WARD PROFILE: COCKFOSTERS 2021 Cockfosters Ward is situated in the west of the Borough, bordered by the London Borough of Barnet to the west and by the wards of Chase, Highlands and Southgate to the east. It is covered by postal districts EN4 and N14. Ward Profile This Profile is intended to provide a guide to the demography, social and economic data and Council facilities in the ward. It has been collated using the most up to date local-level data relating to 2020/21 as far as possible. A variety of statistical sources, both national and local, have been used in its compilation. Appendix A has a table of key statistics for at a glance comparison with Borough averages. Political Makeup The ward is represented by the following Councillors: Votes received Name Party Contact in 2018 election Alessandro Georgiou Conservative 020 8379 2849 2,363 Elaine Hayward Conservative 020 8440 5439 2,406 Edward Smith Conservative 020 8351 1387 2,279 At the 2018 Council elections, voter turnout in Cockfosters was 39%. Cockfosters ward falls in the parliamentary seat of Enfield Southgate. Demography Summary Statistics Measure Cockfosters Enfield Source Population Estimate (2019) 14,373 333,794 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Children aged 0-15 2,706 76,137 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Working-age people (16-64) 8,730 213,093 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Older people aged 65+ 2,937 44,564 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Children aged 0-15 18.8 22.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Working-age (16-64) 60.7 63.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Older people aged 65+ 20.4 13.4 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % BAME - 2019 24.3 36.6 Enfield Council Estimates 2019 % BAME - 2011 26.3 39.0 Census 2011 % Not Born in UK - 2011 30.5 35.1 Census 2011 % English is First Language of no one in 9.5 14.1 Census 2011 household - 2011 Ministry for Housing, Communities Area - Square Kilometres 10.4 82.2 and Local Government ONS mid-year estimates 2019 / Population density (people per sq km) 1,382 4,061 MHCLG Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 2 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Population Based on the ONS mid-year estimates 2019, the total population for the ward is estimated to be 14,373. This is the sixth smallest population of the 21 wards in Enfield. The population of Cockfosters is estimated to have grown by 3.9% since the 2011 Census – lower than the average increase across the borough. The percentages of male and female residents in Cockfosters Ward are 48.8% and 51.2% respectively. Males outnumber females in most age bands up to 35 years, after which there are more women in all groups. See chart above right. Age Profile The proportion of children and of adults aged up to 44 years is lower than the borough average, with the proportion of residents aged 55 and over being significantly higher. For more detail, see appendix. Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 3 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Ethnicity The ward contains relatively large numbers in the White British, Greek and Greek Cypriot groups. As at the 2011 Census, the percentages of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic Group (BAME) was 26.3% and Non-UK Born residents was 30.5%. The percentage of households without English as a first language was 9.5% Enfield Council’s own 2019 estimates give the ward’s BAME Group to be 24.3% of the total population. Ethnicity estimates are produced in-house, using data from the 2001 and 2011 Censuses and the School Census conducted by the local education authority (LEA). The School Census results indicate the changing nature of the population and Enfield pupils recorded themselves under 95 different ethnic codes. Ward ethnicity populations have been consolidated and estimated for the 22 groups that make up the Council’s standard ethnic group classification (see table below)1. Cockfosters Borough Ethnicity (2019) Estimated Estimated % % No. No. White British 6,920 46.7 128463 38.3 White Irish 270 1.8 6427 1.9 Greek 337 2.3 3862 1.2 Greek Cypriot 1,714 11.6 15612 4.7 Turkish 508 3.4 25413 7.6 Turkish Cypriot 207 1.4 6079 1.8 Kurdish 99 0.7 4152 1.2 White Other 1,170 7.9 22501 6.7 White & Black Caribbean 89 0.6 4248 1.3 White and Asian 186 1.3 3627 1.1 White and Black African 70 0.5 2303 0.7 Other mixed 248 1.7 6562 2.0 Indian 811 5.5 11066 3.3 Pakistani 123 0.8 2407 0.7 Bangladeshi 119 0.8 5971 1.8 Chinese 148 1.0 2441 0.7 Other Asian 467 3.1 11954 3.6 Somali 71 0.5 9160 2.7 Other Black African 529 3.6 25032 7.5 Black Caribbean 224 1.5 17561 5.2 Other Black 60 0.4 8285 2.5 Other Ethnic Group 459 3.1 12300 3.7 1Please note totals will not sum with ONS population estimates. Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 4 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Language The main languages of residents* given by 2011 Census estimates are: English 11,082 83% Turkish 370 3% Greek 365 3% Gujarati 182 1% Polish 149 1% * aged 3 and over Religion Regarding religion, the best guide is the 2011 Census. This showed the religious composition of the ward as: Borough Religion No. % share average % Christian 6895 50.0 53.6 Buddhist 108 0.8 0.6 Hindu 679 4.9 3.5 Jewish 1256 9.1 1.4 Muslim 1374 10.0 16.7 Sikh 48 0.3 0.3 Other/none/not stated 3428 24.9 23.8 Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 5 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Socio -economic factors Socio-economic classification The 2011 Census results showed that Cockfosters had an above average proportion of people in managerial groups with about 25% more people than would be expected from the Borough average. Low income households Cockfosters had the third highest average (median) household income of the 21 wards in Enfield, as estimated by CACI in 2021. Average household income in the ward is above the median level for the borough as a whole. It is also higher than the London median average. The proportion of households with an income of less than £15,000 was put at 11.4% compared to a Borough average of 15.4%. This was the 13th highest proportion of the 21 wards, and is lower than the London average. Provisional statistics from the Department for Work and Pensions indicate that, at 2020, 383 children in the ward (14.2% of the total) were living in families with relative low income, and 294 (10.9%) were in families of Absolute low income2. The proportions of children in poverty compared with local, regional and national averages are shown in the chart below. 2 Relative low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for that year. Absolute low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for the period 2010-2011. 6 Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Benefit Claims • At June 2021, the claimant count3 in Cockfosters was 450, representing 5.1% of the local working- age population. • At February 2021, 17% of households in the ward (925) were claiming Universal Credit – this includes working households. Economically active people The estimated proportion of people in work or looking for work (the economically active) was slightly lower than the borough average in 2011. For number and rates see appendix. Deprivation score The Indices of Deprivation 2019 – produced for the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government– can be used to calculate the likely deprivation ranking of the ward. Analysis carried out by the Local Government Association indicates that, within Enfield, Cockfosters is the 17th most deprived (or 5th least deprived) of the 21 wards in the Borough. The same analysis estimates that it is among the 50% least deprived wards in England. The map illustrates deprivation levels for wards in Enfield, when compared with the rest of the 7,180 wards in England for which data were available. Fuel Poverty Ward-level analysis of government statistics4 reveal that, as at 2019, 11.3% of households in the ward were in fuel poverty. This proportion was lower than both the borough and England averages. 3 The ‘narrow’ measure of unemployment: the number of people receiving either Job Seekers’ Allowance, or unemployed claimants of Universal Credit who are required to seek work. 4 Published by Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy 7 Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Crime Appendix A has two crime related indicators by which the ward is compared to the Borough average:- • Crime rate • Anti-social behaviour rate The latest crime rates and trends can be obtained from the Metropolitan Police crime mapping website. Health The most recent estimates of the life expectancies5 for men and women in the ward are both higher than the respective Enfield averages.