Technical Memorandum CORE MPO Freight Study – Final Report Prepared by: December 2015 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................... 1‐1 2. Regional Multimodal Freight Overview ........................................................................................... 2‐1 2.1 Highway System Profile .............................................................................................................................. 2‐1 2.1.1 Roadway Network......................................................................................................................... 2‐1 2.1.2 Pavement Condition ..................................................................................................................... 2‐6 2.1.3 Railroad Crossings ........................................................................................................................ 2‐7 2.1.4 Bridges ............................................................................................................................................... 2‐9 2.2 Air Cargo System Profile .......................................................................................................................... 2‐11 2.2.1 Facilities ......................................................................................................................................... 2‐11 2.3 Rail System Profile ...................................................................................................................................... 2‐13 2.4 Maritime Transport System Profile ..................................................................................................... 2‐16 2.4.1 Facilities ......................................................................................................................................... 2‐17 2.5 Connectivity to Intermodal System Profile ...................................................................................... 2‐18 3. Freight Growth .......................................................................................................................................... 3‐1 3.1 Forecasting Freight Growth ....................................................................................................................... 3‐1 3.1.1 Methodology .................................................................................................................................... 3‐1 3.1.2 Data Sources for FAF Disaggregation .................................................................................... 3‐1 4. Future Freight Demand ......................................................................................................................... 4‐1 4.1 Projected Commodity Flow ....................................................................................................................... 4‐1 4.1.1 Truck Imports/Exports ............................................................................................................... 4‐1 4.1.2 Rail Imports/Exports ................................................................................................................... 4‐5 4.1.3 Water Imports/Exports ........................................................................................................... 4‐13 4.1.4 Air Imports/Exports ................................................................................................................. 4‐14 5. Economic Development Market Assessment ................................................................................. 5‐1 5.1 Regional Population Growth ..................................................................................................................... 5‐1 5.2 Economic Role of Freight ............................................................................................................................ 5‐1 5.3 Major Freight Industries and Associated Commodities ................................................................. 5‐3 5.3.1 Manufacturing ................................................................................................................................ 5‐3 5.3.2 Transportation and Warehousing .......................................................................................... 5‐4 5.3.3 Labor Force and Employment .................................................................................................. 5‐5 5.3.4 Relationships with Other Regions .......................................................................................... 5‐7 5.4 Supply Chain and Transportation ........................................................................................................... 5‐8 5.4.1 Supply Chain Overview ............................................................................................................... 5‐9 5.4.2 Roadway ............................................................................................................................................ 5‐9 5.4.3 Rail .................................................................................................................................................... 5‐13 5.4.4 Water ............................................................................................................................................... 5‐16 5.4.5 Air ..................................................................................................................................................... 5‐21 i CORE MPO FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION PLAN – PHASE II Technical Memorandum Final Report 5.4.6 Other Freight Facilities ............................................................................................................ 5‐22 5.5 Areas of Future Growth ............................................................................................................................ 5‐25 5.5.1 Industry Growth Forecast ....................................................................................................... 5‐26 5.5.2 Impacts on Freight Transportation..................................................................................... 5‐32 6. Freight Trends, Needs, Issues, and Deficiencies ........................................................................... 6‐1 6.1 Freight Infrastructure .................................................................................................................................. 6‐1 6.1.1 Rail System ....................................................................................................................................... 6‐1 6.1.2 Air Cargo ........................................................................................................................................... 6‐1 6.1.3 Maritime Transport System ...................................................................................................... 6‐1 6.2 Freight Generators ........................................................................................................................................ 6‐2 6.2.1 Distribution ...................................................................................................................................... 6‐4 6.2.2 Government and Military ........................................................................................................... 6‐6 6.2.3 Healthcare ........................................................................................................................................ 6‐6 6.2.4 International .................................................................................................................................... 6‐9 6.2.5 Manufacturing ............................................................................................................................. 6‐11 6.3 Safety and Security ..................................................................................................................................... 6‐13 6.3.1 Crash Hot Spots Analysis ......................................................................................................... 6‐13 6.3.2 Potential Crash Hot Spot Locations from Freight Advisory Committee .............. 6‐16 6.4 System Capacity ........................................................................................................................................... 6‐16 6.4.1 Traffic Count Data ...................................................................................................................... 6‐16 6.4.2 Network Bottlenecks ................................................................................................................ 6‐17 6.4.3 Potential Bottleneck Locations from Freight Advisory Committee ....................... 6‐19 7. Freight Performance Measures .......................................................................................................... 7‐1 7.1 Next Planning Steps ...................................................................................................................................... 7‐1 7.2 Existing Measures .......................................................................................................................................... 7‐1 7.2.1 National ............................................................................................................................................. 7‐1 7.2.2 State ...................................................................................................................................................