Strategic SSI - Afghanistan DAILY SITUATION REPORT 29 MAY 2010 SAFETY AND SECURITY ISSUES RELEVANT TO SSSI PERSONNEL AND CLIENTS Various Threat Reports were received of possible attacks in Kabul over the past few days. A number of these reports indicate that the insurgents are planning a spectacular attack to be conducted before or during the planned Peace Jirga – scheduled for 02 to 04 Jun 10 in Kabul. The Peace Jirga will draw attention to the western part of the city where the event will take place, and the focus will be on the Kabul Polytechnic University and the Intercontinental Hotel. However, there will be a large number of international media in the city, and any incident in the city will provide the insurgents with immediate propaganda in the international mass media. Therefore, any target of opportunity may be attacked. The higher the profile of the target, the more propaganda value the insurgents will gain. It should be accepted that the insurgents are aware of this opportunity, and will most likely plan to exploit the situation. MAJOR COUNTRY WIDE EVENTS Badghis: During a joint Nuristan: Approx 300 Ins from IM/ANSF operation 7 x Ins TTP moved in from Pakistan to KIA and 8 x Ins WIA take over control on Nargh-E Matal District. Fire Fights ongoing in district Khost: Insurgents attacked and overran a District Administrative Centre Privileged and Confidential 1 This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicit approval from StrategicSSI Management. Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Threat Reports Received Last 3 Days 26 May: Herat: Threat of five suicide bombers planning attack on Mil Targets 27 May: Insurgents are planning attacks in the city in the days leading to the Peace Jirga 26 May: Herat: Threat of a possible VBIED attack in city – insurgents in ANSF uniforms BREAKDOWN OF INCIDENTS REPORTED FOR AFGHANISTAN IN SSSI DSR FOR PERIOD 28 TO 29 MAY 10 Privileged and Confidential 2 This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicit approval from StrategicSSI Management. Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Table illustrating the number of Killed and Wounded, Captured and Arrested as per the reporting’s of the SSSI DSR. IM ANSF PSC/FN LN INSURGENTS KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA MIA 01 May 2 0 0 4 17 0 3 2 0 1 0 0 15 4 8 02 May 0 0 0 0 7 0 2 2 0 2 9 0 14 4 1 03 May 1 3 0 7 1 2 2 3 3 8 20 3 1 3 4 04 May 2 5 0 2 11 2 1 0 0 3 5 0 5 4 11 05 May 2 3 0 1 7 0 0 0 0 6 2 6 18 6 3 06 May 3 29 0 1 6 7 0 0 0 3 23 0 32 8 12 08 May 1 1 0 2 4 0 1 2 0 3 2 7 6 0 6 09 May 0 3 0 5 8 1 0 0 0 15 29 6 22 0 8 10 May 4 6 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 10 3 5 11 May 1 4 0 2 9 0 1 4 0 11 4 2 17 2 12 12 May 0 5 0 5 10 4 0 0 0 12 25 3 34 20 21 13 May 3 1 0 4 5 0 0 3 0 1 7 0 5 10 0 15 May 1 0 0 1 5 3 1 2 0 14 0 0 22 10 6 16 May 0 3 0 10 5 0 1 0 0 4 3 1 76 15 13 17 May 3 4 0 9 29 0 5 1 0 18 7 8 12 4 7 18 May 5 12 0 8 25 0 0 0 0 2 3 5 38 23 3 19 May 6 5 0 6 12 0 1 2 0 15 47 2 11 1 26 20 May 2 8 0 10 20 0 0 1 0 5 4 6 22 6 8 22 May 0 3 0 2 8 0 6 7 0 1 5 1 5 3 1 23 May 2 16 0 6 16 0 0 0 0 5 14 0 6 6 1 24 May 0 0 0 5 3 0 0 0 0 7 0 4 13 0 18 25 May 2 4 0 1 4 0 0 1 0 17 12 7 25 43 6 26 May 0 2 0 2 11 0 0 1 0 1 11 2 3 2 9 27 May 0 0 0 0 9 0 1 0 0 2 6 2 16 2 4 28 May 1 5 0 6 13 2 0 0 0 14 4 3 38 36 0 29 May 1 2 0 6 3 0 0 0 0 2 17 2 32 9 3 TOTAL 42 124 0 104 251 21 25 31 3 174 259 70 498 224 196 (Kindly note that these are from the SSSI DSR and are not official statistics and may differ from those released by ISAF or other agencies and organisations.) Privileged and Confidential 3 This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicit approval from StrategicSSI Management. Strategic SSI - Afghanistan SECURITY INCIDENTS REPORTED FOR PERIOD 28 TO 29 MAY 10 CENTRAL REGION Ordinance Recovered: 26 May, Kabul Province, Bagrami District – During the evening the ANSF located and seized a BM-12 rocket set up to be fired into the Kabul City. Remark. Over the past few days a number of similar reports were received. This must be read against the background of the coming Peace Jirga. Attack: 26 May, Kabul Province, Surobi District – During the evening insurgents attacked a Police checkpoint with SAF. No casualties were reported. Insurgency: 27 May, Kabul Province, Kabul City – Another Threat Warning was received on possible spectacular attacks that may occur during the Peace Jirga in Kabul from 02 to 04 Jun 10. Remark. It is possible that insurgents would plan to conduct suicide attacks over the mentioned period, or even in the run up to the event, as there will be a high presence of international media in the city to cover the events. IED: 23 May, Parwan Province, Onabeh District – During the day the Police located and defused an IED in a culvert. Three suspected insurgents were arrested. Ordinance Recovered: 25 May, Parwan Province, Koh-E Safi District – During the day an ANSF patrol located and seized a rocket that was set up for an attack on the Baghram Air Base. Ordinance Recovered: 25 May, Parwan Province, Bagram District – During the day a joint IM/ANSF patrol located and seized a cache in the Tukhchi Area, containing of 2 x AT mines and 15 x Hand Grenades. Privileged and Confidential 4 This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicit approval from StrategicSSI Management. Strategic SSI - Afghanistan IED: 25 May, Kapisa Province, Tagab District – During the afternoon a vehicle transporting workers of a road construction company detonated an IED. No casualties were reported. Ambush: 26 May, Kapisa Province, Tagab District – During the morning insurgents ambushed an IM vehicle patrol with SAF. The IM launched a counter attack, killing an undisclosed numer of casualties to the insurgents. No IM casualties were reported. Remark. As the exact casualty figures were not reported, no insurgent casualties were included in the statistics. Crime: 25 May, Daykundi Province, Ashtarlay District – During the day it was reported that a group of armed men in the Tesqol Area were involved in a series of criminal incidents, including armed robbery, malicious wounding and kidnapping for ransom. Remark. These incidents are most probably criminal related and not linked to the insurgency. Ordinance Recovered: 25 May, Wardak Province, Daymardad Area – During the day a Police patrol located and seized a cache containing an AT mine, seven mortar bombs and a considerable quantity of small arms ammunition. Attack: Wardak Province, Jaghathu District – During the day insurgents attacked a Police patrol with SAF. No casualties were reported. IED: 26 May, Logar Province, Mohamed Agha District – During the morning insurgents fire a single rocket towards the District Administrative Area. Na casualties were reported. IED: 27 May, Logar Province, Baraki Barak District – During the day the Police located and defused an IED in the Qala-Ye Khan Area. IED: 27 May, Logar Province, Charkh District – During the morning an IM vehicle detonated an IED in the Dasht-E Timur Area. No casualties were reported. Attack: 25 May, Ghazni Province, Andar District – During the morning insurgents attacked an IM vehicle patrol.