Former Gas and Fuel Site Highett – Community Infrastructure Assessment Prepared by Dr Kate Kerkin, K2 Planning Pty Ltd for the City of Kingston 9th March 2018 FORMER GAS AND FUEL SITE HIGHETT – COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE ASSESSMENT - MARCH 2018 1 Contents 1. STATEMENT OF EXPERIENCE ................................................................................................................................ 5 2. KEY FINDINGS ...................................................................................................................................................... 7 3. RECOMMENDATIONS ........................................................................................................................................ 10 4. APPLICATION DETAILS ....................................................................................................................................... 11 4.1 BACKGROUND OF APPLICATION AND PROPOSAL .................................................................................................................. 11 4.2 SITE CONTEXT ............................................................................................................................................................... 11 5. COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE ASSESSMENT APPROACH ................................................................................. 13 6. RELEVANT LEGISLATIVE AND POLICY CONTEXT .................................................................................................. 14 6.1 COMMONWEALTH GOVERNMENT .................................................................................................................................... 14 6.2 STATE GOVERNMENT OF VICTORIA ................................................................................................................................... 14 6.3 CITY OF KINGSTON ........................................................................................................................................................ 16 7. RELEVANT COMMUNITY PROFILE ...................................................................................................................... 21 7.1 ADJACENT AREAS .......................................................................................................................................................... 21 7.2 COMPARABLE AREA ....................................................................................................................................................... 24 8. COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE ASSESSMENT ................................................................................................... 25 8.1 ANTICIPATED POPULATION PROFILE .................................................................................................................................. 25 8.2 ANTICIPATED DEMAND FOR COMMUNITY SERVICES AND FACILITIES ........................................................................................ 27 8.3 CURRENT PROVISION OF COMMUNITY SERVICES ................................................................................................................. 32 8.4 CAPACITY OF EXISTING SERVICES AND FACILITIES TO RESPOND ............................................................................................... 37 8.5 IDENTIFIED NEED FOR AFFORDABLE HOUSING ..................................................................................................................... 43 8.6 RECOMMENDED RESPONSES ........................................................................................................................................... 51 9. CONCLUSION ..................................................................................................................................................... 53 10. ATTACHMENTS .................................................................................................................................................. 54 10.1 RELEVANT AREA BOUNDARIES ...................................................................................................................................... 55 10.2 RELEVANT POPULATION DATA ...................................................................................................................................... 59 10.3 PROVISION RATIO’S USED IN ASSESSMENT ...................................................................................................................... 74 10.4 CURRICULUM VITAE ................................................................................................................................................... 76 FORMER GAS AND FUEL SITE HIGHETT – COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE ASSESSMENT - MARCH 2018 2 List of Abbreviations AEDC Australian Early Development Census CBP Clayton Business Park CIA Community Infrastructure Assessment CISS Community Information and Support Service RAI Rental Affordability Index SAM Small Area Model SEIFA Socio-Economic Index for Areas SHIP Social Housing Investment Planning VIF Victoria-in-Future List of Tables Table 1: Key Findings ...................................................................................................................... 8 Table 2: Highett Population – 2016 - 2036 ....................................................................................... 22 Table 3: Population and Dwelling Projections .................................................................................... 25 Table 4: Average Household Sizes ................................................................................................... 25 Table 5: Age Profile 2036 ............................................................................................................... 26 Table 6: Age Profile for Needs Assessment, 2036 .............................................................................. 26 Table 7: Anticipated Demand for Community Services and Facilities– Former Gas and Fuel Site, Highett ... 27 Table 8: Anticipated Service Providers for Forecast Demand................................................................ 29 Table 9: Anticipated Floor Space Required to Accommodate Service Needs ........................................... 31 Table 10: Current Provision of Council Owned and/or Operated Community Services .............................. 34 Table 11: Current Provision of Privately Operated Community Services ................................................. 35 Table 12: Revised Floor Space Requirements Associated with Demand for Community Services ............... 51 Table 13: Project Consultations ...................................................................................................... 54 Table 14: Highett and Related Areas - Population by Age 2016 – 2036 ................................................. 59 Table 15: Highett and Related Areas – Household Types 2016 - 2036 ................................................... 60 Table 16: Index of Relative Socio-Economic Disadvantage – Kingston Small Areas 2016 ......................... 61 Table 17: Index of Relative Socio-Economic Disadvantage – Bayside Small Areas 2016 ........................... 62 Table 18: Highett and Related Areas – Proficiency in English 2011 – 2016 ............................................ 63 Table 19: Highett and Related Areas – Need for Assistance 2011 – 2016 .............................................. 64 Table 20: City of Kingston Early Years Demographic Profile 2015 ......................................................... 65 Table 21: Number and percentage of children developmentally vulnerable – City of Kingston 2015 ........... 65 Table 22: Doncaster Hill – Household Types 2011 - 2016 ................................................................... 67 Table 23: Doncaster Hill - Household Income Quartiles 2011 - 2016 .................................................... 67 Table 24: Doncaster Hill - Need for Assistance with Core Activities 2011 - 2016 ..................................... 68 Table 25: Highett and Related Areas - Dwelling Type 2011 – 2016 ....................................................... 69 Table 26: Highett and Related Areas – Housing Tenure 2011 – 2016 .................................................... 70 Table 27: Highett and Related Areas – Household Income Quartiles 2011 – 2016 ................................... 71 Table 28: Weekly Household Income– Quartile Group Dollar Ranges .................................................... 72 FORMER GAS AND FUEL SITE HIGHETT – COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE ASSESSMENT - MARCH 2018 3 Table 29: Highett and Related Areas – Housing Loan Repayments 2011 – 2016 ..................................... 72 Table 30: Monthly Housing Loan repayments 2011 - 2016 .................................................................. 72 Table 31: Highett and Related Areas – Housing Rental Quartiles 2011 – 2016 ....................................... 73 Table 32: Monthly Housing Rental Payments 2011 - 2016 ................................................................... 73 Table 33: Community Services and Infrastructure Benchmarks ........................................................... 74 List of Figures Figure 1: Highett Structure Plan Area .............................................................................................. 19 Figure 2: Current Provision of Local Government Owned and/or Managed Community Services ................ 33 Figure 3: Highett Structure Plan – Visual Environment ......................................................................