CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS English Edition VolumeISSN 1404-609121 Issue 2 ( Print2020) ISSN 2002-3839 (Online) CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS English Edition Journal of Social and Political Studies Volume 21 Issue 2 2020 CA&C Press AB SWEDEN 1 Volume 21 Issue 2 2020 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS English Edition FOUNDED AND PUBLISHED BY INSTITUTE FOR CENTRAL ASIAN AND CAUCASIAN STUDIES Registration number: 620720-0459 State Administration for Patents and Registration of Sweden CA&C PRESS AB Publishing House Registration number: 556699-5964 Companies registration Office of Sweden Journal registration number: 23 614 State Administration for Patents and Registration of Sweden E d i t o r s Murad ESENOV Editor-in-Chief Tel./fax: (46) 70 232 16 55; E-mail: [email protected] Kalamkas represents the journal in Kazakhstan (Nur-Sultan) YESSIMOVA Tel./fax: (7 - 701) 7408600; E-mail: [email protected] Ainura represents the journal in Kyrgyzstan (Bishkek) ELEBAEVA Tel./fax: (996 - 312) 61 30 36; E-mail: [email protected] Saodat OLIMOVA represents the journal in Tajikistan (Dushanbe) Tel.: (992 372) 21 89 95; E-mail: [email protected] Farkhad represents the journal in Uzbekistan (Tashkent) TOLIPOV Tel.: (9987 - 1) 225 43 22; E-mail: [email protected] Kenan represents the journal in Azerbaijan (Baku) ALLAHVERDIEV Tel.: (+994 - 50) 325 10 50; E-mail: [email protected] David represents the journal in Armenia (Erevan) PETROSYAN Tel.: (374 - 10) 56 88 10; E-mail: [email protected] Vakhtang represents the journal in Georgia (Tbilisi) CHARAIA Тел.: +995 593 13 18 11; E-mail: [email protected] Vladimir MESAMED represents the journal in the Middle East (Jerusalem) Tel.: (972 - 2) 5882332; E-mail: [email protected] Sun ZHUANGZHI represents the journal in China (Beijing) Tel.: (86) 10-64039088; E-mail: [email protected] Irina EGOROVA represents the journal in the Russian Federation (Moscow) Tel.: (7 - 495) 3163146; E-mail: [email protected] Rustem represents the journal in Ukraine (Kiev) ZHANGUZHIN Tel.: (380 - 44) 524-79-13; E-mail: [email protected] 2 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS English Edition Volume 21 Issue 2 2020 E D I T O R I A L B O A R D Vakhit AKAEV Chief Researcher, Ibragimov Integrated Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, D.Sc. (Philosophy), Professor, Member of the Academy of Sciences of the Chechen Republic, Honored Scientist of the Chechen Republic, Expert of the Russian Academy of Sciences (Russia) Mariam ARUNOVA Ph.D. (History), leading research associate, Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences (Russia) Svante E. CORNELL Professor, Research Director, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, Silk Road Studies Program, Johns Hopkins University-SAIS (U.S.A.) Jannatkhan Ph.D. (Political Science), Associate Professor, Department of International Relations EYVAZOV at Azerbaijan Tourism and Management University (Azerbaijan) William FIERMAN D.Sc. (Political Science), Professor of Indiana University (U.S.A.) Sergey GRETSKY Doctor, Chair of Central Asian Studies, Foreign Service Institute, U.S. Department of State (U.S.A.) Xing GUANGCHENG D.Sc. (Political Science), Professor, Deputy Director of the Institute for East European, Russian and Central Asian Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (China) Alexander President, Institute of Religion and Politics, Doctor of Philosophy, specialist in Islamic studies, leading expert of IGNATENKO the Institute of Social Systems, Moscow State University, member of the Council for Cooperation with Religious Associations under the Russian Federation President (Russia) Ashurboi IMOMOV Ph.D. (Law), Assistant Professor, Head of the Department of Constitutional Law, Tajik National University (Tajikistan) Stephen F. JONES Professor, Russian and Eurasian Studies, Mount Holyoke College (U.S.A.) Lena JONSON Doctor, senior researcher, Swedish Institute of International Affairs (Sweden) Klara KHAFIZOVA D.Sc. (History), Director, Center for Strategic and International Studies, Professor at the International Relations and Foreign Policy Department, Kainar University (Kazakhstan) Zaynidin D.Sc. (History), Professor, Head of the Chair of International Relations, the Kyrgyz-Russian University KURMANOV (Kyrgyzstan) Jacob M. LANDAU Professor of Political Science, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem (Israel) Alexei D.Sc. (History), Professor, Scholar-in-Residence, Ethnicity and Nation-Building Program Co-Chair, The Carnegie MALASHENKO Moscow Center (Russia) Abbas MALEKI Doctor, Director General, International Institute for Caspian Studies (Iran) Roger N. Research Associate, the Institute of Middle East, Central Asia and Caucasus Studies (MECACS), University of McDERMOTT St. Andrews, Scotland (Great Britain) Vitaly NAUMKIN D.Sc. (History), Professor, Director, Center for Strategic and International Studies of RF (Russia) Yerengaip OMAROV Professor, Rector of Kainar University, President of the Academy of Natural Sciences, Republic of Kazakhstan (Kazakhstan) Vladimer PAPAVA D.Sc. (Economy), Professor, Faculty of Economics and Business, Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, Member of the Georgian National Academy of Sciences (Georgia) Vladimir PARAMONOV Ph.D., Founder & Director of the Central Eurasia Analytical Group and Internet Project (Uzbekistan) Mirzokhid D.Sc. (History), Professor, Head of the Contemporary History and International Relations Department, RAKHIMOV Institute of History, Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Uzbekistan (Uzbekistan) S. Frederick STARR Professor, Chairman, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, The Johns Hopkins University (U.S.A.) James V. WERTSCH Professor, Director of the International and Regional Studies Program, Washington University in St. Louis (U.S.A.) The materials that appear in the journal do not necessarily reflect the Editorial Board and the Editors’ opinion EDITORIAL OFFICE: CA&C Press AB, Hubertusstigen 9. 97455 Luleå, SWEDEN WEB ADDRESS: http://www.ca-c.org © Central Asia and the Caucasus, English Edition, 2020 © CA&C Press AB, 2020 3 Volume 21 Issue 2 2020 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS English Edition CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS English Edition Journal of Social and Political Studies Volume 21 Issue 2 2020 IN THIS ISSUE: REGIONAL POLICY Anna Czyż. TEN YEARS OF THE EASTERN PARTNERSHIP: EXPERIENCES AND PERSPECTIVES ............................. 7 Nuriddin Sultanmuratov, Fatima Kukeyeva, Yermek Chukubayev, KAZAKH-TURKISH LYCEUMS: Kuralay Baizakova. PROMOTION OF GÜLENISM IN KAZAKHSTAN ............... 17 Oleg Karpovich, ISRAEL: Adelina Nogmova, THE NEW PERIPHERAL STRATEGY Larisa Aleksanyan. IN CENTRAL ASIA............................................................... 28 Sergey Zhiltsov, Igor Zonn, ISRAEL IN THE SOUTHERN CAUCASUS: Nicolai Orlovsky. POLITICAL ASPECTS ......................................................... 41 Takhir Ganiev, MILITARY STANDOFF BETWEEN THE U.S. AND IRAN: Vladimir Karyakin, THE PARTIES’ MILITARY POTENTIALS AND Sergey Zadonsky. HYPOTHETICAL SCENARIOS OF CONFLICT DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIDDLE EAST ......................... 50 NATION-BUILDING Agnieszka Miarka. ARMENIA’S DOMESTIC POLICY AFTER THE VELVET REVOLUTION: SELECTED ISSUES ................ 66 4 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS English Edition Volume 21 Issue 2 2020 Gabit Konusov, REGULATION OF RELATIONS BETWEEN Yang Li, THE STATE AND RELIGIOUS CONFESSIONS Taisia Marmontova. IN THE PRC AND THE RK: AN ATTEMPT AT COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS .................... 76 REGIONAL INTEGRATION Dzhamilya Gusenova, CONTEMPORARY ISSUES AND Naila Sarkarova, WAYS OF IMPLEMENTING THE GREAT SILK Siyadat Alibekova, ROAD TOURISM PROJECT Gabibat Baisaidova. IN THE CENTRAL ASIAN REPUBLICS ........................... 85 Aziz Mullaev. COMPREHENSION OF CHINA’S BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE AND ITS EFFECT ON UZBEKISTAN ................................................................ 98 ENERGY POLICY Ramakrushna Pradhan, Sunil Kumar Padhi, Sachita Nanda Sa, THE ENERGY FACTOR IN THE GEOPOLITICS OF Smruti Sikta Thapa. CENTRAL ASIA IN THE POST-REFORM PERIOD ...... 110 Raikhan Zhanbulatova, THE ENERGY VECTOR OF Miras Zhiyenbayev, KAZAKHSTAN-RUSSIA RELATIONS Maira Dyusembekova, IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL CHANGES Roza Nurtazina. ON THE INTERNATIONAL ENERGY MARKET ............ 121 ETHNIC RELATIONS AND MIGRATION Alexey Bragin. HOW CAN MIGRANTS INFLUENCE DEMOCRACY IN THEIR COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN? CASE STUDY: CIS COUNTRIES OF CENTRAL ASIA ........................... 131 Artem Lukyanets, Sergey Ryazantsev, THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CONSEQUENCES OF Evgenia Moiseeva, ENVIRONMENTAL MIGRATION Roman Manshin. IN THE CENTRAL ASIAN COUNTRIES ........................... 142 5 Volume 21 Issue 2 2020 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS English Edition FOR YOUR INFORMATION The Special Feature section in the next three issues will discuss: Eurasia: Politics Today Eurasia: Energy Policy and Energy Projects China’s Infrastructure Projects in the Black Sea-Caspian Region Contributors please use the following guidelines: — all articles accepted are published in Russian and English, in the Russian-language and English-language versions of the journal, respectively. The articles must be submitted to the editorial staff in Russian or English. The editorial board has its team of translators whose services are paid by the authors; translations done by the authors independently or with the help of other translators will not be accepted; — begin articles with a brief abstract of 300-500 words and keywords; — articles should be no less than 3,000 and no more than 6,000 words, including footnotes; —