FILE COPY RESTR I AF63 Vol. 2 Public Disclosure Authorized This report was prepared for use within the Bank and its affiliated organizations. They do not accept responsibility for its accuracy or completeness. The report may not be published nor may it be quoted as representinq their views. INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION Public Disclosure Authorized ECONOMIC TRENDS AND PROSPECTS IN THE REPUBLIC OF GUINEA (in two volumes) Public Disclosure Authorized VOLUME II SECTORAL AND STATISTICAL APPENDIX September 1, 1967 Public Disclosure Authorized Africa Department CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS $ U. S. 1 = G. F. 246.853 G. F. 1 = $ U.S. 0.00405 G. F. 1 billion $ U. S. 4. 05 million TABLE OF CONTENTS VOLUME II - SECTORAL AND STATISTICAL APPENDIX Page No. I. Agriculture ... ....... ... *****1 **** q q q .. Export Products .................................. 3 St.aple Foods *.*-*** * **,......*........ 7 Crops for Industrial Processing ...e........... 9 Some General Considerations ,. , , ., . 10 II. Miinî g and IMinerals Processing, .................... 12 .lumina qaqqqaqqaqqqqaaaaqqqqqqqqq*qqqqqq*qqa *qqa 14 Bauxite .. ** * * *0 * aqqee qse q o q eq qe **aol e o o e * qqa 15 Lron Ore *.. o..........qqqq....qqqo..êq. 18 D:iamonds . .. *.*** .. ... *.*.*e*oqo........ 19 III. Manufacturing ... ......., ...... * 21 IV. Development and Policies in Infrastructure ......... 26 Transportation qq qe ......q.*..q qqqq qeu 26 Flectric Power . ... **.. e * .......29 Telecommunications ... q , . q q 32 Education and Health Services ... ...... 34 - ii - STATISTICJL APPE,.EIX Table No. 1. Population by Region, August 31, 1964 2. Sectoral Distribution of Plan Expenditures, 1960-63 and l964-70 3. Sources of Financing of Plan Expenditures, 1960-63 and 196h-70 h. Estimate of National Accounts of Guinea - Value Added by Sectors, 1963/64 and 1964/65 5. Estimate of National Accounts of Guinea - Destination of Expenditures, 1963/6h and 1964/65 6. Estimate of the Agricultural Product in Guinea, 1963/64 - 1965/66 7. Expenditures of the Central Governnent Budget 1960-1966/67 8n Revenues of the Central Governnent Budget 1960 - 1966/67 9. Regional Governnent Budgets (Income and Expenditures) 1963/64 - 1966/67 10. Regional Governrent's Budget Estimates for the Fiscal Years 1963/6h and 1964/65 11. Income and Expenditures of Public Enterprises, Classified by Type of Activity, 1963/64 and 196U/65 12. Official Distribution of Profits of Public Enterprises, 1962 - 196h/65 13. Assets and Liabilities of the Central Bank, 1960-1966 14. Consolidated Balance Sheet of Specialized Banks, 1j61-jj96 15. Assets and Liabilities of the Credit National (CN), 1965 and 1966 16. Assets and Liabilities of the Banque Guineenne du Commerce Exterieur (BGCE), 1965 and 1966 17. Assets and Liabilities of the Banque Nationale de Developpement Agricole (BNDA), 1965 and 1966 18. Evolution. of Deposits held by the National Savings and Checking Systens, 1962-66 19. Ratio of Central Bank's Claims on Specialized Banks to its Total Assets, and to Clains of Specialized Banks on the Guinean Economy, 1961-66 Table No. 20. Guinea: Monetary Survey, 1960-66 21. Factors Determining Changes in Money Supply, 1961-66 22. Long-Terma Evolution of Agricultural Production (Principal Crops) of Guinea 1955/56 - 1965/66 23. Guinean ]!'âning Enterprises 24. 1Mineral F'roduction and Exports, 1958-66 25. Volume and Destination of Bauxite Exports, 1958-65 26. World Bauxite Production, 1955-64 27. Preliminary Estimate of Economic Results of Boke Bauxite Project 28. Boke Bauxite Project: Basis for Estixaates of Operating Expenses 29. Boke Bauxite Project: Basis for Calculation of Wages and Salaries and Local Currency Capital Costs ikote on Calculation of Foreign Exchange Effects of Boke Bauxite Project 30. Volume and Destination of Iron Ore Exoorts, 1957-66 31. World Iron Ore Production, 1955-6h 32. World Diamond Production, 1961-65 33. Manufacturing Plants Visited by the Mission 34. Manufacturing Plants not Visited by IMission 35. New Manufacturing Projects in the Seven Year Plan 36. Mfiotor Vehicle Registration, 1955-65 37. National Railway Transport, 1957-65 38. Commercial Traffic at Port of Conakry, 1958-65 39. Installed.Electric Power Capacity, 1966/67 40. Electricity Production, 1956-66 41. Societe Mationale d'Electricite; Conakry Operation - Number of Customers, Sales and Revenue, 1965 - iv - Table Uo. 42. Societe Nationale dtElectricite; Conakry Operation - Sales by Class of Customer, 1952-65 43. Electric Power Projects Contained in Seven Year Plan 44. Societe Nationale d'Electricite; Statement of Income Fiscal Year Ended September 30, 1965 45. Rate Structure of Societe Nationale d'Electricite 46. Societe Nationale d'Electricite; Balance Sheet at September 30, 1965 47. Seven Year Development Plan, Telecommunications 48. Education, 1957/58 - 1965/66 h9. Guinean Students Studying on Scholarships Abroad, 1966 50. Foreign Technical Assistance (Experts) Made Available to Guinea (1966) 51. Exports, 1958 - 1965/66 52. Imiports, 1958 - 1965/66 53. Trade Deficit and its Structure, 1958 - 1965/66 54. Balance of Payments 1963 - 1964/65 55. Direction of Foreign Trade - " Distribution of Current Imports and Exports, 1958 - ]1965/66 56. Guinea - External Medium- and Long-Term Public Debt Outstanding, Including Undisbursed, as of June 30, 1966 57. Guinea - Estimated Contractual Service Paynents on Total External Medium- and Long-Tern Public Debt Outstanding, Including Undisbursed as of June 30, 1966 58,. Guinea - Estimated Contractual Service Payments on External Medium- and Long-Ternm Public Debt Outstanding, Including Undisbursed, as of June 30, 1966, by Source of Debt 59. Projections of the External Accounts of Guinea, 1966/67 - 1969/70 Note on the Assuxptions Underlying Projections of the External Accounts I. AGRICULTURE 1. Agriculture constitutes a way of life for most of the coimtry's population ancl an occupation for most of its labor force, though, as has been indicated, it accounts for only slightly more than haLf of total national output. The four distinct geographic regions provide a variety of natural conditions for different types of agricultural activities, but there is little scientific knowledge Rbout suitability for varying types of crops, and there are certain natural disadvantages. Included among the la-tter are the uneven distribution of rainfalL during the year, the deforest- ation and soil exhaustion that have resulted from nomadic cropping and foLiage burning practices, and the isolation and difficulties of transport because of topographic conditions of certain areas such as the Forest Region. 2. Like most other countries of trcpical Africa, Guinea is not densely populated, and most landholdings consist of small individual plots cultivated for subsistence purposes, to which rights accrue because of use rather than because of legal titles. There is only a limited amnount of plantation agriculture on a small scale, for examp,le, in European-held banana and pineapple plantations, and in small government-owned plantations of tea and of cinchona (quinine) trees. Shortly following independence, an effort was made by the government to change the pattern of larid'olding to a collective system. This effort was organized in 1960 in connection with the Three-Year Plan, and was supposedly aimed at organizing most agricultural activities on this basis except for the tapades, the small in.dividually cultivated plots surrounding native households. Centers for Agricultural Modernization were set up in each of the administrative regions to provide equipment, agricultural requisites, training, and extension services. Loans were made by the Agricultural Development Bank to these centers to finance the acquisition of equipment. This effort petered out af'ter several years for lack of proper organization and trained staff. Host loans turned out to be uncollectable, and the Agricultural Develop- ment Bank sucPended these operations. The failure of the effort was undoubtedly due to its wide-ranging approach, instead of being carried out in stages through carefully worked out pilot projects. Except for some isolated cases of collective production activities operating under regional political functionaries, agricultural production is carried out almost entirely on an individual basis. There are, however, some cooperatives wILich deal only with commercial aspects of agriculture, including four European plawnters' coomeratives, and five regional banana cooperatives set u) in 1964, upon the collapse of the nationwide collective effort, to d-Lstribute fertilizers and packing materials and to arrange for transport under the aegis of the Office de la Banane et des Fruits. 3. Official agricultural planning activities and services are weak. The Ministry of Rural Economy, which has never received more than l percent of the national government's operating budget, has only about 1 headquarters officials in Conakry to carry out its efforts throughout the country. The small allocations and expenditures for agriculture under the Plans have already been noted. There are subordinate erployees concerned with agri- culture who work under the four regional ministers annd 29 regional governors. Other national ministries such as Economic Development, Internal Trade, and External Trade and Banking are concerned with certain aspects of agricultural activities, and there is coordination of these with the Ministry of Rural Economy at the policy level through the Council of Ministers. Foreign technical