Scandinavian Mediterranean Fourth Work Plan of the European Coordinator Pat Cox SEPTEMBER 2020 Mobility and Transport SEPTEMBER 2020 This report represents the opinion of the European Coordinator and does not prejudice the official position of the European Commission. The European Commission does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this report. Neither the Commission nor any person acting on the Commission’s behalf may be held responsible for any potential use which may be made of the information contained herein. Study on Scan-Med TEN-T Core Network Corridor, 3rd Phase, Work Plan 4 Table of Content th 1 Towards the Scandinavian-Mediterranean Corridor 4 Work Plan ................. 7 1.1 Introduction .......................................................................................... 7 1.2 Achievements along the Corridor since 2014 ............................................. 7 2 Characteristics of the Scan-Med Corridor .................................................12 2.1 Alignment ............................................................................................ 12 2.2 Compliance 2018 and 2030 with the TEN-T guidelines parameters .............. 14 2.3 Persisting bottlenecks and missing links ................................................... 23 3 Transport Market Study .........................................................................27 3.1 Current flows along the Corridor ............................................................. 27 3.2 The Corridor scenario ............................................................................ 32 4 What has still to be realised by 2030 .......................................................34 4.1 Rail & RRT ........................................................................................... 37 4.2 The ERTMS deployment 2023 ................................................................. 39 4.3 Road transport ..................................................................................... 41 4.4 Airports ............................................................................................... 42 4.5 Maritime Ports and Motorways of the Sea ................................................ 43 4.6 Innovation deployment of alternative fuels infrastructure ........................... 44 5 Funding and Financing ...........................................................................45 5.1 The funding needs ................................................................................ 45 5.2 Innovative financial tools ....................................................................... 47 6 The European Coordinator’s recommendations and future outlook...............48 2020 3 Study on Scan-Med TEN-T Core Network Corridor, 3rd Phase, Work Plan 4 Figures Figure 1: Alignment of the Scan-Med Corridor ......................................................13 Figure 2: Map of rail compliance by 2030.............................................................15 Figure 3: Map of road compliance by 2030 ...........................................................17 Figure 4: Map of airport compliance by 2030 ........................................................19 Figure 5: Map of Seaport compliance by 2030 ......................................................21 Figure 6: Map of Rail-Road Terminal compliance by 2030 ......................................23 Figure 7: Bidirectional passenger trains per year along the Scan-Med Corridor, 2016 28 Figure 8: Bidirectional freight trains per year along the Scan-Med Corridor, 2016 .....29 Figure 9: Bidirectional daily car traffic along the Scan-Med Corridor, 2016 ...............30 Figure 10: Bidirectional daily heavy vehicles traffic along the Scan-Med Corridor, 2016 ......................................................................................................................31 Figure 11: Projects by category and country (total 817 projects) ............................35 Figure 12: Projects by completion time cluster (total 817 projects) .........................35 Figure 13: Rail and RRT projects on the Scan-Med corridor by country (total: 200 Rail, 57 RRT) ...........................................................................................................37 Figure 14: Current status by country and deployment per status (ETCS) .................40 Figure 15: Road projects on the Scan-Med corridor by country (total: 171) ..............41 Figure 16: Ongoing or planned projects: KPI-relevance .........................................45 Figure 17: Ongoing or planned projects and their financing ....................................46 Figure 19: Ongoing or planned projects: Financial sustainability .............................47 2020 4 Study on Scan-Med TEN-T Core Network Corridor, 3rd Phase, Work Plan 4 Tables Table 1: Number of projects completed 2014–2018, by country and project category, and their total cost in billion € ............................................................................. 8 Table 2: Projects with end date “unknown” or “after 2030” and at least one “KPI achieved” ......................................................................................................... 9 Table 3: Compliance with TEN-T rail requirements by 2018 ....................................14 Table 4: Road infrastructure - Compliance with TEN-T requirements by 2018 ...........17 Table 5: Seaports infrastructure - Compliance with TEN-T requirements by 2018......20 Table 6: Rail-Road terminals - Compliance with TEN-T requirements by 2018 ..........22 Table 7: Number of projects still to be completed 2019–2030, by country and project category, and their total cost in billion € ..............................................................36 Table 8: Number of additional projects to be completed by 2030 by project category, and their total cost in billion € ............................................................................36 Table 9: Rail projects still to be completed 2019-2030, per country, and their total cost (official and estimated) in billion € ...............................................................38 Table 10: Rail—Road terminal projects still to be completed 2019-2030, per country, and their total cost (official and estimated) in million €..........................................38 Table 11: Road projects still to be completed 2019-2030, per country, and their total cost (official and estimated) in million € ..............................................................42 Table 12: Airport projects still to be completed 2019-2030, per country, and their total cost (official and estimated) in million € ..............................................................43 Table 13: Maritime projects per country and their total cost (official and estimated) in million € ..........................................................................................................43 2020 5 Study on Scan-Med TEN-T Core Network Corridor, 3rd Phase, Work Plan 4 Abbreviations ATM Air Traffic Management bn Billion CEF Connecting Europe Facility CNC Core Network Corridor DG MOVE European Commission – Directorate General for Mobility and Transport EC European Commission EIA Environmental Impact Assessment ERTMS European Rail Traffic Management System ERDF European Regional Development Funds EU European Union GDP Gross Domestic Product ICT Information and Communication Technologies INEA Innovation and Networks Executive Agency (EU) IWW Inland waterway km kilometre KPI Key performance indicator (set of indicators based on the TEN-T Regulation) m metre (for distances) m Million (for other) MoS Motorway(s) of the Sea MoT Ministry of Transport MTMS Multimodal Transport Market Study MS Member States of the European Union n.a. not available / not applicable OEM Orient / East-Med (Corridor) OJ Official Journal (of the European Union) p.a. per year / annual RD Rhine-Danube (Corridor) RFC Rail Freight Corridor Scan-Med Scandinavian-Mediterranean (Corridor) TEN-T Trans-European Transport Network TMS Traffic Management System Country Codes after ISO 3166, relevant for this report: AT Austria DE Germany DK Denmark FI Finland IT Italy MT Malta NO Norway SE Sweden 2020 6 Study on Scan-Med TEN-T Core Network Corridor, 3rd Phase, Work Plan 4 1 Towards the Scandinavian-Mediterranean Corridor 4th Work Plan 1.1 Introduction Transport is a policy pillar that can make a vital contribution to boosting long-term competitiveness, sustainable growth and the development of the internal market and the wider European economy. Efficiency improvements in the transport of people and goods within the internal market and with the wider world, enhanced deployment of intelligent transport systems, the greening of the sector and its infrastructures and by that mitigating its negative impact on climate change are key elements of TEN-T policy. Short-to medium-term capital investment in transport infrastructure and systems generates considerable direct and indirect employment and economic growth. Additionally, technological and systems innovation can be expected to foster the development of supporting business ecosystems specialising in the servicing and management of ICT and addressing sustainability challenges. End of 2019 the EU presented the European Green Deal, a new growth strategy that aims to transform the EU into a fair and prosperous society, with a modern, resource- efficient and competitive economy where there are no net emissions of greenhouse gases in 2050 and where economic growth is decoupled