 3 cm and may flow 138 cm & 141 cm below danger level in the next 24 & 48 hrs respectively. The Kaliganga at Taraghat is likely to fall both by 15 cm and may flow 116 cm & 131 cm below danger mark in the next 24 & 48 hrs. The Turag at Mirpur is likely to fall by 11 cm & 15 cm and may flow 93 cm & 108 cm below danger level in the next 24 & 48 hrs respectively. The Buriganga at Dhaka is likely to fall by 11 cm & 12 cm and may flow 163 cm & 175 cm below danger level in the next 24 & 48 hrs respectively. The Balu at Demra is likely to fall both by 12 cm and may flow 111 & 123 cm below danger level in the next 24 & 48 hrs respectively. The Lakhya at Narayanganj is likely to fall both by 9 cm and may flow 109 & 118 cm below danger level in the next 24 & 48 hrs respectively. The Padma at Goalundo is likely to fall both 2 cm and may flow 93 cm & 95 cm below danger level in the next 24 hrs & 48 hrs respectively. The Surma at: 1) Sylhet is likely to fall by both 3 cm and may flow 183 cm & 186 cm below danger level in the next 24 & 48 hrs respectively. 2) Sunamganj is likely to fall by 6 cm & 5 cm and may flow 121 cm & 126 cm below danger level in the next 24 & 48 hrs respectively. The Kushiyara at Sheola is likely to rise by 19 cm & 8 cm and may flow 90 cm & 82 cm below danger level in the next 24 & 48 hrs respectively. The Meghna at Bhairab Bazar is likely to fall by 12 cm & 11 cm and may flow 60 cm & 71 cm below danger level in the next 24 & 48 hrs respectively. * Danger level at a river location is the level above which it is likely that the flood may cause damages to nearby crops and homesteads. In a river having no embankment, danger level is about annual average flood level. In an embanked river, danger level is fixed slightly below design flood level of the embankment. General River Condition • Water Level stations: Rise: 10 Fall: 43 Steady: 2 Not Reported: 8 • Most of the rivers in the Brahmaputra, the Ganges, the Meghna & the South Eastern Hill basins observed fall. [Source: Flood Forecasting and Warning Center – FFWC] The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities Page 3 of 12 Situation Report WEATHER FORECAST (VALID FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 09 AM TODAY) Synoptic Situation: Monsoon axis runs through Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, West Bengal to Assam across central part of Bangladesh. One of its associated troughs extends to North Bay. Monsoon is less active over Bangladesh and weak to moderate over North Bay. Forecast: Light to moderate rain/T.showers accompanied by tempo. gusty wind is likely to occur at one or two places over Dhaka, Rajshahi, Khulna, Barisal, Chittagong and Sylhet divisions. Day temperature may remain nearly unchanged over the country. [Source: Bangladesh Meteorological Department - BMD] Agromet Bulletin Short Weather Description Period: 21.09.2007 to 30.09.2007 • Light to moderately heavy rainfall was recorded over the country. • Maximum rainfall 196 mm was recorded at Khulna in Khulna division, which was 106 % above normal. • Minimum rainfall 5 mm was recorded at Chandpur in Chittagong division, which was 93% below normal. • Highest maximum temperature was recorded in Dhaka division 29.5-35.80C, Chittagong division 27.0- 37.00C, Sylhet division 29.7-35.00C, Rajshahi division 27.0-36.20C, Khulna division 31.0-35.80C and Barisal division 29.5-35.00C, • Extreme maximum temperature was recorded at Dhaka in Dhaka division 35.80C, at M.court in Chittagong division 37.00C, at Sylhet in Sylhet division 35.00C, at Rajshahi in Rajshahi division 36.20C, at Jessore in Khulna division 35.80C and at Barisal in Barisal division 35.00C. • Lowest minimum temperature was recorded in Dhaka division 26.0-28.30C, Chittagong division 23.9- 28.50C, Sylhet division 24.5-28.00C, Rajshahi division 25.5-28.40C, Khulna division 26.0-27.60C and Barisal division 25.6-28.50C, • Extreme minimum temperature was recorded at Dhaka in Dhaka division 26.00C, at Comilla in Chittagong division 23.90C, at Sylhet in Sylhet division 24.50C, at Rangpur, Rajshahi in Rajshahi division 25.50C, at Jessore, Chuadanga in Khulna division 26.00C and at Khepupara, Patuakhali in Barisal division 25.60C. [Source: Bangladesh Meteorological Department - BMD] The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities Page 4 of 12 Situation Report Rainfall analysis and average temperature Name of Name of the Total Normal Difference Deviation Total Average Agerage Average Average the Stations Rainfall Rainfall between in % Rainy Max. Normal Min. Normal Divisions in (mm) in (mm) normal & days temp in Max. temp in ° Min. temp total Rainfall °C temp in C in °C °C Dhaka Dhaka 10 106 -96 -91 4 32.0 31.7 26.5 25.5 Mymensingh ** 114 *** *** ** ** 30.7 ** 23.4 Faridpur 22 102 -80 -78 6 31.5 31.6 26.2 25.1 Madaripur 99 94 5 5831.4 31.5 24.9 24.0 Tangail 15 95 -80 -84 4 32.6 31.4 25.8 24.7 Chittagong Chittagong 43 72 -29 -40 6 31.5 31.6 22.6 24.8 Sitakunda 25 79 -54 -68 5 31.8 31.4 25.2 24.7 Rangamati 39 69 -30 -43 5 31.4 31.5 24.8 24.5 CoxsBazar 70 76 -6 -8 8 30.8 31.3 24.8 24.8 Teknaf ** 94 *** *** ** ** 30.9 ** 24.6 Hatiya ** 110 *** *** ** ** 30.3 ** 24.7 Sandwip 37 110 -73 -66 7 ** 30.8 ** 25.1 Kutubdia 78 78 0 0530.2 31.3 25.4 25.3 Feni 20 99 -79 -80 4 30.9 31.2 25.4 24.6 M.Court 41 81 -40 -49 6 31.4 31.0 25.3 25.0 Chandpur 5 74 -69 -93 6 31.2 31.7 26.2 25.4 Comilla 21 69 -48 -70 6 31.7 31.4 25.4 24.7 Sylhet Sylhet 56 136 -80 -59 5 ** 30.9 ** 23.7 Srimangal 20 57 -37 -65 5 32.7 31.1 24.5 22.7 Rajshahi Rajshahi 50 110 -60 -55 4 33.0 31.8 25.5 24.5 Bogra 16 107 -91 -85 4 32.3 31.7 25.5 25.0 Rangpur 9 141 -132 -94 6 31.9 30.8 25.5 23.7 Dinajpur 22 185 -163 -88 5 31.9 31.1 25.1 24.1 Ishurdi 61 82 -21 -26 6 31.8 31.7 25.4 24.6 Khulna Khulna 196 95 101 106 6 31.2 32.2 25.5 25.5 Jessore 134 90 44 49 6**32.7 ** 25.1 Chuadanga 122 98 24 24 7 31.5 32.7 25.2 25.2 Satkhira 172 106 66 62 4 31.4 32.3 25.5 25.0 Barisal -18 31.0 Barisal 73 91 -20 5 31.5 25.5 24.9 Bhola *** *** ** ** ** ** 72 31.6 25.4 Patuakhali 128 121 7 66** 31.5 ** 25.3 Khepupara ** 125 *** *** ** ** 31.1 ** 25.1 N.B.