iLembe District Municipality – Quarterly Economic Indicators and Intelligence Report: 4th Quarter 2011 ILEMBE DISTRICT MUNICIPALITY NOVEMBER 2010 QUARTERLY ECONOMIC INDICATORSNOVEMBER 2010 AND INTELLIGENCE REPORT FOURTH QUARTER October - December 2011 Enterprise iLembe Cnr Link Road and Ballito Drive Ballito, KwaZulu-Natal Tel: 032 – 946 1256 Fax: 032 – 946 3515 iLembe District Municipality – Quarterly Economic Indicators and Intelligence Report: 4th Quarter 2011 FOREWORD This intelligence report comprises of an assessment of key economic indicators for the iLembe District Municipality for the fourth quarter of 2011, i.e. October to December 2011. This is the fourth edition of the quarterly reports which are unique to iLembe as we are the only district municipality to publish such a report. The overall objective of this project is to present economic indicators and economic intelligence to assist Enterprise iLembe in driving its mandate, which is to promote trade and investment and to drive economic development in the District of iLembe. This quarter’s edition not only describes historical trends but also takes a brief look at the future of iLembe through the eyes of district planners. Their plan looks forward 30 years to an iLembe that is thriving of the back of large scale agricultural, manufacturing, resort, and renewable energy investments. The result is a highly connected and integrated district, where Ballito and KwaDukuza have formed a metro, and the north coast has become the tourism destination of choice. Readers are asked to comment on this future scenario and the steps needed to get there. This quarter’s report provides also an update on the work we, at Enterprise iLembe, are doing. We are proud to say that we have succeeded in creating 78 jobs this quarter in agriculture alone through continued success of our open farm and agricultural projects. Read more about these projects and others in the Enterprise iLembe Updates section. Other interesting sections include the business confidence section, where iLembe is still showing higher confidence than other areas in South Africa, and the Employment section which also brings good news of employment increases in quarter four. Kanyi Gasa, Chief Executive Officer Enterprise iLembe Page | 2 iLembe District Municipality – Quarterly Economic Indicators and Intelligence Report: 4th Quarter 2011 Table of Contents Foreword ................................................................................................................................................................. 2 Summary of Key Indicators ..................................................................................................................................... 6 Overview of the iLembe District Economy .............................................................................................................. 8 Latest News and Developments within iLembe ...................................................................................................... 9 Enterprise iLembe Update (Q4) ......................................................................................................................... 12 Section One: iLembe Economic Indicators and Analysis (Quarterly Data) ......................................................... 14 Summary of the State of the Economy: Quarter 4, 2011 .................................................................................. 14 Business Confidence .......................................................................................................................................... 16 Building Plans and New Service Connections for KwaDukuza ........................................................................... 21 Transport Trends ............................................................................................................................................... 24 Employment Indices for South Africa ................................................................................................................ 31 Enterprise iLembe Business Expansion & Retention Survey ............................................................................. 34 Section Two: iLembe Economic Indicators and Analysis (Base Data) ................................................................... 38 Demographic Profile .......................................................................................................................................... 38 Socio-Economic Indicators ................................................................................................................................. 43 The Informal Economy ................................................................................................................................... 50 Production, Expenditure and Investment .......................................................................................................... 53 ANNEXURE ASSUMPTIONS AND COMPREHENSIVE ECONOMIC INDICATORS ................................................. 60 A1.1 Population and Households .................................................................................................................. 60 A1.2 Racial Profile .......................................................................................................................................... 60 A1.3 HIV and AIDS ......................................................................................................................................... 61 A1.4 Gender Profile ....................................................................................................................................... 61 A1.5 Age Profile ............................................................................................................................................. 61 A1.6 Energy used for Lighting ........................................................................................................................ 63 A1.7 Type of Toilet ........................................................................................................................................ 63 A1.8 Water .................................................................................................................................................... 64 A1.9 Type of Dwelling .................................................................................................................................... 65 Page | 3 iLembe District Municipality – Quarterly Economic Indicators and Intelligence Report: 4th Quarter 2011 A1.10 Education Level ................................................................................................................................ 66 A1.11 Employment and Unemployment .................................................................................................... 67 A1.12 Employment by type and skill level .................................................................................................. 68 A1.13 Employment by Industry .................................................................................................................. 68 A1.14 Gross Geographic Product by Industry ............................................................................................ 69 A1.15 Income and Expenditure .................................................................................................................. 70 A1.16 Expenditure by Category .................................................................................................................. 71 A1.17 Expenditure by sub-category ........................................................................................................... 71 A1.18 Domestic Fixed Capital Investment by Investment Type ................................................................. 73 A1.19 Domestic Fixed Capital Investment by Industry ............................................................................... 74 A1.20 Building Plans KwaDukuza ................................................................................................................ 74 A1.21 New Service Connections KwaDukuza .............................................................................................. 75 A1.22 Airport Passenger Movements ......................................................................................................... 76 A1.23 Port Movements .............................................................................................................................. 76 LIST OF GRAPHS Figure 1 Business Confidence, iLembe .................................................................................................................. 16 Graph 2 Racial Profile for 2010 ............................................................................................................................. 40 Graph 3 Gender profile 2010 ................................................................................................................................ 40 Graph 4 Age Distribution for 2010 ........................................................................................................................ 41 Graph 5 HIV Positive and AIDS deaths (2010) ....................................................................................................... 42 Graph 6 Energy used for lighting (2010) ............................................................................................................... 43 Graph 7 Type of