PUBLIC TRANSPORT Analysis for Urban Transportation Interventions in Vijayawada, Andhra Pradesh Cost-Benefit Analysis Parijat Dey Ankush Malhotra AUTHORS: Senior Manager Vice President IL&FS UMTC © 2018 Copenhagen Consensus Center [email protected] www.copenhagenconsensus.com This work has been produced as a part of the Andhra Pradesh Priorities project under the larger, India Consensus project. This project is undertaken in partnership with Tata Trusts. Some rights reserved This work is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (CC BY 4.0). Under the Creative Commons Attribution license, you are free to copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt this work, including for commercial purposes, under the following conditions: Attribution Please cite the work as follows: #AUTHOR NAME#, #PAPER TITLE#, Andhra Pradesh Priorities, Copenhagen Consensus Center, 2017. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0. 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Cost Benefit Analysis for Urban Transportation Interventions in Vijayawada Andhra Pradesh Priorities An India Consensus Prioritization Project Parijat Dey1, Ankush Malhotra2 1Senior Manager, IL&FS 2 Vice President, UMTC Working draft as of May 18, 2018 IL&FS Academy of Applied Development ACADEMIC ABSTRACT ...................................................................................................................................... 1 POLICY ABSTRACT ............................................................................................................................................ 2 THE PROBLEM ........................................................................................................................................................ 2 INTERVENTION 1: METRO RAIL .................................................................................................................................. 3 Overview ....................................................................................................................................................... 3 Implementation Considerations .................................................................................................................... 4 Costs and Benefits ......................................................................................................................................... 4 Costs ........................................................................................................................................................................... 4 Benefits ...................................................................................................................................................................... 5 INTERVENTION 2: ELEVATED BUS RAPID TRANSIT (BRT) ................................................................................................ 5 Overview ....................................................................................................................................................... 5 Implementation Considerations .................................................................................................................... 6 Costs and Benefits ......................................................................................................................................... 6 Costs ........................................................................................................................................................................... 6 Benefits ...................................................................................................................................................................... 7 BCR TABLE ............................................................................................................................................................ 8 1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................ 9 1.1 THEORY ......................................................................................................................................................... 12 CBA Methodology ....................................................................................................................................... 13 2. METRO RAIL ............................................................................................................................................... 14 2.1 DESCRIPTION OF INTERVENTION ......................................................................................................................... 14 2.2 LITERATURE REVIEW ........................................................................................................................................ 15 2.3 DATA ............................................................................................................................................................ 17 2.3.1 Source of Data .................................................................................................................................... 17 2.4 CALCULATION OF COSTS AND BENEFITS ............................................................................................................... 21 2.4.1 Costs ................................................................................................................................................... 21 2.4.2 Benefits............................................................................................................................................... 21 2.5 ASSESSMENT OF QUALITY OF EVIDENCE ............................................................................................................... 25 2.6 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS ...................................................................................................................................... 25 3. ELEVATED BUS RAPID TRANSIT (BRT) ......................................................................................................... 27 3.1 DESCRIPTION OF INTERVENTION ......................................................................................................................... 27 3.2 LITERATURE REVIEW ........................................................................................................................................ 27 3.3 DATA ............................................................................................................................................................ 28 3.4 CALCULATION OF COSTS AND BENEFITS ............................................................................................................... 29 3.4.1 Cost..................................................................................................................................................... 29 3.4.2 Benefits............................................................................................................................................... 30 3.5 ASSESSMENT OF QUALITY OF EVIDENCE ............................................................................................................... 33 3.6 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS ...................................................................................................................................... 33 4. CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................................................. 35 6. REFERENCES ............................................................................................................................................... 37 List of Figures Figure 1: CBA Methodology ................................................................................................................ 13 Figure 2: Proposed metro corridor for Vijayawada ........................................................................... 14 Figure 3: Timeline Cost and Benefits ................................................................................................. 24 Figure 4: Timeline Cost and Benefits ................................................................................................. 33 List of Tables Table 1: Summary of Cost in Metro Rail Intervention ......................................................................... 4 Table 2: Summary of Benefits from Metro Rail Intervention ............................................................. 5 Table 3: Summary of Cost in Elevated BRT Intervention .................................................................... 7 Table 4: Summary of Benefits from Elevated BRT Intervention ......................................................... 8 Table 5: Summary of Benefit, Cost and BCR ........................................................................................ 8 Table 6 Short Review of Papers on Metro Intervention ................................................................... 17 Table 7 Sources of Data for Metro Intervention ............................................................................... 18 Table 8: Assumptions related to cost of E-bus .................................................................................