The Perestroika Deception The world's slide towards THE 'SECOND OCTOBER REVOLUTION' ['WELTOKTOBER'] 11 THE PERESTROIKA DECEPTION By thesameauthor: 'New Lies forOld' completed in 1980 and published in 1984, New York, Dodd,Meadand Co. London, TheBodley Head. Paperback Edition, 1986 by Wheatsheaf Books. The Perestroika Deception Memoranda to the CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY ANATOUY GOUTSYN EDWARD HARLE London &New York IV THE PERESTROIKA DECEPTION First published in Great Britain and the United States in 1995and 1998by: Edward Harle Limited Edward Harle Limited 108Horseferry Road Suite 1209 Westminster 280 Madison Avenue London SWIP 2EF New YorkNY l0016{)802 United Kingdom United States Telephone: +44171-222 2635 Telephone: 212-4475111 Facsimile: +44171-2330185 Facsimile: 212-6791094 Copyright © Anatoliy Golitsyn 1990,1993,1995 and 1998. First published in Great Britain and the United States in 1995. First Edition [1995]: ISBN 1-899798-00-5 Second Edition [1998]: ISBN 1-899798-03-X All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, induding photocopying, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without either prior permission in writing from the publishers or a licence permitting restricted copying. In the United Kingdom such licences are issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London WIP 9HE. The right of Anatoliy Golitsyn to be identified as the Author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with the United Kingdom Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. In the United States, the first version of this work was registered on 12th July 1990by the Register of Copyrights, United States Copyright Office under Registration Number418-457. The second version was registered on 9th September 1993by the Register of Copyrights, United States Copyright Office under Registration Number 592-274. The third version was registered on 24th April 1995by the Register of Copyrights, United States Copyright Office under Registration Number 688-086. The fourth version was regis­ tered on 15th May 1997by the Register of Copyrights, United States Copyright Office under Registration Number 795-631. Library of Congress Catalog Card Number: 95-76304. British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Designed by ChristopherStory FRSA Typeset in Palatino, Century, Futuro, Frutiger andUnivers by: Lithofax Limited, lOBHorseferry Road, Westminster, London SW1P 2EF. Printed in Great Britain by: Lithofax Limited, lOBHorseferry Road, Westminster, London SW1P 2EF. THE PERESTROlKA DECEPTION v InMemory of Jint Angleton Founderand outstandingchief oftheCentral Intelligence Agency's Counter-intelligence, a manofvision and courage, a warriorand comrade-in-arms, whorecognised thedangersof theSoviets' newstrategic challenge VI THE PERESTROIKA DECEPTION ABOUT THE AUTHOR AnatoliyGolitsyn was born in the Ukrainein 1926. While a cadetin military school, he was awarded a Sovietmedal 'For the defenceof Moscow in the GreatPatriotic War' fordigginganti-tanktrenches near Moscow. At the age of fifteen, he joined the Komsomol (League of CommunistYouth) and, at nineteen,he becamea memberof theCommunistParty. In the same year, he joined the KGB, in which he studied and served until 1%1. He graduated from the Moscow School of Military Counter-espionage, the counterintelligence faculty of the High Intelligence School, and the University of Marxism-Leninism and completed a correspondence course with the High Diplo­ maticSchool. In 1952 and early 1953 he was involvedwith a friend in drawing up a proposaltotheCentralCommittee on thereorganisation ofSoviet intelligence. In connection with this proposal he attended a meeting of the secretariat chairedby Stalinand a meetingof the Presidiumchairedby Malenkov and attended by Khrushchev, Brezhnev and Bulganin. In 1952-53 he worked briefly as head of a sectionresponsible forcounter-espionage againstthe UnitedStates. In 1959 he grad­ uated with a law degreefroma four-year courseat the KGB Institute(nowthe KGB Academy) in Moscow. From1959 to 1960, at a timewhen Sovietlong-range strategywas beingfor­ mulated and the KGB was being reorganised to play its part in it, he served as a senioranalystin the NATO sectionofthe Information Departmentof theSoviet intel­ ligence service. He served in Vienna and Helsinki on counterintelligence assign­ mentsfrom1953 to 1955 and from1960 to 1%1,respectively. He defected to the UnitedStatesin December 1%1.Subsequently, his contri­ bution to the national securityof leading Western countrieswas recognised by the award of theUnitedStatesGovernmentMedalforDistinguished Service. He was made an Honorary Commander of the British Empire (CBE). A promiseof membershipof the Legion d'Honneur made when President Pompidou was in power was not fulfilled owingto the changeofgovernment. Since 1962, theAuthor hasspent muchofhistimeon the study ofCommunist and international affairs, readingboth the Communistand the Western press. In 1980 he completed, and in 1984 he published,'Neu: Lies for Old', a study ofthe Soviet long­ rangestrategyofdeceptionand disinformation. For over thirty years, the Author has submitted Memoranda to the Central Intelligence Agency, in which he has provided the Agency with timelyand largely accurateforecasts ofSovietBloc developments and on the evolution ofSoviet/Russ­ ian/Communist strategy. Byapplying the dialectical methodology whichdrivesthe strategy, the Author has been able to score innumerable 'bulls-eyes'. This unparal­ leled trackrecord reflects the Author's personalexperience offouryearsin theKGB's strategy 'think tank', together with his deep understanding of the dialectical nature of thestrategyand the Leninist mentalityofitsoriginators and implementers. TheAuthoris a citizenof theUnitedStates.• THE PERESTROIKA DECEPTION VII Contents AbouttheAuthor VI Acknowledgments XVI Foreword by the Author XVII Introduction byChristopher Story, Editor& Publisher, SoVIET ANALYST XXI PART ONE: THE IPERESTROlKA1 DECEPTlON 1 The world's slide towards the 'Second October Revolution' ['Weltoktober1 Organisation ofthe documents 2 About the Memoranda 2 Memorandum to the Central Intelligence Agency: March 1989 3 Predicting, understandingand dealingwith 'Perestroika' 3 Predictions of 'perestroika' in 'New Lies for Old' 3 Additionalpredictionson 'perestroika' in Memorandato the CIA: 8 July4,1984; July5,1985; August1985 8 Winter 1986; March 1987 10 Correct predictionsbased on the new method of analysis 11 Theadoptionofthelong-range strategyof 'perestroika' 12 Soviet research and preparation forthe strategy 13 TheKGB's rolein thepreparation of 'perestroika' 14 Experiments and rehearsals for 'perestroika' 15 'Peresiroika', thefinal phase: its mainobjectives 17 Theessence of'perestroika': Anapplication of1920s' Leninism 18 Thechoice ofPartyand Government leadersfor'peresiroika' 20 Corbachev asPartyLeaderand President 20 Thechoice ofLigachev and Yeltsin ascritics fromrightand left 21 Shevardnadze as Foreign Minister 21 Yakovlev as HeadoftheForeign Policy Commission 21 Chebrikov asHeadoftheJudicial Commission 22 Kryuchkov asHeadoftheKGB 22 Dubinin asSoviet Ambassador in Washington 23 President Reagan hugsthe Bear 23 TheSoviet campaign toengagetheAmerican elite 24 Dialectics ofthestrategyand the predictive powerofthe newmethod 26 Predictions on the execution ofthe strategy'sFinalPhase 27 Increased roleoftheCommunistParty 27 Stronger, maturerideology 27 Animproved, reorganised KGB 28 ThenewmodelSoviet regime 28 'Restructuring' in Eastern Europeand China 29 'Restructuring' in Western Europe 29 'Restructuring' in theThirdWorld 30 VIII THE PERESTROIKA DECEPTION 'Restructuring' American military-politicalalliances 31 'Restructuring' in the United States 31 The Sovietcampaign against anti-Communists in the West 32 Sovietintentions towards the next electionsin the United States and Western Europe:The RadicalLeft 33 The possible replacement of Gorbachev 34 China: A strategic enemy of the United States 35 DefectiveWesternmethods of analysis 36 The defects of Westerncounter-intelligence 39 Fallaciesabout Gorbachev and 'perestroika' 39 The need for an American counter-strategy 41 The crisisof analysis and measures to improve it 42 Dr Brzezinski'sstrategy for the Westin Eastern Europe 43 The need to improve Westernintelligenceand counter-intelligence 45 The pressing need for public exposure of the strategy of 'peresiroika' 45 The advantages of exposure 47 PART Two: CoMP.u4I5T GRAND StRAtEGIES AND WEs1ERN IWJSIONS 49 Memorandum to theCentral Intelligence Agency:4 January 1988 50 An assessment of Gorbachevs visit to the United States in the light of the Grand Soviet Deception Strategy 50 The three Grand Strategies 51 The First Grand Strategy 51 The Second Grand Strategy 52 The Third and present Grand Strategy 54 The Third Grand Strategy's main objectives 54 'Convergence' through tactical changes and disinformation 56 American official tactics versus Soviet official strategy 57 Gorbachev's US visit a TrojanHorse to engage the American elite in the strategy of 'convergence' 60 The need for counteraction by the United States 61 The Author's suggestions 63 PART THREE: WEsTERN COUN'TD-STRAtEGY AGAINST IPERESTROIICAI 65 Memorandum to theCentral Intelligence Agency: September 1988 66 Western counter-strategy against 'perestroika' 66 Past American strategic mistakes in dealing with the Communist world 66 The mistakes of the Vietnamperiod